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Post by carlton43 on Sept 20, 2014 16:36:51 GMT
I like that Carlton ignores the Crook result entirely. Rock solid Labour heartland and UKIP getting towards 50% of the Labour poll. Yes I should mentioned it. |
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Post by Deleted on Sept 20, 2014 18:27:01 GMT
There was no Plaid Cymru candidate in Abergele/Pensarn in 2008 or 2012 either which hardly makes it better but hardly makes it a great shock either. As has been mentioned, perhaps not obvious Plaid Cymru territory
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 20, 2014 20:21:35 GMT
There was no Plaid Cymru candidate in Abergele/Pensarn in 2008 or 2012 either which hardly makes it better but hardly makes it a great shock either. As has been mentioned, perhaps not obvious Plaid Cymru territory Amazing statement. I would hope that you consider every seat in Wales to be 'Your' territory. |
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Post by Deleted on Sept 20, 2014 21:22:50 GMT
Or we could be realistic.
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Post by gwynthegriff on Sept 20, 2014 21:50:40 GMT
There was no Plaid Cymru candidate in Abergele/Pensarn in 2008 or 2012 either which hardly makes it better but hardly makes it a great shock either. As has been mentioned, perhaps not obvious Plaid Cymru territory Amazing statement. I would hope that you consider every seat in Wales to be 'Your' territory. Does UKIP contest every local council byelection in the UK? |
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Post by marksenior on Sept 20, 2014 21:56:54 GMT
Yeovil TC Central ward Lib Dem hold LD 745 Lab 275
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 20, 2014 22:46:12 GMT
Amazing statement. I would hope that you consider every seat in Wales to be 'Your' territory. Does UKIP contest every local council byelection in the UK? No. But they only have a few by-elections in Wales and they only stand at all in Wales. What do I care? Just an observation on appetite to compete. If they don't want it ....that's fine by the rest of us. |
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 23, 2014 9:50:31 GMT
Conwy, Abergele Pensarn - Labour hold | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2012 | since 2008 | since 2004 | | Labour | 160 | 25.9% | -29.2% | -12.6% | -20.8% | | Ind Smith | 134 | 21.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | UKIP | 129 | 20.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Ken Sudlow * | 74 | 12.0% | -13.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Ind Griffiths | 56 | 9.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Conservative | 54 | 8.8% | -10.9% | -35.2% | -17.2% | | Ind Parker | 10 | 1.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independents |
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| -17.5% | -27.3% | | Total votes | 617 |
| 84% | 84% | 105% |
* contested seat as No Description in by-election and as Independent in 2012 Swing not meaningful Durham, Crook - Labour gain from Independent| Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2013 B | since 2013 "top" | since 2013 "average" | | Labour | 753 | 46.8% | +6.5% | +16.0% | +14.1% | | UKIP | 339 | 21.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 233 | 14.5% | +6.6% | +7.6% | +7.6% | | Independent | 193 | 12.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Conservative | 90 | 5.6% | +2.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent |
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| -27.0% | -33.0% | -31.9% | | Wear Valley Independent |
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| -19.6% | -24.0% | -23.7% | | Green | |
| -2.2% | -5.3% | -4.8% | | Total votes | 1,608 |
| 88% | 69% | 77% |
Swing not meaningful Oxford, Quarry & Risinghurst - Labour hold | Party | 2014 B votes | 2014 B share | since 2014 | since 2012 | since 2010 | since 2008 | | Labour | 782 | 42.3% | -1.3% | -7.2% | +3.5% | +4.7% | | Liberal Democrat | 615 | 33.3% | +7.8% | +9.3% | +4.8% | +5.3% | | Conservative | 222 | 12.0% | -7.2% | -6.1% | -10.3% | -17.8% | | Green | 186 | 10.1% | -1.7% | +5.6% | +3.8% | +5.9% | | English Democrat | 43 | 2.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | UKIP |
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| -4.0% | -4.1% |
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| -0.4% | | Total votes | 1,848 |
| 86% | 108% | 56% | 89% |
Swing Labour to Liberal Democrat 4½% since May 2014, 8¼% since 2012, ~½% since 2010 & ~¼% since 2008
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