Prediction Competition for April / May 2014

[Robert Waller]

Well, if ME has retired for the evening, I'll make a rough guess that GKR has won the week decisively and is well ahead for the month, with tonyotim second.

[Deleted]

Apr 10, 2014 14:26:50 GMT carlton43 said:

Apr 10, 2014 0:47:11 GMT thirdchill said:

This is a go-for-broke prediction list. Either first place this week or last place. Always interesting when people take a risk.

However I thought my prediction was safe last week, and it was a load of rubbish.

Best of luck 3rd in what is a high risk prediction.  Why not take the chance?

I think we have found out! I have got badly stung on home turf in Oxfordshire.

[middleenglander]

Subject to verification:

Cumbria, Castle
tonyotim 19.1 faults, Myth11 & thirdchill 20.5, Joe 23.5, hempie & Robert Waller 24.4, Pete Whitehead 26.3, greatkingrat & Mark Senior 26.5, PhilDav 28.4, peter1 30.5, David Boothroyd 32.4, CatholicLeft 36.6, brianj 40.5

Flintshire, Trelawny
Pete Whitehead 34.8 faults, hempie 34.9, tonyotim 35.0, brianj 35.5, Mark Senior & peter1 35.6, Robert Waller 36.9, Joe 37.6, David Boothroyd & thirdchill 39.6, greatkingrat 40.9, Myth11 38.7+10, CatholicLeft 51.1, PhilDav 56.9

North East Derbyshire, Coal Aston
greatkingrat 4.5 faults, CatholicLeft 5.6, PhilDav 9.0, Joe, Robert Waller & thirdchill 10.5, hempie & peter1 14.5+10, David Boothroyd & Myth11 16.5+10, tonyotim 16.9+10, Pete Whitehead 17.1+10, Mark Senior 18.5+10, brianj 38.5+10

Vale of White Horse, Wantage Charlton
greatkingrat 10.3 faults, hempie 11.3+10, CatholicLeft 11.9+10, tonyotim 12.5+10, peter1 24.0, Robert Waller 14.3+10, David Boothroyd 18.0+10, Mark Senior 19.3+10, thirdchill 20.0+10, Pete Whitehead 21.1+10, PhilDav 23.3+10, Myth11 26.0+10, Joe 29.3+10, brianj 41.3+10

and for the week
greatkingrat 82.2, Robert Waller 96.1, thirdchill 100.6, tonyotim 103.4, hempie 105.1, Joe 110.8, peter1 114.6, CatholicLeft 115.2, Pete Whitehead 119.2, Mark Senior 119.8, David Boothroyd 126.5, PhilDav 127.6, Myth11 131.8, brianj 175.7

and for the month to date:

89.6 greatkingrat
114.2 tonyotim
119.5 Robert Waller
124.5 hempie
127.5 CatholicLeft

130.2 Joe
130.2 thirdchill
134.9 PhilDav
140.2 Pete Whitehead
145.2 Mark Senior

150.1 David Boothroyd
150.5 Myth11
214.6 peter1
221.1 brianj

Objections please by noon Saturday

There are no by-elections next week but 4 the following week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday April 4th.

[thirdchill]

Congrats to gkr for the week, the clear winner.

[Pete Whitehead]

Well done Greatkingrat

[Tony Otim]

Congrats to greatkingrat.

[thirdchill]

Predictions for the 24th April. Posting today as am seeing family and friends back in the north east for a week so won't be online as much.

Caerphilly - Blackwood

Labour - 44%
Ind - 34%
Plaid - 16%
Cons - 6%

East Cambridgeshire - Sutton

Cons - 35%
UKIP - 26%
Labour - 25%
Lib Dem - 14%

East Lindsay - Horncastle

Cons - 37%
UKIP - 34%
Ind - 29%

North Kesteven - Osbournby

Linc Ind - 35%
Cons - 28%
Lib Dem - 20%
Labour - 17%

[middleenglander]

We are going away for a few days back on Saturday. Perhaps the Deputy Returning Officer can officiate in the meantime.

