2007 Scottish Parliamentary Election results by Ward

[clyde1998]

I've just come across this, so I've converted the figures into the Westminster boundaries. The spreadsheet is here.


Lab - 30 (-11 on 2005)
SNP - 18 (+12)
Lib - 9 (-2)
Con - 2 (+1)

The differences from the 2005 (and 2010) Westminster elections are:

Lab to Con (1)
Dumfries and Galloway

Lab to Lib (2)
Aberdeen South
Edinburgh South

Lab to SNP (9)
Aberdeen North
Dundee West
Edinburgh East
Falkirk
Glenrothes
Kilmarnock and Loudoun
Livingston
Ochil and South Perthshire
Stirling

Lib to Lab (1)
East Dunbartonshire

Lib to SNP (3)
Argyll and Bute
Gordon
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey

The most marginal seats were:
Edinburgh South West - 0.09% Lab over Con; 1.95% Lab over SNP
Kilmarnock and Loudoun - 0.24% SNP over Lab
Falkirk - 0.32% SNP over Lab
Stirling - 0.35% SNP over Lab
Edinburgh East - 0.40% SNP over Lab
Livingston - 0.45% SNP over Lab
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk - 0.60% Lib over Con
Glenrothes - 1.07% SNP over Lab
Midlothian - 1.29% Lab over SNP
Edinburgh South - 1.43% Lib over Lab
North Ayrshire and Arran - 1.75% Lab over SNP

The five highest vote shares for each party were:
Conservative
37.9% - Dumfries and Galloway
34.0% - Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
33.6% - East Renfrewshire
32.0% - Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
28.3% - Edinburgh South West

Labour
54.4% - Glasgow North East
53.7% - Glasgow East
52.2% - Glasgow South West
49.7% - Motherwell and Wishaw
49.2% - Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill

Liberal Democrat
57.7% - Orkney and Shetland
41.5% - Ross, Skye and Lochaber
40.5% - West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine
40.1% - North East Fife
39.7% - Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross

SNP
58.0% - Banff and Buchan
51.5% - Dundee East
49.7% - Moray
47.2% - Angus
46.9% - Perth and North Perthshire

[afleitch]

Dec 19, 2019 16:56:18 GMT clyde1998 said:

I've just come across this, so I've converted the figures into the Westminster boundaries. The spreadsheet is here.


Lab - 30 (-11 on 2005)
SNP - 18 (+12)
Lib - 9 (-2)
Con - 2 (+1)

The differences from the 2005 (and 2010) Westminster elections are:

Lab to Con (1)
Dumfries and Galloway

Lab to Lib (2)
Aberdeen South
Edinburgh South

Lab to SNP (9)
Aberdeen North
Dundee West
Edinburgh East
Falkirk
Glenrothes
Kilmarnock and Loudoun
Livingston
Ochil and South Perthshire
Stirling

Lib to Lab (1)
East Dunbartonshire

Lib to SNP (3)
Argyll and Bute
Gordon
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey

The most marginal seats were:
Edinburgh South West - 0.09% Lab over Con; 1.95% Lab over SNP
Kilmarnock and Loudoun - 0.24% SNP over Lab
Falkirk - 0.32% SNP over Lab
Stirling - 0.35% SNP over Lab
Edinburgh East - 0.40% SNP over Lab
Livingston - 0.45% SNP over Lab
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk - 0.60% Lib over Con
Glenrothes - 1.07% SNP over Lab
Midlothian - 1.29% Lab over SNP
Edinburgh South - 1.43% Lib over Lab
North Ayrshire and Arran - 1.75% Lab over SNP

The five highest vote shares for each party were:
Conservative
37.9% - Dumfries and Galloway
34.0% - Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
33.6% - East Renfrewshire
32.0% - Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
28.3% - Edinburgh South West

Labour
54.4% - Glasgow North East
53.7% - Glasgow East
52.2% - Glasgow South West
49.7% - Motherwell and Wishaw
49.2% - Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill

Liberal Democrat
57.7% - Orkney and Shetland
41.5% - Ross, Skye and Lochaber
40.5% - West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine
40.1% - North East Fife
39.7% - Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross

SNP
58.0% - Banff and Buchan
51.5% - Dundee East
49.7% - Moray
47.2% - Angus
46.9% - Perth and North Perthshire

That's really good work! I've done some work with the raw data to show the post 2012 wards which you've reminded me to post.

[afleitch]

Okay. Sorry to rain on your parade here; here is the updated spreadsheet. I found the old raw data in an account I hadn't used since 2008 and walked through it again. There are some revisions due to some erroneously allocated polling districts, none of which 'flip' any wards but do change some of the numbers;

Ochil - Whole seat

Paisley South - Changes to Paisley North West, Paisley South, Johnstone South and Johnstone North

Maryhill - Changes to Canal and Hillhead

The left column shows the 2007 wards and the right column the transfers out to the 2017 wards. This is based on transferring whole polling stations, or apportioning part polling stations. It's not an exact science.

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nh-1Ip80VP4brX6boueZjff5x1AUC4ehpfBymkUpICA/edit?usp=sharing

[southpaw1]

Love this analysis. Looking at your spreadsheet for 2007, The strongest Labour Ward was Kilsyth which I’ve always regarded as an under rated Labour powerhouse. Cumnock, coatbridge west, fortissat or Cowdenbeath would have been my other favourites for best Labour Ward.

[southpaw1]

Is it possible to get ward results for the most recent Holyrood election last month?

[Davıd Boothroyd]

No - wasn't counted by ward.

[Georg Ebner]

Dec 19, 2019 19:20:09 GMT afleitch said:

The left column shows the 2007 wards and the right column the transfers out to the 2017 wards. This is based on transferring whole polling stations, or apportioning part polling stations. It's not an exact science.

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nh-1Ip80VP4brX6boueZjff5x1AUC4ehpfBymkUpICA/edit?usp=sharing

I hope, i am allowed by the author to publish here - otherwise i will delete it as soon as possible - a link to this table with the % added:

drive.google.com/file/d/1E193LvD0PRWxWIWHtEk7vglJbQtLzoAW/view?usp=sharing

[afleitch]

Jun 15, 2021 16:22:57 GMT Georg Ebner said:

Dec 19, 2019 19:20:09 GMT afleitch said:

The left column shows the 2007 wards and the right column the transfers out to the 2017 wards. This is based on transferring whole polling stations, or apportioning part polling stations. It's not an exact science.

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nh-1Ip80VP4brX6boueZjff5x1AUC4ehpfBymkUpICA/edit?usp=sharing

I hope, i am allowed by the author to publish here - otherwise i will delete it as soon as possible - a link to this table with the % added:

drive.google.com/file/d/1E193LvD0PRWxWIWHtEk7vglJbQtLzoAW/view?usp=sharing

Good work

[afleitch]

I'm currently updating these results for the proposed new wards.