By-elections - 23th July

[maxque]

Mill Hill - Blackburn with Darwen UA - Resignation of Carol Walsh (Labour) for personal reasons
2012-2016 term

2015: Lab 1084, UKIP 618, Con 375, LD 100
2014: Lab 772, UKIP 401, Con 149
2012: Lab 874, Con 175, LD 122
2011: Lab 967, Con 264, LD 220
2010: Lab 1055, LD 583, Con 436, BNP 332
2008: Lab 676, LD 608
2007: Lab 668, England First Party 302, LD 281, BNP 216, Con 195
2006: Lab 727, BNP 437, Con 268, LD 266
2004: Lab 759/520/507, LD 655/437/389, BNP 377, Con 321, Ind 169

Alan Dean (Liberal Democrat)
Michael Longbottom (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Carl Nuttall (Labour Party)
Helen Tolley (The Conservative Party)

3 of the 4 candidates ran in this ward in May, Labour candidate was the defeated incumbent in the adjacent ward of Meadowhead. Alan Dean is also very persistent; he was the LD winner of 2004, lost in 2007 and was candidate in that ward every year since then but 2014.

New Tredegar - Caerphilly - due to the resignation of Gerald Jones (Labour), the new MP for Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney.

Oct 2012 by: Lab 692, PC 95, Con 24
2012: Lab 965/744, Ind 362
2008: Lab 930/804, PC 325/310
2004: Lab 1083/928, PC 326

Mark Evans (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru)
Ian Gorman (UKIP)
Robert Lea (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate Ymgeisydd Plaid Geidwadol Cymru)

Long Ditton - Elmbridge BC - due to the resignation of Toni Izard (Liberal Democrat)
2012-2016 term (it will be an all-up election due to rewarding anyways)

2015: LD 1635, Con 1586, UKIP 313
2014: LD 1105, Con 602, UKIP 259, Lab 158
2012: LD 916, Con 888, Lab 151
2011: LD 1072, Con 1029, Lab 223
2010: LD 2022, Con 1347
2008: Con 891, LD 870, Lab 84
2007: LD 864, Con 612, Lab 67
2006: LD 1022, Con 674, Lab 82
2004: LD 1018, Con 615, Lab 98
2003: LD 760, Con 415, Grn 102
2002: LD 846, Con 498, Lab 100

Susannah Cunningham (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Hugh Evans (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Laura Harmour (Green Party)
Neil Houston (Liberal Democrat)

Croft Baker - North East Lincolnshire UA - due to the death of Mick Burnett(Labour), deputy leader of the council.
2015-2019 term

2015: Lab 2056, Con 1370, UKIP 1202, LD 220, Grn 202, TUSC 95
2014: Lab 1031, UKIP 885, Ind 424, Con 352, TUSC 104, LD 61 (Ind is a former LD councillor)
2012: Lab 1327, UKIP 448, LD 418, Con 364
2011: Lab 1619, Con 964, LD 460
2010: Lab 1853, Con 1521, LD 1198, UKIP 410, Ind 105
2008: LD 1052, Lab 890, Con 774, Ind 166
2007: Lab 984, LD 975, Con 621, Ind 222
2006: LD 1217, Lab 943, Ind 463
2004: LD 1242, Lab 1117, Ind 762/412/129
2003: LD 1326/1315/1286, Lab 1250/1124/1078

James Barker (The Green Party)
Graham Critchley (UK Independence Party (UK I P))
Annie Darby (Labour Party Candidate)
Hayden Dawkins (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Roy Horobin (Liberal Democrat)
Dave Mitchell (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition)

Harrow Road - Westminster LBC - due to the resignation of Nilavra Mukerji (Labour), due to taking up a new job precluding being an elected official (conflict of interests).

2014: Lab 1788/1493/1415, Con 546/406/349, Grn 464, UKIP 308
2010: Lab 2730/2316/2137, LD 1152, Con 1120/1018/950, Grn 740, UKIP 218
2006: Lab 1036/899/877, Con 523/520/520, LD 411/369/325
July 2005 by: Lab 774, Con 306, LD 150
2002: Lab 1029/952/942, Con 362/328/287, Grn 289, LD 278 (the last Conservative candidate was Ed Vaizey, now MP and minister).

Wilford Augustus (Conservative Party)
Tim Roca (Labour Party)
Robert Stephenson (UK Independence Party (UKIP))

[The Bishop]

Yes, in November 2002 - it was actually a gain from the LibDems who were strong there back then. Not sure if the boundaries were the same pre-2004, though.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Looking at the LGBCE website for the boundary changes, seems they were fairly minor - adding only about 100 voters (the western end of Bonsall Street?)

