maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306
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Post by maxque on Aug 24, 2015 21:48:53 GMT
Dearne North – Barnsley MB – Death of Dave Sim (Labour) 2014-2018 term.
2015: Lab 2668, UKIP 1112, Con 284 2014: Lab 1179, UKIP 752, Con 103 2012: Lab 1314, BIG 501, Con 87 2011: Lab 1655, BIG 501, BNP 246 2010: Lab 2278, BIG 647, BNP 595, Con 348 2008: Lab 853, BNP 392, BIG 375, LD 316, Con 186 2007: Lab 1013, BNP 466, LD 464, Con 116, BIG 102 2006: Lab 1011, LD 453, BIG 234, Con 129 2004: Lab 1319/1302/1271, LD 1065, Con 322
BIG is the Barnsley Independent Group.
Tony Devoy (Yorkshire First) Karen Fletcher (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) Annette Gollick (Labour Party) Jim Johnson (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) Lee Ogden (The Conservative Party Candidate)
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Post by David Ashforth on Aug 25, 2015 21:23:09 GMT
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Post by David Ashforth on Aug 27, 2015 22:14:20 GMT
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Post by marksenior on Aug 27, 2015 22:17:39 GMT
Pretty appalling turnout around 14%
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Post by greenhert on Aug 27, 2015 22:37:21 GMT
Even compared to recent local by-elections, that UKIP collapse is pretty crushing, especially in South Yorkshire.
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Post by norfolkfeller on Aug 28, 2015 8:53:57 GMT
Unless I'm badly mistaken, this is the first instance since May of Labour recovering share from UKIP?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 28, 2015 9:07:45 GMT
I doubt it. UKIP's share has been down in just about every by-election contested since May. Are you just talking about wards where Labour and UKIP are in the top two?
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,907
Member is Online
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Post by carlton43 on Aug 28, 2015 9:17:50 GMT
The immigration pot has been simmering all summer and will soon be near to being served. The figures are dauntingly bad for Cameron/Conservatives/Britain and as this seeps into the general consciousness there will be a reinvigoration of UKIP voting always providing the leadership is less flaccid and gets a firm grip.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Aug 28, 2015 9:25:59 GMT
Predicting the demise of UKIP off a 14% turnout is not going to be much use.
If it does,then it also suggests that Labour recover when they don't actually have a leader, and that Yorkshire First are a growing force.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 28, 2015 10:03:21 GMT
Unless I'm badly mistaken, this is the first instance since May of Labour recovering share from UKIP? Pretty sure that is not the case.
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Post by marksenior on Aug 28, 2015 10:18:54 GMT
Minor result from yday
Wisbech TC Staithe ward Con hold
Con 240 Lab 114 UKIP 111
May result ( 2 seats ) Con 505/492 UKIP 465 Lab 296
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Post by Dave Morgan on Aug 28, 2015 10:31:22 GMT
Another Town Council By-election from yesterday. Marsden ward for Nelson Town Council in Pendle caused by the death of Conservative Councillor Michael Landriau.
Janice Taylor (Conservative) 217 - Elected. John Rowe (BNP) 182 Laura Blackburn (Labour) 142 Ruth Clegg (UKIP) 56
Always a competitive ward, though until recently between Labour and the BNP.
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Post by finsobruce on Aug 28, 2015 10:35:24 GMT
Another Town Council By-election from yesterday. Marsden ward for Nelson Town Council in Pendle caused by the death of Conservative Councillor Michael Landriau. Janice Taylor (Conservative) 217 - Elected. John Rowe (BNP) 182 Laura Blackburn (Labour) 142 Ruth Clegg (UKIP) 56 Always a competitive ward, though until recently between Labour and the BNP. "interesting" that the BNP outpolled Labour and reduced UKIP to fourth. Tends to suggest that like the SDP there is still a group of individuals ploughing the furrow in this area, when nationally the profile has been reduced to zero.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
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Post by maxque on Aug 28, 2015 10:39:34 GMT
There was 50 by-elections since May. UKIP stood in 40 of those. In 16 of those, UKIP didn't stood last election. UKIP share went up only once (Craigton, Glasgow).
