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Post by thirdchill on Apr 25, 2014 0:09:12 GMT
RE: the above ward. LDEM 523 50.9% +27.0% CON 280 27.2% -19.2% UKIP 162 15.8% +15.8% LAB 63 6.1% -23.6% That is an excellent result for the Lib Dems. Neither here nor there for UKIP and rubbish for us and labour. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Apr 25, 2014 9:05:38 GMT
I'd argue 16% is pretty rubbish for UKIP in the Fens too, but really with the Lib Dems doing so well there everybody else has to do badly. I suspect a local vote, for local people.
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Post by middleenglander on Apr 25, 2014 9:08:06 GMT
Conservative wins North Kesteven by-election.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Apr 25, 2014 9:16:37 GMT
I'd argue 16% is pretty rubbish for UKIP in the Fens too, but really with the Lib Dems doing so well there everybody else has to do badly. I suspect a local vote, for local people. Also the local circumstances and collapse of the Tory party there makes this one where it seems everyone wanted to punish them ? |
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Post by norfolkfeller on Apr 25, 2014 10:11:45 GMT
East Lindsey DC - Horncastle
Con 432 38.43%
Ind 353 31.41%
UKIP 339 30.16%
Turnout 20.82%
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North Kesteven DC - Osbournby
Con 312 49.68%
Ind 269 42.83%
Lab 38 6.05%
LD 9 1.43%
Turnout 33.8%
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Post by norfolkfeller on Apr 25, 2014 10:28:44 GMT
I'd argue 16% is pretty rubbish for UKIP in the Fens too, but really with the Lib Dems doing so well there everybody else has to do badly. I suspect a local vote, for local people. Lorna Dupre is well known locally, and was the only candidate living in Sutton. Party loyalties often aren't as important in the sticks as they are in towns and cities, where it's easier to get elected in a ward you don't live in. A vote for Lorna, rather than the Lib Dems here, I think. I think the UKIP vote was about right for this ward. We often take weekend breaks close to Sutton. A strange mix of country Tory and Cambridge liberal. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,946
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 25, 2014 10:31:59 GMT
Getting fewer votes than nominations is always an achievement  |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Apr 25, 2014 10:46:31 GMT
I'd argue 16% is pretty rubbish for UKIP in the Fens too, but really with the Lib Dems doing so well there everybody else has to do badly. I suspect a local vote, for local people. Lorna Dupre is well known locally, and was the only candidate living in Sutton. Party loyalties often aren't as important in the sticks as they are in towns and cities, where it's easier to get elected in a ward you don't live in. A vote for Lorna, rather than the Lib Dems here, I think. I think the UKIP vote was about right for this ward. We often take weekend breaks close to Sutton. A strange mix of country Tory and Cambridge liberal. A decent amount of Cambridge not-so-liberal too. That bit of East Cambridgeshire is quite popular with people priced out of Cambridge. |
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Post by norfolkfeller on Apr 25, 2014 14:25:57 GMT
Lorna Dupre is well known locally, and was the only candidate living in Sutton. Party loyalties often aren't as important in the sticks as they are in towns and cities, where it's easier to get elected in a ward you don't live in. A vote for Lorna, rather than the Lib Dems here, I think. I think the UKIP vote was about right for this ward. We often take weekend breaks close to Sutton. A strange mix of country Tory and Cambridge liberal. A decent amount of Cambridge not-so-liberal too. That bit of East Cambridgeshire is quite popular with people priced out of Cambridge. ... who in turn price out the locals. We were staggered by the competition for our terraced house (note that - "terraced house") outside Norwich. No 13 has now become Leaf Cottage, while the next door terrace is now Brook Cottage. Down the road they built more "cottages" and called the road "Bluebell Way", having trashed the bluebells and woodland to build it. And, naturally, there's an incomer petition to prevent the building of social housing for locals who can't get on the housing ladder. Don't you just love the middle classes? |
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Post by middleenglander on Apr 27, 2014 10:48:29 GMT
Caerphilly, Blackwood - Labour hold | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2012 "top" | since 2012 "average" | since 2010 B | since 2008 "top" | since 2008 "average" | | Labour | 620 | 41.0% | -4.0% | -4.4% | +5.5% | +19.2% | +16.1% | | Independent | 477 | 31.5% | -2.0% | -3.4% | +1.0% | -24.2% | -15.5% | | Plaid Cymru | 349 | 23.1% | +8.9% | +10.5% | +0.1% | +7.4% | +3.2% | | Conservative | 68 | 4.5% | -2.8% | -2.6% | -6.6% | -2.3% | -3.8% | | Total votes | 1,514 |
| -969 | -709 | -25 | -1,704 | -1,022 |
Swing Labour to Independent ~1% since 2012 but Independent to Labour 2ΒΌ% since September 2010 by-election and circa 20% since 2008 East Cambridgeshire, Sutton - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | since 2007 "top" | since 2007 "average" | | Lib Dem | 523 | 50.9% | +27.0% | +31.1% | +14.6% | +16.4% | | Conservative | 280 | 27.2% | -19.2% | -21.1% | -23.9% | -24.2% | | UKIP | 162 | 15.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 63 | 6.1% | -23.6% | -25.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Green |
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| -12.6% | -14.1% | | Total votes | 1,028 |
| -249 | -160 | +24 | +126 |
Swing Conservative to Lib Dem 23% / 26% since 2011 and ~20% since 2007 East Lindsey, Horncastle - Conservative hold | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | since 2007 "top" | since 2007 "average" | | Conservative | 432 | 38.4% | +4.3% | +1.1% | +9.7% | +7.4% | Independent
| 353 | 31.4% | +9.2% | +7.5% | +5.4% | +3.3% | | UKIP | 339 | 30.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Lib Dem |
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| -32.4% | -27.4% | -34.0% | -28.8% | | Labour |
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| -11.2% | -11.3% |
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| | BNP |
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| -11.2% | -12.1% | | Total votes | 1,124 |
| -2,233 | -1,942 | -2,166 | -1,925 |
Swing, if meaningful, Conservative to Independent ~3% since 2011 but Independent to Conservative ~2% since 2007 North Kesteven, Osbournby - Conservative gain from Independent | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2011 | since 2007 | since 2003 | | Conservative | 312 | 49.7% | +19.3% | +0.7% | +16.7% | | Lincs Independent | 269 | 42.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 38 | 6.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | -1.4% | | Lib Dem | 9 | 1.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | -26.2% | | Independent |
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| -69.6% | -51.0% | -32.0% | | Total votes | 628 | | -322 | -193 | -267 |
Swing not meaningful
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