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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 18, 2015 9:24:05 GMT
I forgot too!
Besides the general post-General Election anomie, I took a group to Parliament and the Supreme Court yesterday (the latter worth a quick visit, I think they get few visitors and are exceptionally welcoming), and I'm also examining like fury (though I hope not furiously, and not too speedily).
I also had to remember to put in my Election Game predictions for the Danish General Election.
Anyway, I think those who give this competition full attention and commitment should come top.
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Post by Andrew_S on Jun 18, 2015 14:39:04 GMT
Christchurch: Con 60, UKIP 25, Lab 15 Mole Valley: Con 58, UKIP 20, LD 17, Green 5 |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 18, 2015 18:37:43 GMT
7 entries this week with ajs making a welcomed mid-month return after a long absence.
Pete Whitehead's entry -
Christchurch: Con 52.3, UKIP 31.5, Lab 16.2
Mole Valley: LD 35.9, Con 32.7, UKIP 24.7, Green 6.8
Maxque gets 10 additional faults (2 x 5) for being up to one hour late
Robert Waller gets 20 additional faults (2 x 10) for being 1 to 2 hours late
Christchurch: 100% Conservative highest average share ranging from 20.8% (Pete Whitehead) to 54% (Robert Waller)
Mole Valley: 4 predict Conservatives highest average share with Mark Senior, Maxque and Pete Whitehead Liberal Democrats ahead.
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 18, 2015 22:51:13 GMT
Christchurch, North Highcliffe & Walkford
David Boothroyd 7.3 faults, ajs 8.2, hempie & Mark Senior 17.5, Maxque 17.5+5, Pete Whitehead 23.6, Robert Waller 19.8+10
Mole Valley, Holmwoods
Pete Whitehead 30.1 faults, Mark Senior 31.9, Maxque 35.4+5, hempie 39.9+10, Robert Waller 33.7+10+10, David Boothroyd 45.9+10, ajs 69.7+10
and for the week:
Mark Senior 49.4 faults, Pete Whitehead 53.7, Maxque 63.0, David Boothroyd 63.2, hempie 67.4, Robert Waller 83.5, ajs 87.9
and for the month to date:
149.9 David Boothroyd
155.5 Mark Senior
168.2 Pete Whitehead
191.0 Maxque
196.9 Robert Waller
278.0 hempie
587.9 ajs
Objections please by noon Saturday.
One by-election and one defrred election next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of election.
Note the prediction requirements, particularly of the 3 Independents, as specified on the first posting of this thread.
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Post by marksenior on Jun 24, 2015 7:47:23 GMT
Market Deeping Ind Broughton 24 Con 20 UKIP 18 Ind Bax 16 Ind Shelton 14 LD 8
Romsey LD 35 Lab 33 Green 15 Con 13 UKIP 4
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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 24, 2015 18:33:07 GMT
Market Deeping Ind Broughton 25.0 Con 24.9 UKIP 9 Ind Bax 25.1 Ind Shelton 11 LD 5
Romsey LD 38 Lab 36 Green 13 Con 9 UKIP 4
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 24, 2015 23:28:11 GMT
Two more shots in the dark.
SOUTH KESTEVEN Market and West Deeping: Ind Broughton 32, C 20, Ind Baxter 19, UKIP 11, Ind Shelton 10, L Dem 8
CAMBRIDGESHIRE Romsey: Lab 37, L Dem 34, GP 13, C 11, UKIP 5
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306 
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Post by maxque on Jun 25, 2015 6:46:13 GMT
Market and West Deeping, South Kesteven: Con 25, Ind Broughton 24, Ind Baxter 19, UKIP 14, Ind Shelton 10, LD 8
Romsey, Cambridgeshire: Lab 38.5, LD 26.1, Grn 22.7, Con 9.9, UKIP 2.8
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Post by hempie on Jun 25, 2015 7:30:38 GMT
South Kesteven, Market 7 West Deeping: Ind Broughton 25, Con 24, Ind Baxter 20,UKIP 17, Ind Shelton 9, LD 5
Cambridgeshire, Romsey: Lab 38, LD 36, Green 15, Con 7, UKIP 4
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 25, 2015 8:16:47 GMT
Cambridgeshire CC - Romsey Lab 39.1% LD 35.4% Grn 13.9% Con 8.5% UKIP 3.1% South Kesteven DC 0 Market & West Deeping Ind Bro 26.7% Con 24.6% Ind Bax 20.5% UKIP 13.2% Ind Sh 10.8% LD 4.2% |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 25, 2015 19:34:46 GMT
Back to 6 entries this week with all otherwise present and correct.
