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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 27, 2014 20:53:06 GMT
London 2014| | | | Change | seats | change | | Lab | 944422 | 37.6% | +5.1 | 147 | +19 | | Con | 663678 | 26.4% | -5.4 | 84 | -14 | | LD | 267670 | 10.6% | -11.9 | 10 | -12 | | Grn | 244206 | 9.7% | +3.1 | | | | UKIP | 238625 | 9.5% | +8.4 | 2 | +2 | | Ind | 31093 | 1.2% | -0.1 | | | | THF | 28170 | 1.1% | +1.1 | 2 | +2 | | Res | 26764 | 1.1% | -0.2 | 5 | +3 | | Oth | 69045 | 2.7% | -0.1 | | |
 Lab Gain from Con Baron's Court Battersea South Dulwich East Barnet Enfield Chase Enfield Town Feltham Hanworth Isle of Dogs Merton Paddington St John's Wood West Drayton Lab Gain from LD Acton South East Dulwich Forest Hill Highgate Hornsey Rotherhithe Streatham North West Hampstead Willesden Green Con Gain from LD Hampton Kingston Whitton Res Gain from Con Emerson Park Hornchurch North Hornchurch South THF Gain from Lab Stepney Whitechapel UKIP Gain from Con The Crays UKIP Gain from Lab Harold Hill
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 27, 2014 21:02:35 GMT
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Post by johnloony on Dec 28, 2014 2:31:28 GMT
You seem to have got the wrong colour for New Addington/Fieldway in Croydon. |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299 
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Post by maxque on Dec 28, 2014 4:36:42 GMT
That's great, but, for the benefit of new members, perhaps an explanation of what this thread is would be useful? Or just a link to a previous edition explaining it?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 28, 2014 9:30:08 GMT
You seem to have got the wrong colour for New Addington/Fieldway in Croydon. Well spotted - really ought to have done that myself. It looks like the UKIP vote was put in the Independent column for those two wards so this will effect the total votes too |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 28, 2014 9:45:59 GMT
That's great, but, for the benefit of new members, perhaps an explanation of what this thread is would be useful? Or just a link to a previous edition explaining it? Yes indeed. Here is the original (still unfinished) thread vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/752/landtag-elections-2011?page=1The key to the seats here plus older results for London are on pages 14 and 15 of that thread. Perhaps a moderator could move that thread to this forum as I should probably have put it here had it existed at the time. |
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Post by psephos on Dec 28, 2014 10:03:29 GMT
How have you djusted for new wards in three of the boroughs?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 28, 2014 10:16:55 GMT
I've gone for best fit in most cases. Its not a new problem as I've gone back to 1990/91 with these lander seats without officially changing boundaries and there have several sets of ward boundary changes in that time (in London obviously a full reorganisation in 2002).
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wallington
Green
The Pride of Croydon 2022 award winner
Posts: 1,322
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Post by wallington on Jan 1, 2015 12:41:30 GMT
Near 10% of the vote across London and no seats! We Greens demand PR for Landtag elections! ROFL. We went into the elections hoping to beat the Lib Dems on vote share and pick up a couple seats from are 12 seat target list. Failed on both accounts!  Great fun. Anyway, which seats were The Greens closest to making a breakthrough? Well don to UKIP, they were just better at targeting resources. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 4, 2015 21:46:22 GMT
They weren't very close anywhere I'm afraid. Most of the seats where they enjoyed their highest % share were safe Labour seats in Hackney, Islington, Lambeth, Southwark and Lewisham. The closest was Highgate where they came second with 22.9% to Labour's 35.5% and the next closest was neighbouring Muswell Hill where they were 13.8% behind the winning Lib Dems but in third place.
