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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 9, 2015 10:48:48 GMT
I would be genuinely interested to know what was behind that (by their standards) exceptional TUSC performance in Bolsover Probably mainstream Socialists who consider a Corbyn led Labour party too extreme |
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Oct 9, 2015 11:02:25 GMT
Apparently LDs in front on first prefs in Aird & Loch Ness
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Oct 9, 2015 11:13:58 GMT
Aird and Loch Ness, 1st Count
LD 1029
SNP 1000
Con 467
Ind 293
Grn 287
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 9, 2015 11:17:18 GMT
The Lib Dems have made fools of us all this week
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Post by markgoodair on Oct 9, 2015 11:18:31 GMT
Aird and Loch Ness, 1st Count LD 1029 SNP 1000 Con 467 Ind 293 Grn 287 LD 33.5% SNP 32.5% Con 15.2% Ind 9.5% Green 9.3% |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Oct 9, 2015 11:18:11 GMT
In%
LD 33.5% (+21.2)
SNP 32.5% (+4.6)
Con 15.2% (+8.3)
Ind 9.5%
Grn 9.3%
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Post by lennon on Oct 9, 2015 11:19:54 GMT
The Lib Dems have made fools of us all this week Dread to think what would have happened had their been a by-election in Gwynedd this week... |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Oct 9, 2015 11:24:48 GMT
| Count 1
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| Count 2
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| Count 3
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| Count 4
| | LD | 1029 | +70 | 1099 | +109 | 1208 | Row 2 column 7 | Row 2 column 8 | | SNP | 1000 | +97 | 1097 | +47 | 1144
| Row 3 column 7 | Row 3 column 8 | | Con | 467 | +13 | 480 | +64 | 544
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| 293
| +37 | 330 |
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| | Grn | 287 |
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It's an LD win, pretty sure. Conservative votes will favour LDs. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 9, 2015 11:35:29 GMT
David does have a point, but 78 votes is often better than they manage in much bigger divisions. So it is still interesting, and I wonder if anybody has any info.
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Post by samdwebber on Oct 9, 2015 11:49:02 GMT
LD gain by 344 votes
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Post by bolbridge on Oct 9, 2015 12:10:17 GMT
I'm reeling. Stunning gain and not expected either.
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,012
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Post by Khunanup on Oct 9, 2015 12:57:54 GMT
I'm reeling. Stunning gain and not expected either. Why not? It's a new MP's council seat in a parliamentary seat that was gained from us. Seems to be a bit of a pattern... That's three like that now isn't it? Got to love any gain from Nats. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 9, 2015 13:18:15 GMT
Not just from gaining seats - also they lost one we didn't predict
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,029
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Post by Sibboleth on Oct 9, 2015 13:19:05 GMT
David is correct: Bolsover South is a small ward in a small town with a sleepy local political culture and turnout was beyond abysmal. You could try to draw sweeping conclusions from the result, but it would probably be better if someone splashed your face with copious amounts of cold water. The TUSC candidate polled a double digit share when he ran in the Bolsover NW ward four years ago, incidentally. Presumably he's well known in the town.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 9, 2015 13:53:25 GMT
One of the Respect triumphs at local elections came in 2007 in Shirebrook North West ward. The reason seems to have been nothing to do with popularity of the candidate or particular effectiveness of campaigning; it was a ward that had been unopposed for donkey's years and the local Labour Party wasn't used to having to fight it. Four years later and it was easily recaptured.
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Post by thirdchill on Oct 9, 2015 16:25:03 GMT
307 Conservative transfers to the LD's against 23 Conservative transfers to the SNP. Very good transfer rate for the LD's. |
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Post by lennon on Oct 9, 2015 16:37:50 GMT
307 Conservative transfers to the LD's against 23 Conservative transfers to the SNP. Very good transfer rate for the LD's. Also noticeable is the poor transfer rate from the Greens to the SNP which surprised me - SNP only slightly ahead of the LibDems. |
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Post by bolbridge on Oct 9, 2015 17:23:20 GMT
I'm reeling. Stunning gain and not expected either. Why not? It's a new MP's council seat in a parliamentary seat that was gained from us. Seems to be a bit of a pattern... That's three like that now isn't it? Got to love any gain from Nats. Because it's Scotland. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on Oct 9, 2015 19:38:47 GMT
It's the first really positive result the Lib Dems have had in Scotland (I was going to say since May, but in reality for a lot longer).In most other by-elections since May they've slid further back. A very good result for them. Any revival they have in Scotland looks like it will start in the Highlands.
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,012
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Post by Khunanup on Oct 9, 2015 19:49:46 GMT
Not just from gaining seats - also they lost one we didn't predict Indeed, idiosyncratic to say the least... |
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