Romsey: 4 Labour gain from Liberal Democrat (majority 2% to 12.4%) with Mark Senior & Robert Waller Liberal Democrat hold (majority 2%)
Market & West Deeping: 5 have Baxter, Broughton & Conservative ahead in differing order, Mark Senior has Broughton, Conservative & UKIP
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Post by Andrew_S on Jun 25, 2015 20:31:54 GMT
My performance last week wasn't very encouraging to put it mildly.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 25, 2015 22:39:41 GMT
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 25, 2015 23:50:39 GMT
Cambridgeshire, Romsey
hempie 12.0 faults, Pete Whitehead 14.2, Maxque 18.1, David Boothroyd 18.9, Robert Waller 18.5+10, Mark Senior 20.9+10
South Kesteven, Market & West Deeping
Robert Waller 17.7 faults, Maxque 21.9, Pete Whitehead 24.9, David Boothroyd 27.8, hempie 27.9, Mark Senior 25.8+10
and for the week
Pete Whitehead 39.1 faults, hempie 39.9, Maxque 40.0, Robert Waller 46.2, David Boothroyd 46.7, Mark Senior 66.7
Phil Rodgers would have got 6.9 faults for his Romsey prediction.
and with the one by-election to come next Tuesday:
196.5 David Boothroyd
207.3 Pete Whitehead
222.2 Mark Senior
231.0 Maxque
243.1 Robert Waller
317.9 hempie
Objections please by 5.00pm Saturday
Predictions for the Cardiff by-election on this thread by 9.00am Tuesday
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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 26, 2015 9:35:59 GMT
I object. Though he was only beaten by 3 votes, I had Baxter ahead in the Deepings. So shouldn't I also have a 10 mark penalty added on for wrong winner?  (Think I might not be only one in this position) |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 26, 2015 9:42:26 GMT
Pretty accurate - I'd make it he got 6.9 faults and came top  |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 26, 2015 14:26:42 GMT
I object. Though he was only beaten by 3 votes, I had Baxter ahead in the Deepings. So shouldn't I also have a 10 mark penalty added on for wrong winner? (Think I might not be only one in this position) There were 3 candidates elected to the Council, 2 Independents and the sole Conservative. As I posted before the close of polls, 5 predicted these 3 being the top candidates and therefore the winners. Mark Senior was the only one to predict UKIP (the average of 3 candidates) being in the top 3 so he gets 10 faults for this incorrect prediction. I failed to specify at the being of the month that, for the multi-member wards, the elected candidates should be identified, eg 2 Conservative / 1 Labour etc. I trust the allocation of wrong winners has been consistent throughout the month. |
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Post by Phil Rodgers on Jun 26, 2015 19:00:32 GMT
Pretty accurate - I'd make it he got 6.9 faults and came top Thanks - I actually managed to add 2 faults during the day; my original prediction was 37/34/20, but I shifted slightly to the Greens after spending the day knocking up. |
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Post by marksenior on Jun 26, 2015 22:29:03 GMT
Pretty accurate - I'd make it he got 6.9 faults and came top Thanks - I actually managed to add 2 faults during the day; my original prediction was 37/34/20, but I shifted slightly to the Greens after spending the day knocking up. Good forecast Phil , hope you will post more on this site . |
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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 29, 2015 12:48:10 GMT
Cardiff Tuesday 30th
C 54% Lab 30 Plaid 8 Green 4 Ind 3 LD 1
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