Constituency polls we want but haven't seen yet

[bolbridge]

I thought this sounded fun.

First, the PC battleground, particularly Arfon, Ynys Mon and Ceredigion.

Actually, some other Welsh seats would be nice too.

Perhaps Green targets. Bristol West is the obvious missing one but some other semi-target seats would be good, e.g. Sheffield Central.

Orkney and Shetland.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

I'd like to see some polls of Labour-held marginals in London (other than Hampstead and Kilburn) for obvious selfish reasons.

[greenchristian]

As I said in the constituency polls thread, a selection of safe seats. This gives us a better idea of how constituency polling is matching up to national polling, will enable us to extrapolate from early declarations more effectively, and give a better idea of the variations across the country.

[No Offence Alan]

If I was a masochist I would say Edinburgh West or Argyll and Bute.
Elsewhere, Redditch and Witney.

[thirdchill]

Apr 17, 2015 20:41:46 GMT greenchristian said:

As I said in the constituency polls thread, a selection of safe seats. This gives us a better idea of how constituency polling is matching up to national polling, will enable us to extrapolate from early declarations more effectively, and give a better idea of the variations across the country.

Same here. Would be interesting to see if the swing in these seats is, more, less or the same as the marginals.

On a personal level, would like to see Hexham and Worsley and Eccles South. Also liverpool Riverside would be interesting, to see whether the Greens are a solid second place or not.

[iain]

Aberdeen South, Edinburgh West, North & South, Winchester, Montgomeryshire, Leeds NW and Bristol West

[peterl]

Christchurch - looks like it will be a very strong performance for UKIP, be nice to get an idea of just how strong.

Eastleigh would also be interesting following the by election a couple of years back.

[Deleted]

Battersea.

[East Anglian Lefty]

Waveney.

[iain]

Apr 17, 2015 21:48:19 GMT East Anglian Lefty said:

Waveney.

Had two!

May:
Lab 41%, Con 30%, UKIP 18%, LD 6%, Grn 4%, Oth 1%

July:
Lab 37%, Con 28%, UKIP 22%, Grn 9%, LD 3%, Oth 1%

[mrhell]

I was going to say Rotherham given UKIP's local results there last year but there was one last September. A new one would be interesting. Hexham would indeed be interesting as we got second place back last time but I can't see anything bar a Tory win (Labour are too far back).

I'd like Salford and Eccles to be done just to see if Bez is justifying his second favourite stance in the betting (still 25/1 mind).

There's been a lack of polls in a number seats that the Liberal Democrats lost in 2010. Chesterfield, Cornwall South East, Devon West and Torridge, Hereford and South Herefordshire, Montgomeryshire, Romsey and Southampton North, Weston-super-Mare (lost in 2005), Winchester. It would be especially interesting to see those lost to the Tories.

There's other seats where the betting odds gives the Lib Dems an outside chance. I think Watford's the only one I know has been done. That leaves:
Bosworth, Cambridgeshire South, Cambridgeshire South East, Chelmsford, City Of Durham, Dorset West, Maidstone and Weald, Newcastle Upon Tyne North, Newport East, Oxford East, Pontypridd, Sheffield Central, St Albans, Streatham, Swansea West, Totnes, York Outer.

[greenchristian]

Buckingham might be an interesting one, though obviously it will tell us nothing about anywhere else.

[carlton43]

Apr 17, 2015 20:41:47 GMT No Offence Alan said:

If I was a masochist I would say Edinburgh West or Argyll and Bute.
Elsewhere, Redditch and Witney.

Or even a maso-sadist?

[Richard Allen]

I'd like a rogue poll in Witney that causes Cameron a few sleepless nights.

[Andrew_S]

I was sure Ashcroft had polled Bristol West at some stage but apparently not:

lordashcroftpolls.com/constituency-polls/

[Khunanup]

Any proper constituency polls carried out by anyone but Ashcroft (especially in constituencies previously surveyed by him).