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Post by middleenglander on Feb 27, 2016 14:52:34 GMT
It looks as though there are 17 by-elections during March:
* 4 on 3rd March
* 2 on 10th
* 3 on 17th
* 3 on 24th
* 5 on 31st
8 are in District Council wards where the former Councillor was only elected in May 2015
- 4 of these are single member wards
4 are in Unitary Councils where the former Councillor was only elected in May 2015
- 1 is a single member ward
1 is in a District Council ward where the former Councillor was elected in 2014
2 are for County Council Divisions where the last elections were in 2013 whilst
1 in Scotland and 1 in Wales where the last elections were in 2012.
Conservatives are defending 9 seats, 4 following the death of the previous Councillor and 5 a resignation
Labour is defending 3 seats, 2 following a death and 1 a resignation
Liberal Democrats are defending 3 seats,2 arising from a death and 1 a resignation
SNP is defending 1 seat following a resignation
Tendring First is defending 1 seat following a disqualification.
With all nominations now known:
Conservatives are contesting all 17 seats, Labour and Liberal Democrats 13 each, UKIP 12, Greens 6 whilst there are 7 Independents, 1 each Holland-on-Sea Residents, Lincolnshire Independent, Richmondshire Independent, SNP and TUSAC
- a total of 73 candidates.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of the by-election.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299 
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Post by maxque on Mar 2, 2016 21:44:44 GMT
Bloomfield, Blackpool UA: Lab 46, Con 21, UKIP 21, LD 8, Grn 4
Alderholt, East Dorset DC: Con 67, LD 22, Lab 11
Bondfields, Havant BC: Lab 35, Con 34, UKIP 20, LD 11
Whissendine, Rutland CC: LD 43, Con 32, UKIP 25
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Post by marksenior on Mar 2, 2016 22:09:04 GMT
Blackpool Lab 54 Con 22 UKIP 14 LD 7 Green 3
E Dorset Con 62 LD 28 Lab 10
Havant Con 36 Lab 28 LD 20 UKIP 16
Rutland LD 42 Con 38 UKIP 20
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Post by Robert Waller on Mar 2, 2016 22:16:03 GMT
Bloomfield, Blackpool UA: Lab 56, Con 15, UKIP 15, LD 10, Grn 4
Alderholt, East Dorset DC: Con 55, LD 35, Lab 10
Bondfields, Havant BC: Lab 36, Con 35, UKIP 13, LD 16
Whissendine, Rutland CC: LD 60, Con 27, UKIP 13
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Post by greenhert on Mar 3, 2016 0:42:34 GMT
My predictions for this week:
Blackpool UA, Bloomfield: Labour 55, UKIP 16, Conservative 15, Liberal Democrats 9, Green 5.
East Dorset DC, Alderholt: Con 60, Lib Dem 31, Lab 9.
Havant DC, Bondfields: Con 35, Lab 34, Lib Dem 18, UKIP 13.
Rutland UA, Whissendine: Lib Dem 50, Con 33, UKIP 17.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 3, 2016 1:02:08 GMT
BLACKPOOL Bloomfield: Lab 55, C 24, UKIP 13, L Dem 5, GP 3
EAST DORSET Alderholt: C 53, L Dem 39, Lab 8
HAVANT Bondfields: Lab 35, C 33, UKIP 19, L Dem 13
RUTLAND Whissendine: L Dem 58, C 30, UKIP 12
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Post by hempie on Mar 3, 2016 8:22:15 GMT
Blackpool,Bloomfield: Lab 54, UKIP 19, Con 15, LD 8 Green 4
East Dorset,Alderholt: Con 57, LD 33, Lab 10
Havant,Bondfields: Lab 37, Con 34,LD 16, UKIP 13
Rutland,Whissendine: LD 56, Con 32, UKIP 12
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Post by lennon on Mar 3, 2016 9:04:11 GMT
Blackpool,Bloomfield: Lab 50, UKIP 25, Con 15, LD 4 Green 1
East Dorset,Alderholt: Con 65, LD 25, Lab 10
Havant,Bondfields: Lab 35, Con 40,LD 15, UKIP 10
Rutland,Whissendine: LD 50, Con 30, UKIP 25
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 3, 2016 9:24:26 GMT
Blackpool UA - Bloomfield Lab 51.7% Con 21.9% UKIP 15.9% Grn 5.5% LD 5.0% Rutland UA - Whissendine LD 51.9% Con 37.4% UKIP 10.7% East Dorset DC - Alderholt Con 55.9% LD 35.6% Lab 8.5% Havant BC - Bondfields LD 28.3% Con 28.1% Lab 28.0% UKIP 15.6% |
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,887
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Post by carlton43 on Mar 3, 2016 11:06:15 GMT
Wow Pete! That is a fine prediction for Havant.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Mar 3, 2016 11:35:22 GMT
