By-elections - September 10th

[David Ashforth]

[greenhert]

Very close run again in Fant-surprisingly the Liberal Democrats only achieved a 2.4% swing in their favour, 1/10th of the swing they managed in Southborough, Tunbridge Wells (also in Kent). Pleased for Stuart's result on the Greens' behalf, given how tight elections have been in the Fant ward in recent years (this by-election proved to be no exception).

[maxque]

Southborough

Con 43.7% (-14.0)
LD 39.3% (+24.0)
UKIP 17.0% (+6.0)

Also, Lbour holds in Thurrock and Sandwell.

[David Ashforth]

[greenhert]

Heavy UKIP collapse in Blackheath-their vote share dropped from 36% to 16%; Labour's majority increases.

[maxque]

Fant, Maidstone

Con 27.1% (-2.2)
LD 24.1% (+2.1)
Lab 20.0% (-0.4)
Grn 14.2% (+3.9)
UKIP 10.2% (-7.4)
Ind 4.3% (+4.3)

[iain]

UKIP will probably be pleased with the Thurrock result - held up much better than other recent by-elections

[marksenior]

Sept 10, 2015 22:27:00 GMT greenhert said:

Very close run again in Fant-surprisingly the Liberal Democrats only achieved a 2.4% swing in their favour, 1/10th of the swing they managed in Southborough, Tunbridge Wells (also in Kent). Pleased for Stuart's result on the Greens' behalf, given how tight elections have been in the Fant ward in recent years (this by-election proved to be no exception).

Not really surprising as there had already been a substantial swing to the Lib Dems in May compared to 2012 and 2014

[maxque]

Thurrock

Lab 43.0% (-3.9)
UKIP 30.8% (+1.9)
Con 26.2% (+2.0)

[maxque]

Sept 10, 2015 22:35:27 GMT iain said:

UKIP will probably be pleased with the Thurrock result - held up much better than other recent by-elections

In fact, only the 2nd by-election since May where their vote increased.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

All four English seats in, just waiting on Edinburgh - which looks like it's interesting:

[Sibboleth]

Sept 10, 2015 22:37:45 GMT maxque said:

Sept 10, 2015 22:35:27 GMT iain said:

UKIP will probably be pleased with the Thurrock result - held up much better than other recent by-elections

In fact, only the 2nd by-election since May where their vote increased.

...the vacancy was, however, caused by the incumbent being a nonce and voters tend not to like that, so...

[maxque]

For some reason, Britain Votes reports on when the person who caused the vacancy did got elected , instead of last time seat was up.

Lab 51.4% (+7.0)
Con 30.5% (-0.6)
UKIP 16.1% (-8.4)
Grn 2.0%

[maxque]

25.1% turnout in Leith Walk. Was 36.2% in 2012.

[maxque]

Candidates will be announced results in 5 minutes.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

EDINBURGH Leith Walk

83 rejected
Quota 2,109

Lewis Ritchie (Scottish National Party (SNP)) 2,290
Marion Donaldson (Scottish Labour Party) 1,623
Susan Rae (Scottish Green Party) 1,381
Gordon Murdie (Scottish Conservative and Unionist) 501
Alan Melville (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 102
Mo Hussain (Scottish Liberal Democrats) 255
Natalie Reid (Scottish Socialist Party) 97
Bruce Whitehead (Left Unity) 32
John Scott (Independent) 26
Tom Laird (Scottish Libertarian Party) 17

Elected: Donaldson and Ritchie

(Figures from the Periscope broadcast so may be mishearings)

[iain]

Labour gain from Green

[greenhert]

So disappointed-I was really hoping we would hold our seat on transfers....

[maxque]

SNP 36.2% (+7.7)
Lab 25.7% (-7.5)
Grn 21.8% (+1.5)
Con 7.9% (-0.2)
LD 4.0% (-1.1)
UKIP 1.6%
Soc 1.5%
LU 0.5%
Ind 0.4%
Libert 0.3%

[john07]

Sept 10, 2015 23:23:43 GMT greenhert said:

So disappointed-I was really hoping we would hold our seat on transfers....

There was not much of a surplus from the SNP to transfer and I can't see many Conservatives transferring to Green. There were not enough votes for the minor parties including Lib Dems to bridge the gap.

Creating the second vacancy was something of an own goal from the Greens.