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Post by AdminSTB on Jul 9, 2015 23:57:34 GMT
SNP have won in Thorniewood.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 10, 2015 6:45:43 GMT
GWYNEDD Morfa Nefyn Sian Hugues (Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales) 315 (71.9%) Wini Jones Lewis (Llais Gwynedd - The Voice of Gwynedd) 123 (28.1%) A swing to Ll.G from 2012 but all in all I feel we're seeing their gradual demise. |
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by johnr on Jul 10, 2015 7:35:08 GMT
Swing to SNP in Thorniewood is 25%, compared to the 39% swing at the General Election in May.
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 10, 2015 7:35:30 GMT
SNP said to be leading Labour by 130 votes after stage 2. Not known how many votes are up for grabs. Normally, it should be the Conservatives redistribution. It seems to be again; according to the completely awful Council website, the Conservatives were rejected at Stage 5 and Labour rejected and the SNP elected at Stage 6. The quota was 1655 but figures per candidate don't appear to have interested the website team. |
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Post by AdminSTB on Jul 10, 2015 8:40:55 GMT
Swing to SNP in Thorniewood is 25%, compared to the 39% swing at the General Election in May. Though the general election swing is against 2010 when the SNP won 19.9% of the total vote, while the local election swing is against 32.3% of first preferences in 2012, so not directly comparable. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 10, 2015 8:45:11 GMT
I know it won't please the purists, due to differing dates, multi ward votes v single. but it is just a guideline. just the difference in vote share for the 6 English by elections held yesterday. UKIP lost over half its share of the vote. Differences Conservatives +4.5% Labour +4.4% Independent +1.2% Lib Dems +0.1% Greens -0.5% UKIP -9.7% link to full calculations |
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Post by AdminSTB on Jul 10, 2015 9:03:53 GMT
Thorniewood first preferences (from someone at count, not confirmed):
SNP 1555
Lab 1410
Con 149
SSP 81
Grn 51
Chr 33
UKIP 29
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by johnr on Jul 10, 2015 11:43:24 GMT
Swing to SNP in Thorniewood is 25%, compared to the 39% swing at the General Election in May. Though the general election swing is against 2010 when the SNP won 19.9% of the total vote, while the local election swing is against 32.3% of first preferences in 2012, so not directly comparable. Look, dont take away the straw I am clutching at! |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 10, 2015 15:08:54 GMT
Thorniewood first preferences (from someone at count, not confirmed): SNP 1555 Lab 1410 Con 149 SSP 81 Grn 51 Chr 33 UKIP 29 Anything official from N Lanarkshire yet - never mind transfers or anything trivial like that??  |
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obsie
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Post by obsie on Jul 10, 2015 16:48:21 GMT
Thorniewood first preferences (from someone at count, not confirmed): SNP 1555 Lab 1410 Con 149 SSP 81 Grn 51 Chr 33 UKIP 29 Anything official from N Lanarkshire yet - never mind transfers or anything trivial like that?? | SNP | 1555 | 1556 | 1565 | 1586 | 1622 | 1647 | | Lab | 1410 | 1417 | 1422 | 1433 | 1456 | 1517 | | Con | 149 | 158 | 167 | 172 | 175 |
| | SSP | 81 | 81 | 82 | 89 |
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| | Green | 51 | 55 | 61 |
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| | SCP | 33 | 37 |
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| | UKIP | 29 |
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Rural Radical
Labour
Now living in a Labour held ward at Borough level for the first time in many years
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Post by Rural Radical on Jul 10, 2015 20:24:05 GMT
Swing to SNP in Thorniewood is 25%, compared to the 39% swing at the General Election in May. Every Cloud.... |
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Post by No Offence Alan on Jul 10, 2015 23:01:06 GMT
Swing to SNP in Thorniewood is 25%, compared to the 39% swing at the General Election in May. Every Cloud.... But 25% from the 2012 base is probably just as good as a swing of 39% from the 2010 base. |
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 11, 2015 12:48:37 GMT
But 25% from the 2012 base is probably just as good as a swing of 39% from the 2010 base. Both swings, applied nationally, would put the SNP in the 55-59% kind of area, so it's pretty similar really. |
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by johnr on Jul 11, 2015 12:59:35 GMT
But 25% from the 2012 base is probably just as good as a swing of 39% from the 2010 base. Both swings, applied nationally, would put the SNP in the 55-59% kind of area, so it's pretty similar really. What did I say about taking away my straws!!! Seriously, Labour had possibly the best possible candidate in Hugh Gaffney, a well known and well liked local community activist, who arguably has not been tarnished by being the past. We ran a strong and positive campaign. Yet we still got gubbed. |
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Jul 11, 2015 13:06:46 GMT
Both swings, applied nationally, would put the SNP in the 55-59% kind of area, so it's pretty similar really. What did I say about taking away my straws!!! Seriously, Labour had possibly the best possible candidate in Hugh Gaffney, a well known and well liked local community activist, who arguably has not been tarnished by being the past. We ran a strong and positive campaign. Yet we still got gubbed. 'Gubbed'? Completely new to me. I looked it up and wonder if it is Glasgow/Urban/Lowland/Modern for me to have missed it altogether? |
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by johnr on Jul 11, 2015 13:08:32 GMT
It is scottish slang for "humped", "shafted" etc.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 11, 2015 14:10:27 GMT
Both swings, applied nationally, would put the SNP in the 55-59% kind of area, so it's pretty similar really. What did I say about taking away my straws!!! Seriously, Labour had possibly the best possible candidate in Hugh Gaffney, a well known and well liked local community activist, who arguably has not been tarnished by being the past. We ran a strong and positive campaign. Yet we still got gubbed. Because people aren't listening, and won't until SLab has some sort of reckoning with its recent past. |
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Post by gwynthegriff on Jul 11, 2015 17:47:09 GMT
GWYNEDD Morfa Nefyn Sian Hugues (Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales) 315 (71.9%) Wini Jones Lewis (Llais Gwynedd - The Voice of Gwynedd) 123 (28.1%) A swing to Ll.G from 2012 but all in all I feel we're seeing their gradual demise. Knowing Nefyn I think the relative merits of Sian and Wini will be more significant than the relative merits of their parties.  |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on Jul 12, 2015 17:07:19 GMT
^^^
Though there's not much doubt that Llais look like a busted flush. Doubtless some other populist group will emerge over time.
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