Post by marksenior on May 31, 2014 21:20:59 GMT
Comres have carried out an Online poll on behalf of UKIP donor Paul Sykes . It is not a pure VI poll but does tell us a couple of interesting things .
1) Either the people polled are not representative of the whole population or they told porkies . 66% said they voted in the Euro elections nearly twice as many as actually voted .
2) People are not very good at forecasting how they will vote next year . One set of questions asked them how likely on a scale of 1 to 10 they were likely to vote Con/Lab/LDem and UKIP in the next GE
Taking 100% of those saying 10/10 . 90% of those saying 9/10 , 80% of those saying 8/10 etc gives the following VI by party
Con 39%
Lab 39%
UKIP 33%
LDem 22%
So that is 133% without Greens , Nats and others
1) Either the people polled are not representative of the whole population or they told porkies . 66% said they voted in the Euro elections nearly twice as many as actually voted .
2) People are not very good at forecasting how they will vote next year . One set of questions asked them how likely on a scale of 1 to 10 they were likely to vote Con/Lab/LDem and UKIP in the next GE
Taking 100% of those saying 10/10 . 90% of those saying 9/10 , 80% of those saying 8/10 etc gives the following VI by party
Con 39%
Lab 39%
UKIP 33%
LDem 22%
So that is 133% without Greens , Nats and others