So, 23 left. 3 cases.
1. Labour didn't stand : 1 Long Ditton, Elmbridge
2. Labour vote went up : 14(Lab, UKIP) Stepney Green, Tower Hamlets (+9.1, -2.9) Old Hastings & Tressall, East Sussex (+7.4, -12.2) St Helens, Hastings (+2.1, -13.9) Brentford, Hounslow (+7.9, -7.4) Spring Hill, Hyndburn (+5.4, -6.1) Newton, Sandwell (+11.1, -7.3) Gorleston St Andrews, Norfolk (+1.8, -22.8) Mile Cross, Norfolk (+15.2, -9.8) Rush Green, Tendring (+2.8, -9.9) Mill Hill, Blackburn with Darwen (+9.0, -7.5) Harrow Road, Westminster (+17.8, -7.4) Pinhoe, Exeter (+5.5, -11.5) Camborne Pendarves, Cornwall (+1.8, -23.5) Dearne North, Barnsley (+4.2, -15.4)
3. Labour vote went down : 8 (Lab, UKIP) Wisbech South, Cambridgeshire (-2.7, -19.7) Wallington South, Sutton (-2.4, -10.5) Central St Leonards, Hastings (-9.1, -8.8) Grove, Kingston-upon-Thames (-8.3, -2.5) Croft Baker, North East Lincolnshire (-2.9, -8.0) Droitwich East, Wychavon (-3.0, -2.0) Hamilton South, South Lanarkshire (-16.1, -1.4) Witney North, West Oxfordshire (-3.9, -3.3)
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 28, 2015 11:19:53 GMT
Another Town Council By-election from yesterday. Marsden ward for Nelson Town Council in Pendle caused by the death of Conservative Councillor Michael Landriau. Janice Taylor (Conservative) 217 - Elected. John Rowe (BNP) 182 Laura Blackburn (Labour) 142 Ruth Clegg (UKIP) 56 Always a competitive ward, though until recently between Labour and the BNP. "interesting" that the BNP outpolled Labour and reduced UKIP to fourth. Tends to suggest that like the SDP there is still a group of individuals ploughing the furrow in this area, when nationally the profile has been reduced to zero. Of course, Marsden now has the sole BNP councillor at principal level anywhere in Britain. IIRC the Tories have been competitive there recently and even won it - what is notable is that the LibDems show up here relatively rarely despite their local strength.
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Post by casualobserver on Aug 29, 2015 9:04:18 GMT
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Post by finsobruce on Aug 29, 2015 9:18:25 GMT
I note that the report says that the Labour candidate "was the only one out of the three candidates to stick to the point and fight for the seat on issues like speeding". Sounds like the Tories and UKIP went for each other in a big way.
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,589
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Post by cibwr on Aug 29, 2015 9:35:33 GMT
The immigration pot has been simmering all summer and will soon be near to being served. The figures are dauntingly bad for Cameron/Conservatives/Britain and as this seeps into the general consciousness there will be a reinvigoration of UKIP voting always providing the leadership is less flaccid and gets a firm grip. It seems to me the UKIPs Anti EU fox has been shot by the forth coming European Referendum and they are now a one trick pony with migration being their one trick.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Aug 29, 2015 9:44:01 GMT
The immigration pot has been simmering all summer and will soon be near to being served. The figures are dauntingly bad for Cameron/Conservatives/Britain and as this seeps into the general consciousness there will be a reinvigoration of UKIP voting always providing the leadership is less flaccid and gets a firm grip. And there's me thinking that Plaid Cymru were the kings of misplaced confidence and optimism. The last point is valid however. UKIP seem to have lost direction badly.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
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Post by maxque on Aug 29, 2015 10:16:32 GMT
I'm pretty than I read than after the 2013 election, some leaders of the East European community led big efforts to integrate East Europeans into the local fabric and than they were relatively successful. That by-election result would go in that sense.
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