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Post by marksenior on Oct 15, 2015 22:50:30 GMT
The Lib Dem candidate has just posted on Facebook that he lost by 21 votes Strangely , the last by election in this ward ( March 2014 ) was a Labour gain ( unopposed ) , the only Labour representative on the council
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 15, 2015 22:52:05 GMT
Howgate - Labour 435, Conservative 304, UKIP 176
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Post by greenhert on Oct 15, 2015 22:52:06 GMT
Full results for Cumbria CC, Howgate by-election: LAB - 47.6% (-12.9) CON - 33.2% (+2.2) UKIP - 19.2% (+19.2)
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 15, 2015 23:07:03 GMT
UKIP reportedly hold Chatteris by 0.7%
Labour hold South Camberwell
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Post by greenhert on Oct 15, 2015 23:12:10 GMT
And here is the proof: UKIP - 41.0% (+6.2) CON - 40.3% (+5.8) LDEM - 18.7% (-2.6)
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Post by greenhert on Oct 15, 2015 23:13:04 GMT
And finally, the by-election result from South Camberwell in Southwark:
LAB - 57.9% (+9.0) GRN - 20.5% (-1.3) LDEM - 10.4% (+2.3) CON - 9.3% (-1.4) APP - 1.8% (-2.7)
Not such a strong Green-Labour swing after all (breathes sigh of relief)
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Post by Ben Walker on Oct 15, 2015 23:12:51 GMT
Figures:
Um, unexpected...
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Post by andrewteale on Oct 15, 2015 23:32:56 GMT
South Camberwell figures:
Octavia Lamb Lab 1243 Eleanor Margolies Grn 441 Benjamin Maitland LD 223 Christopher Mottau C 200 Stephen Govier APP 39
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Post by carlton43 on Oct 15, 2015 23:33:22 GMT
Full results for Cumbria CC, Howgate by-election: LAB - 47.6% (-12.9) CON - 33.2% (+2.2) UKIP - 19.2% (+19.2) Ho Ho Ho! Note all those UKIP people rushing back to support Uncle Jeremy. A minority hold. Well done!
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Post by carlton43 on Oct 15, 2015 23:36:42 GMT
And here is the proof: UKIP - 41.0% (+6.2) CON - 40.3% (+5.8) LDEM - 18.7% (-2.6) Wonderful. That not only stuffed the competition on another thread but all those airy views about our early demise. Triumph for the right. And LDs might be a sound second. Ho Ho Ho! Well Joe? How was that then?
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Pimpernal
Forum Regular
A left-wing agenda within a right-wing framework...
Posts: 2,873
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Post by Pimpernal on Oct 16, 2015 6:00:27 GMT
Figures: Um, unexpected... UKIP double their majority!!! TBH - Cambridgeshire is one of the few areas that UKIP have a local branch that knows how to run byelections so this bodes well for those sort of UKIP strongholds. Though by any means defending a majority of 5 in the current electoral climate must come as a huge relief
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 16, 2015 7:27:52 GMT
TBH - Cambridgeshire is one of the few areas that UKIP have a local branch that knows how to run byelections so this bodes well for those sort of UKIP strongholds. Though by any means defending a majority of 5 in the current electoral climate must come as a huge relief True but that didn't help us much in Wisbech back in June when our vote share was halved. I know the local party have been working this hard cos I've been getting all the emails about action days etc and this one is almost right next door to Ramsey but even so this comes as a very pleasant surprise
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Oct 16, 2015 9:23:19 GMT
I think the Wisbech lot are quite inclined to do their own thing and they're not exactly a font of positive news stories. They may have been more able to start with a blank slate here.
The Tory candidate may also be relevant. From he's public statements, he's always come across as an abrasive know-nothing and this may have made it harder for the Tories to gain Lib Dem support. Or the reason may be something entirely different. Either way, it's a very good UKIP result.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 16, 2015 10:00:44 GMT
Full results for Cumbria CC, Howgate by-election: LAB - 47.6% (-12.9) CON - 33.2% (+2.2) UKIP - 19.2% (+19.2) Ho Ho Ho! Note all those UKIP people rushing back to support Uncle Jeremy. A minority hold. Well done! I think it is common knowledge W Cumbria isn't exactly heartland Corbyn country Still, I am reasonably content given both UKIP and the Tories took this one pretty seriously.
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Post by carlton43 on Oct 16, 2015 11:29:25 GMT
I think the Wisbech lot are quite inclined to do their own thing and they're not exactly a font of positive news stories. They may have been more able to start with a blank slate here. The Tory candidate may also be relevant. From he's public statements, he's always come across as an abrasive know-nothing and this may have made it harder for the Tories to gain Lib Dem support. Or the reason may be something entirely different. Either way, it's a very good UKIP result. Thank you. That is appreciated.
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Post by carlton43 on Oct 16, 2015 11:31:25 GMT
Ho Ho Ho! Note all those UKIP people rushing back to support Uncle Jeremy. A minority hold. Well done! I think it is common knowledge W Cumbria isn't exactly heartland Corbyn country Still, I am reasonably content given both UKIP and the Tories took this one pretty seriously. Agreed. In fact a solid defence....But! It might not bode well for Copeland, Workington and Barrow?
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 16, 2015 11:34:47 GMT
UKIP have shown a few signs in recent weeks of emerging from their post-GE doldrums. Certainly something to look out for in coming months.
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maxque
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Member is Online
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Post by maxque on Oct 16, 2015 13:49:08 GMT
I think the Wisbech lot are quite inclined to do their own thing and they're not exactly a font of positive news stories. They may have been more able to start with a blank slate here. The Tory candidate may also be relevant. From he's public statements, he's always come across as an abrasive know-nothing and this may have made it harder for the Tories to gain Lib Dem support. Or the reason may be something entirely different. Either way, it's a very good UKIP result. Also, the late UKIP councillor got no negative press and was a committee chair (I would hope UKIP gives them to competent councillors), so, I suspect she gave a positive image of UKIP during the two years of her term in her division.
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,777
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Post by right on Oct 16, 2015 13:54:09 GMT
UKIP have shown a few signs in recent weeks of emerging from their post-GE doldrums. Certainly something to look out for in coming months. They should be doing better. Except for Scotland and a few areas of Lib Dem resilience, there's nowhere for protest voters to the left of Trotsky to go.
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Post by carlton43 on Oct 16, 2015 16:06:30 GMT
Apart from the Conservatives and the SNP who were on post-GE euphoria, I think most parties have been quiescent rather than in the doldrums. Two have had large adjustments to accommodate to. The public are all politicked out and not really in protest mode apart from the anti-austerity mob and they are all in one party each side of the border. As 'events' take place the politics will re-emerge. There will be competition for the protest vote and even Labour may start to qualify now.
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