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Post by bolbridge on Mar 19, 2015 23:13:01 GMT
So it looks like:
VVD remain top, albeit shared with the CDA. So pretty resilient despite not insignificant seat losses.
Labour are crushed, going down from 107 to 64 seats And being overtaken by the CDA, SP, D66 and PVV (the latter in a net loss of seats).
D66 the big gainers, but the SP also did well and also the Party of the Animals - the latter perhaps benefitting from the slow and steady demise of GroenLinks.
Another thing to notice is that the CU, SGP and 50PLUS did well - I'm wondering if this implies low turnout.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Mar 19, 2015 23:36:45 GMT
Didn't know these were even going on, so thanks for letting us know!
I suspect your prognosis of low turnout is correct. SGP vote tends not to fluctuate though, generally, as it's reliable and geographically concentrated.
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Post by bolbridge on Mar 20, 2015 11:41:08 GMT
It will be interesting to see if the success of D66 and the SP (and to a lesser degree the CDA) transfers to the general election, as D66 in particular have a habit of toppings polls only to wind up with pretty minor gains in the general election.
Also, the PVdA did much better in the local elections than polls suggest they'll do in the general - that could be differential voting or it could be a sign that they could once again bounce back come the general election.
The CDA did fairly well, but Rutte has proved master at squeezing his competition and I see no evidence that he won't do it again.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Mar 20, 2015 16:28:27 GMT
The PvdA have, to put it one way, run into some racial problems in recent months which may have depressed its vote in certain areas, especially large cities flattened decades ago in a Teutonic manner. I'll explain more tomorrow.
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,589 
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Post by cibwr on Mar 21, 2015 11:15:07 GMT
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Mar 21, 2015 13:06:15 GMT
The PvdA have, to put it one way, run into some racial problems in recent months which may have depressed its vote in certain areas, especially large cities flattened decades ago in a Teutonic manner. I'll explain more tomorrow. Right, I'll come back to this. In Rotterdam last year, there was a certain amount of debate caused when the PvdA's Ahmed Aboutaleb, the mayor of Rotterdam, former minister and a Moroccan-born Muslim, told immigrants who did not want to intergrate that they should bugger off. Now, as in many Western European countries, the local Labour Party has found itself (in certain cities) as the target of sustained entryism over the years by people who wouldn't know socialism if it leapt up and bit them on the commanding heights of the economy. Aboutaleb's comments naffed off quite a few of these characters, and the various new Islamic parties may well have (in the short term anyway) taken some of these previously solid PvdA voters. |
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