The only other seats where they had both a significant vote and were within 20% of the winner were Brockley and Ladywell in Lewisham (Brockley being the only seat the party have ever won in London which they did in 2006). There were a few other seats where they were within 20% of the winner due to a very low winning share (eg Acton South Labour 1st on 29.4% Green 4th on 12.8%). In Highbury they were just over 20% behind with a vote share of 24.5%
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 28, 2015 18:06:13 GMT
Thames Chiltern 2015 | | | | change | seats | change | | | | | | | | | Con | 893200 | 44.4% | -1.5 | 121 | +14 | | Lab | 430421 | 21.4% | -1.5 | 25 | -6 | | LD | 283044 | 14.1% | -6.1 | 4 | -8 | | UKIP | 201980 | 10.0% | +7.7 | | | | Grn | 138156 | 6.9% | +3.1 | | | | Ind | 62055 | 3.1% | -1.5 | | | | Oth | 2689 | 0.1% | -0.2 | | |
 Con Gain from LD Aylesbury North Houghton Regis St Albans East The Langleys Watford Cassiobury Watford Garston Watford Oxhey Con Gain from Lab Banbury West Bletchley Borehamwood Slough Langley Stevenage North Welwyn Garden City South Wolverton Lab Gain from LD Bedford East |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 28, 2015 18:13:41 GMT
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neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
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Post by neilm on Dec 31, 2015 2:35:56 GMT
What are those Labour holds?
Particularly pleasing to see Wolverton as a Conservative gain: I don't like a local Labour figure and that would annoy him hugely.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 18, 2016 18:29:21 GMT
Lancastria 2015 | | | | Change | seats | change | | Lab | 1425616 | 43.2% | -2.3 | 167 | +5 | | Con | 903461 | 27.4% | -2.8 | 72 | +2 | | UKIP | 382446 | 11.6% | +9.8 | | | | LD | 271182 | 8.3% | -5.8 | 10 | -3 | | Grn | 186996 | 5.7% | +3.0 | | | | Ind | 102292 | 3.1% | -1.3 | 1 | -4 | | Oth | 30243 | 0.9% | -0.5 | | |
 Lab Gain from Con Chester North Formby Littleborough Ormskirk Lab Gain from Ind Morecambe Winstanley Lab Gain from LD Liverpool Woolton Con Gain from LD Appleby Hazel Grove Marple Saddleworth Con Gain from Lab Bredbury Carlisle North Con Gain from Ind Heysham LD Gain from Con Southport South LD Gain from Rate Cheadle Gatley |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 18, 2016 18:32:36 GMT
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Clarko
Conservative & Unionist
Posts: 149
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Post by Clarko on Jan 19, 2016 8:26:17 GMT
Lancastria 2015
| | | Change | seats | change | | Lab | 1425616 | 43.2% | -2.3 | 167 | +5 | | Con | 903461 | 27.4% | -2.8 | 72 | +2 | | UKIP | 382446 | 11.6% | +9.8 |
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| | LD | 271182 | 8.3% | -5.8 | 10 | -3 | | Grn | 186996 | 5.7% | +3.0 |
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| | Ind | 102292 | 3.1% | -1.3 | 1 | -4 | | Oth | 30243 | 0.9% | -0.5 |
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Lab Gain from Con Chester North Formby Littleborough Ormskirk Lab Gain from Ind Morecambe Winstanley Lab Gain from LD Liverpool Woolton Con Gain from LD Appleby Hazel Grove Marple Saddleworth Con Gain from Lab Bredbury Carlisle North Con Gain from Ind Heysham LD Gain from Con Southport South LD Gain from Rate Cheadle Gatley Glad to see I've been (re)elected!  |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 19, 2016 10:30:15 GMT
What's your seat? Worsley?
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Clarko
Conservative & Unionist
Posts: 149
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Post by Clarko on Jan 19, 2016 11:00:44 GMT
What's your seat? Worsley? Yes (in real life it's the Worsley bit of Worsley)  |
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Post by afleitch on Jan 19, 2016 16:33:58 GMT
As much as I like this experiment it demonstrates how truly awful federal states in England would be without some form of PR.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 19, 2016 17:00:06 GMT
As much as I like this experiment it demonstrates how truly awful federal states in England would be without some form of PR. Well, up to a point ... If there really were Landtags, then the administrations would become reasonably well known and reported on. An administration that became complacent or corrupt would open the door to being challenged - possibly not by a party which did badly in national politics, but by a local party. We do have some evidence from local authorities that local scandals and incompetence do shift votes. Cheshire West and Chester went Labour this year, for instance. Stoke-on-Trent was lost by Labour. |
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