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Post by middleenglander on Apr 1, 2015 21:07:59 GMT
1st April - Tandridge, Whyteleafe
2nd April - Gwynedd, Cadnant
16th April - Cumbria, Walney South
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 1, 2015 21:57:28 GMT
This seems to imply a Lib Dem gain:
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 1, 2015 22:14:39 GMT
TANDRIDGE Whyteleafe
David Lee (Liberal Democrats) 393 (50.0% exactly)
Peter Sweeney (Conservative Party) 274 (34.9%)
Martin Ferguson (United Kingdom Independence Party) 119 (15.1%)
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Post by middleenglander on Apr 1, 2015 22:38:07 GMT
Tandridge, Whyteleafe - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative| Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2014 | since 2012 | since 2010 | since 2010 B | since 2008 | | Liberal Democrat | 393 | 50.0% | +22.8% | +10.3% | +7.8% | -7.0% | -3.8% | | Conservative | 274 | 34.9% | -7.8% | -13.3% | -15.6% | +4.6% | -6.8% | | UKIP | 119 | 15.1% | -4.5% | +3.0% | from nowhere | +2.4% | from nowhere | | Labour |
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| -10.5% |
| -7.4% |
| -4.6% | | Total votes | 786 |
| 71% | 83% | 43% | 101% | 80% |
Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat 15.3% since 2014, 11.8% since 2012, 11.7% since 2010 and 1.5% since 2008 - but Liberal Democrat to Conservative 5.8% since a by-election in February 2010 shortly before the General Election in that year
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 2, 2015 15:53:47 GMT
Nice boost for the yellows at this time.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 2, 2015 22:02:41 GMT
Cadnant
Lab 233
PC 185
LlG 148
Ind 94
Con 22
Lab gain from PC.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 2, 2015 22:04:40 GMT
Wasn't expecting that, tbh - a nice addition to what had become a rather small Labour group there  |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on Apr 2, 2015 22:06:19 GMT
Labour have never won that ward before unless my memory is playing tricks.* Cracking result.
*Admittedly before the 70s local politics in Caernarfon town was 'non partisan', but lets ignore that.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 2, 2015 22:22:13 GMT
Disappointing from our point of view obviously, particularly given that it is in Arfon, notwithstanding of course that we all tend to dislike extrapolating from locals to parliamentary.
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Post by middleenglander on Apr 2, 2015 22:59:34 GMT
Tandridge, Whyteleafe - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative| Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2014 | since 2012 | since 2010 | since 2010 B | since 2008 | | Liberal Democrat | 393 | 50.0% | +22.8% | +10.3% | +7.8% | -7.0% | -3.8% | | Conservative | 274 | 34.9% | -7.8% | -13.3% | -15.6% | +4.6% | -6.8% | | UKIP | 119 | 15.1% | -4.5% | +3.0% | from nowhere | +2.4% | from nowhere | | Labour |
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| -10.5% |
| -7.4% |
| -4.6% | | Total votes | 786 |
| 71% | 83% | 43% | 101% | 80% |
Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat 15.3% since 2014, 11.8% since 2012, 11.7% since 2010 and 1.5% since 2008 - but Liberal Democrat to Conservative 5.8% since a by-election in February 2010 shortly before the General Election in that year Gwynedd, Cadnant - Labour gain from Plaid Cymru| Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2012 | since 2008 | since 2004 | | Labour | 233 | 34.2% | -6.1% | +16.3% | +24.7% | | Plaid Cymru | 185 | 27.1% | -32.6% | -36.9% | from nowhere | | Llais Gwynedd | 148 | 21.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent | 94 | 13.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Conservative | 22 | 3.2% | from nowhere | -14.9% | from nowhere | | Independent Ellis |
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| -50.9% | | Independent Edwards * |
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| -31.0% | | Independent Williams |
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| -8.7% | | Row 10 column 1 | 682 |
| 103% | 103% | 81% |
* Independent Edwards stood for Plaid Cymru in 2008 and 2012 Swing if meaningful Plaid Cymru to Labour 13¼% since 2012 and 26½% since 2008
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Post by Penddu on Apr 3, 2015 9:22:19 GMT
Labour have benefitted from Llais Gwynedd splitting the Plaid vote, so I wouldn't read to much into that result for the Arfon seat in Westminster
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Post by marksenior on Apr 3, 2015 11:08:09 GMT
Labour have benefitted from Llais Gwynedd splitting the Plaid vote, so I wouldn't read to much into that result for the Arfon seat in Westminster Was the Indy ( ex Plaid ) who split the Plaid vote not L G |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 16, 2015 6:00:01 GMT
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Apr 16, 2015 6:58:06 GMT
Yes, you're right. If I read the local news of that area correctly, main subject there is the sea defences and erosion. It's normal, Walney is an island off Barrow-in-Furness. Walney South - Cumbria CC- Mandy Telford (Labour) resigned to return in Scotland after her divorce with Barrow and Furness MP John Woodcock.