Blackpool: Lab 48.6 UKIP 21.2 Con 20.4 LD 5.4 Grn 4.4 East Dorset: Con 65.6 LD 26.2 Lab 8.2 Havant: Con 37.6 UKIP 24.2 LD 19.8 Lab 18.4 Rutland: LD 51.8 Con 33.6 UKIP 14.6 |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 3, 2016 11:45:14 GMT
Wow Pete! That is a fine prediction for Havant. We shall see if it is fine! Leigh Park is a funny old place |
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Post by Antiochian on Mar 3, 2016 11:47:44 GMT
Wow Pete! That is a fine prediction for Havant. My thinking is like Pete's on Havant... Tories are very tired in those parts and its the part of the cycle that Lab and LibDem should uptick. Ward also adjoins Battins which has been somewhat of a quirky LibDem hold in the past despite its bleak estates.. |
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Post by middleenglander on Mar 3, 2016 21:52:29 GMT
I have spent the day either in bed or spread along a settee nursing a nasty cold. Think I will give tonight as miss and pick up in the morning if feeling better.
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Mar 4, 2016 0:20:10 GMT
I have spent the day either in bed or spread along a settee nursing a nasty cold. Think I will give tonight as miss and pick up in the morning if feeling better. Sorry to hear that. Hope better soonest. Recommend whiskey, honey and hot (not boiling) water.....regularly. |
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Post by middleenglander on Mar 4, 2016 7:36:24 GMT
I have spent the day either in bed or spread along a settee nursing a nasty cold. Think I will give tonight as miss and pick up in the morning if feeling better. Sorry to hear that. Hope better soonest. Recommend whiskey, honey and hot (not boiling) water.....regularly. Thanks. Feeling a bit better this morning but think I will still have a whisky with warm lemonade every few hours. |
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Post by middleenglander on Mar 4, 2016 7:45:33 GMT
9 entries this week with nothing from Arthur Figgis and Strinity again fails to make his promised reappearance. Lennon gets 5 additional faults for adding to 95% in Blackpool and another 5 for adding to 105% in Rutland along with 5 x 4 additional faults for being a few minutes late,
100% holds for Labour, Conservative and Liberal respectively in Blackpool: Bloomfield, East Dorset, Alderholt and Rutland: Whissendine.
Havant: Bondfields: 4 Conservative holds, David Boothroyd, hempie, Maxque & Robert Waller Labour gain with Pete Whitehead Liberal Democrat gain.
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Post by middleenglander on Mar 4, 2016 8:01:42 GMT
Blackpool, Bloomfield
David Boothroyd & Mark Senior 11.6 faults, Pete Whitehead 11.8, Robert Waller 12.1, Greenhert 13.6, hempie 15.8, Tony Otim 18.0, Maxque 23.4, Lennon 29.8+5+5
East Devon, Alderholt
Havant, Bondfields
Tony Otim 21.4 faults, Pete Whitehead 14.8+10, Mark Senior 24.4, Greenhert 34,4, David Boothroyd 32.4+10, Maxque 34.4+10, hempie & Robert Waller 38.4+10, Lennon 46.4+5
Rutland, Whissendine
Robert Waller 10.2 faults, David Boothroyd 14.2, hempie 18.2, Pete Whitehead 26.4, Tony Otim 26.6, Greenhert 30.2, Maxque 44.2, Lennon 35.2+5+5, Mark Senior 46.2
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Post by lennon on Mar 4, 2016 9:30:34 GMT
Lennon gets 5 additional faults for adding to 95% in Blackpool and another 5 for adding to 105% in Rutland along with 5 x 4 additional faults for being a few minutes late, Oops... Reminder to self - don't do entry in massive hurry on mobile whilst cycling to work in future... |
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,887
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Post by carlton43 on Mar 4, 2016 10:26:37 GMT
Lennon gets 5 additional faults for adding to 95% in Blackpool and another 5 for adding to 105% in Rutland along with 5 x 4 additional faults for being a few minutes late, Oops... Reminder to self - don't do entry in massive hurry on mobile whilst cycling to work in future... Pirates always do things in a rush and whilst in motion......I think? |
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