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Post by andrew111 on Nov 10, 2019 21:22:58 GMT
The Udderly magnificent 5 year plan? π½ The very same! You don't need to go through all of it though. Just skim read it. Dont get in a leather about it. You might get tanned
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BMG
Nov 12, 2019 17:04:49 GMT
Post by finsobruce on Nov 12, 2019 17:04:49 GMT
The very same! You don't need to go through all of it though. Just skim read it. Dont get in a leather about it. You might get tanned There is no hiding place.
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BMG
Nov 12, 2019 21:05:21 GMT
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Post by andrew111 on Nov 12, 2019 21:05:21 GMT
Dont get in a leather about it. You might get tanned There is no hiding place. I would hide in Oxenhope if I wanted to hide (and watch steam trains)
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Andrew_S
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Post by Andrew_S on Nov 16, 2019 21:48:58 GMT
The BMG poll can't be taken entirely seriously because apparently they haven't taken into account the fact that the Brexit Party aren't standing everywhere. That's why the Brexit Party are higher than in the other polls.
These are the figures:
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Vibe
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BMG
Nov 16, 2019 22:06:07 GMT
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Post by Vibe on Nov 16, 2019 22:06:07 GMT
The BMG poll can't be taken entirely seriously because apparently they haven't taken into account the fact that the Brexit Party aren't standing everywhere. That's why the Brexit Party are higher than in the other polls. These are the figures: I'm a shocked they haven't took that into account. These are supposed to be professional pollsters.
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Andrew_S
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BMG
Nov 16, 2019 22:16:47 GMT
Post by Andrew_S on Nov 16, 2019 22:16:47 GMT
The BMG poll can't be taken entirely seriously because apparently they haven't taken into account the fact that the Brexit Party aren't standing everywhere. That's why the Brexit Party are higher than in the other polls. These are the figures: I'm a shocked they haven't took that into account. These are supposed to be professional pollsters. It takes time to organise. They say their next poll will take it into account.
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BMG
Nov 16, 2019 22:18:05 GMT
Post by curiousliberal on Nov 16, 2019 22:18:05 GMT
The BMG poll can't be taken entirely seriously because apparently they haven't taken into account the fact that the Brexit Party aren't standing everywhere. That's why the Brexit Party are higher than in the other polls. These are the figures: I'm a shocked they haven't took that into account. These are supposed to be professional pollsters. Better to project an out-of-date result that at least informs us how BxP might have been doing than project a result saying 'with half the sample we used x methodology, and with the other half we used y methodology'.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 15,318
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BMG
Nov 16, 2019 23:37:26 GMT
Post by Sibboleth on Nov 16, 2019 23:37:26 GMT
The methods that other firms claim to be using to deal with that issue are not particularly impressive either. I don't think this is something that is easy to model.
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The Bishop
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BMG
Nov 17, 2019 11:50:16 GMT
Post by The Bishop on Nov 17, 2019 11:50:16 GMT
Maybe time to remind some people that in 2017 it was the "out of line" pollsters showing lower Tory leads that were actually correct.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 17, 2019 12:01:09 GMT
Maybe time to remind some people that in 2017 it was the "out of line" pollsters showing lower Tory leads that were actually correct. Here is Matt Singh on polling divergences. This time, it seems to be - at least in part - about polling companies weighting for false recall.
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Jack
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BMG
Nov 23, 2019 19:21:55 GMT
mboy likes this
Post by Jack on Nov 23, 2019 19:21:55 GMT
This Labour manifesto is going well for them so far.
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Vibe
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Post by Vibe on Nov 23, 2019 19:48:54 GMT
This Labour manifesto is going well for them so far. Let's see what the Conservatives one says before we pencil in a large majority. Tax cuts for the rich won't go down well in the poorer Brexit areas.
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 23, 2019 19:52:35 GMT
Did either of you even look at the dates for this poll before making your comments?
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on Nov 23, 2019 19:54:02 GMT
Note that the last BMG poll did not adjust for the Brexit Party pulling out so many candidates: evidently this one does.
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Vibe
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BMG
Nov 23, 2019 20:15:27 GMT
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Post by Vibe on Nov 23, 2019 20:15:27 GMT
Did either of you even look at the dates for this poll before making your comments? To be fair a lot of the policies from the manifesto launch have been known several days, if not weeks. And very few voters will have read the manifesto.
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Deleted
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BMG
Nov 30, 2019 17:02:58 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Nov 30, 2019 17:02:58 GMT
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Deleted
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BMG
Nov 30, 2019 17:03:53 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Nov 30, 2019 17:03:53 GMT
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cogload
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Nov 30, 2019 17:05:07 GMT
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Post by cogload on Nov 30, 2019 17:05:07 GMT
Cons 39 (-2) Lab 33 (+5) LD 13 (-5) Green 5 BXP 4
BMG fall into line.
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BMG
Nov 30, 2019 17:13:12 GMT
Post by lancastrian on Nov 30, 2019 17:13:12 GMT
Huge surge for Labour. Lib Dems fall again. 2017 repeat gets ever more likely.
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BMG
Nov 30, 2019 17:21:21 GMT
Post by ccoleman on Nov 30, 2019 17:21:21 GMT
Oh dear, another Tory meltdown in the making?
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