2013C Lab 705, Con 242, UKIP 201 2011D Lab 966/914/856, Con 583/422/411 (they switched to all-out, with the same wards) 2010D Lab 1829, Con 959 2009C Con 598, Lab 363, People's Party 210, LD 143 (borough got new wards, but that one wasn't changed) 2008D Con 637/594/592, Lab 528/525/508 2007D Con 599, Lab 525 2006D Con 641/565, Lab 394/389, Ind 223 (double election) 2005C Lab 1211, Con 786, Ind 315/103 2004D Lab 810, Con 658, Ind 295 2003D Lab 523, Con 478 2002D Lab 746, Con 466 Yes, the ward and the division have the same boudaries and weren't changed since a long time, which is not surprising considering they are an island and both South and North wards/divisions have a very similar number of electors. In 2010 North had 4298 and South 4251 (a difference of 47 electors), forecasted to increase to a difference of 48 electors by 2016. Obviously, that place doesn't get re-warded much. Frank Cassidy (Labour Party) Greg Peers (The Conservative Party Candidate) Graham Pritchard (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) The Labour candidate is a borough councillor for that ward since 2011. UKIP candidate was the Conservative candidate in 2003, 2004 and 2005. |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Apr 16, 2015 22:17:34 GMT
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andrea
Non-Aligned
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Post by andrea on Apr 16, 2015 22:40:05 GMT
Labour 727
UKIP 239
Con 181
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Post by middleenglander on Apr 16, 2015 22:40:41 GMT
Tandridge, Whyteleafe - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative| Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2014 | since 2012 | since 2010 | since 2010 B | since 2008 | | Liberal Democrat | 393 | 50.0% | +22.8% | +10.3% | +7.8% | -7.0% | -3.8% | | Conservative | 274 | 34.9% | -7.8% | -13.3% | -15.6% | +4.6% | -6.8% | | UKIP | 119 | 15.1% | -4.5% | +3.0% | from nowhere | +2.4% | from nowhere | | Labour |
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| -10.5% |
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| -4.6% | | Total votes | 786 |
| 71% | 83% | 43% | 101% | 80% |
Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat 15.3% since 2014, 11.8% since 2012, 11.7% since 2010 and 1.5% since 2008 - but Liberal Democrat to Conservative 5.8% since a by-election in February 2010 shortly before the General Election in that year Gwynedd, Cadnant - Labour gain from Plaid Cymru| Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2012 | since 2008 | since 2004 | | Labour | 233 | 34.2% | -6.1% | +16.3% | +24.7% | | Plaid Cymru | 185 | 27.1% | -32.6% | -36.9% | from nowhere | | Llais Gwynedd | 148 | 21.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent | 94 | 13.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Conservative | 22 | 3.2% | from nowhere | -14.9% | from nowhere | | Independent Ellis |
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| -50.9% | | Independent Edwards * |
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| -31.0% | | Independent Williams |
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| -8.7% | | Total votes | 682 |
| 103% | 103% | 81% |
* Independent Edwards stood for Plaid Cymru in 2008 and 2012 Swing if meaningful Plaid Cymru to Labour 13¼% since 2012 and 26½% since 2008 Cumbria, Walney South - Labour hold | Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2013 | since 2009 | since 2005 | | Labour | 727 | 63.4% | +2.0% | +35.8% | +13.2% | | UKIP | 239 | 20.8% | +3.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere
| | Conservative | 181 | 15.8% | -5.3% | -29.7% | -16.8% | | People's Party |
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| -16.0% |
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| -13.0% | | Independent |
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| -4.3% | | Total votes | 1,147 |
| 100% | 87% | 47% |
Swing Labour to UKIP 0.6% since 2013
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 17, 2015 11:56:21 GMT
Nice result for us Strangely enough, the last local council by-elections before the 1992 GE (though just a week earlier in that case) were two Barrow BC vacancies - a hold and a gain from Tory, which proved an accurate bellwether for the local parliamentary seat if not nationally  |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Apr 17, 2015 13:46:32 GMT
Nice result for us Strangely enough, the last local council by-elections before the 1992 GE (though just a week earlier in that case) were two Barrow BC vacancies - a hold and a gain from Tory, which proved an accurate bellwether for the local parliamentary seat if not nationally Just remember that Walney does things it's own way...much like the Isle of Sheppey. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 17, 2015 13:49:45 GMT
It actually tends to do what the rest of Barrow does - though the town has sometimes been quite a politically contrary place in the past.
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