[wallington]

It's a shame we were unable to put a candidate up in Westminster. The London Fed like to 'encourage' local parties to stand in all council by-elections. I'm surprised the West Central Greens were unable to even stand a paper candidate.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

It's a bit of a surprise, in the same way that the non-appearance of a Liberal Democrat candidate isn't. The local Green Party has a decent level of organisation. They managed to stand in all wards in 2014, although they had to go door-to-door to get the signatures. In the general election the candidate and the party were seen out campaigning.

One thing that may have counted against them is the relative speed of the byelection being called, and the fact that the Green Party is much better organised in the wealthier wards and in the centre (West End, St James's).

[gwynthegriff]

Hard to spot this week's Lib Dem gains ...

[keithn]

Jul 20, 2015 16:59:01 GMT gwynthegriff said:

Hard to spot this week's Lib Dem gains ...

Holding the Elmbridge seat is our main objective this week.

[Pete Whitehead]

I should have thought your main objective is making sure your candidates don't get beaten up by gangs of thugs representing the governing party

[Khunanup]

Jul 22, 2015 13:52:48 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

I should have thought your main objective is making sure your candidates don't get beaten up by gangs of thugs representing the governing party

Huh?! Lost me there..?

[maxque]

Jul 23, 2015 1:50:46 GMT Khunanup said:

Jul 22, 2015 13:52:48 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

I should have thought your main objective is making sure your candidates don't get beaten up by gangs of thugs representing the governing party

Huh?! Lost me there..?

A reference on a thread where Keith compared Conservative Party and Cameron to ZANU-PF and Mugabe.

[Khunanup]

Jul 23, 2015 1:57:10 GMT maxque said:

Jul 23, 2015 1:50:46 GMT Khunanup said:

Huh?! Lost me there..?

A reference on a thread where Keith compared Conservative Party and Cameron to ZANU-PF and Mugabe.

Thank you, I must have missed that one.

[brianj]

Jul 20, 2015 10:41:52 GMT @trident said:

Jul 19, 2015 12:12:58 GMT maxque said:

Mill Hill - Blackburn with Darwen UA - Resignation of Carol Walsh (Labour) for personal reasons

ISTR the BNP actually won that ward in a by-election, some time in 2002 or 2003 - it got quite a lot of national publicity because it was one of the first wards they won.

It was on November 21, 2002, by 16 votes over Labour.  Councillor Robin Evans resigned from the party in October 2003.

www.telegraph.co.uk/news/1443668/BNP-councillor-resigns-from-party.html

The vote was BNP 578, Lab 562, LD 505, Con 154.

www.theguardian.com/politics/2002/nov/22/thefarright.uk

[brianj]

Caerphilly, New Tredegar:

Labour 648
UKIP 90
Cons 47

So a nailbiter by local standards.

[maxque]

New Tregedar: (2012 by; 2012)

Labour 82.5% (-2.8; +9.8)
UKIP 11.5% (+11.5; +11.5)
Con 6.0% (+3.0; +6.0)

[marksenior]

Elmbridge LD hold

LD 770 ( 50.6% )
Con 611 ( 40.2% )
Green 79 ( 5.2% )
UKIP 61 ( 4.0% )

[maxque]

Jul 23, 2015 22:19:36 GMT marksenior said:

Elmbridge LD hold

LD 770 ( 50.6% )
Con 611 ( 40.2% )
Green 79 ( 5.2% )
UKIP 61 ( 4.0% )

That's making +4.3 for LD, -4.7 for Con, +5.2 for Green and -4.9 for UKIP.

[andrea]

Mill Hill

Lab 505
UKIP 179
Con 106
LD 69

Harrow Road

Tim Roca(Lab) 1,139 votes
Wilford Augustus(Con) 334 votes
Robert Stephenson(UKIP) 38 votes

Croft Baker

Annie Darby Labour 768
Hayden Dawkins Conservative Party 513
Roy Horobin Liberal Democrat 323
Graham John Critchley UKIP 318
Dave Mitchell Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition 85
James William Barker The Green Party 66

[marksenior]

NE Lincs

Lab 768 ( 37.0% )
Con 513 ( 24.7% )
LDem 323 ( 15.6% )
UKIP 318 ( 15.3% )
TUSC 85 ( 4.1% )
Green 66 ( 3.2% )

[maxque]

Croft Baker:
Lab 37.0 (-3.0)
Con 24.7 (-1.9)
LD 15.6 (+11.3)
UKIP 15.3 (-8.1)
TUSC 4.1 (+2.3)
Grn 3.2 (-0.7)

Mill Hill:
Lab 58.8% (+9.0)
UKIP 20.8% (-7.6)
Con 12.3% (-4.9)
LD 8.0% (+3.4)

Harrow Road:
Lab 75.4% (+17.8)
Con 22.1% (+4.5)
UKIP 2.5% (-7.4)

[Devil Wincarnate]

Another week with a Plaid-less Welsh by-election.