[myth11]

Caerphilly - Blackwood



Labour - 40%

Ind - 34%

Plaid - 20%

Cons - 6%



East Cambridgeshire - Sutton



Cons - 35%

UKIP - 30%

Labour - 20%

Lib Dem - 15%



East Lindsay - Horncastle



ukip - 37%

cons - 34%

Ind - 29%



North Kesteven - Osbournby



cons - 39%

lincs indy - 36%

Lib Dem - 15%

Labour - 10%

[Robert Waller]

Caerphilly - Blackwood



Labour - 38%

Ind - 36%

Plaid - 20%

Cons - 6%



East Cambridgeshire - Sutton



Cons - 31%

UKIP - 30%

Labour - 11%

Lib Dem - 28%



East Lindsey - Horncastle



ukip - 28%

cons - 37%

Ind - 35%



North Kesteven - Osbournby



cons - 37%

lincs indy - 45%

Lib Dem - 10%

Labour - 8%

[Deleted]

North Kesteven
Con 41
Ind 39
LD 10
Lab 10

East Lindsey
Ind 39
Con 33
UKIP 28

East Cambs
Con 34
UKIP 28
LD 25
Lab 13

Caerphilly

Lab 48
Ind 30
PC 15
Con 7

[Deleted]

North Kesteven

Con 43
Ind 35
LD 9
Lab 13

East Lindsey

Ind 39
Con 33
UKIP 28

East Cambs

Con 30
UKIP 32
LD 21
Lab 17

Caerphilly

Lab 44
Ind 33
PC 17
Con 6

[Davıd Boothroyd]

CAERPHILLY Blackwood: Lab 39, Ind 33, PC 21, C 7
EAST CAMBRIDGESHIRE Sutton: C 37, UKIP 28, L Dem 19, Lab 16
EAST LINDSEY Horncastle: C 51, UKIP 25, Ind 24
NORTH KESTEVEN Osbournby: Ind 53, C 26, L Dem 12, Lab 9

[greatkingrat]

CAERPHILLY - Lab 47, Ind 29, PC 17, Con 7
EAST CAMBS - Con 36, UKIP 26, Lab 22, LD 16
EAST LINDSEY - Con 36, UKIP 33, Ind 31
NORTH KESTEVEN - Ind 42, Con 38, Lab 13, LD 7

[brianj]

Theme for the week: "Underneath the Purple Rain..."

Caerphilly, Blackwood: Lab 41, Ind 36, PC 14, Con 9.
East Cambs, Sutton: UKIP 40, Con 26, Lab 22, LD 12.
East Lindsey, Horncastle: UKIP 40, Ind 33, Con 27.
North Kesteven, Osbournby: Ind 50, Con 30, Lab 14, LD 6.

[hedgehog]

Caerphilly, Blackwood, Lab 40 Ind30 Plaid 23 Con 7
East Cams, Sutton, Con 32 Ukip 30 Lib Dem 26 Lab 12
East Lindsey, Horncastle, Ukip 36 Ind 32 Con 32
North Kesteven, Osbournby, Ind 46 Con 38 Lab 11 Lib Dem 5

[hempie]

Caerphilly, Blackwood: Lab 45, Ind 31, Plaid 17, Con 7
East Cambridgeshire, Sutton: Con 35, Ukip 27, Lab 22,LD 16
East Lindsey, Horncastle: Con 35, Ind 33, UKIP 32
North Kesteven, Osbournby: Ind 45, Con 30, LD 15, Lab 10

[Pete Whitehead]

East Cambridgeshire DC - Sutton
Con  33.1%
UKIP 29.7%
LD    19.2%
Lab  18.0%

East Lindsey DC - Horncastle
Con  35.5%
Ind   32.4%
UKIP 32.1%

North Kesteven DC - Osbournby
Ind  42.6%
Con 35.0%
Lab 11.5%
LD   10.9%

Caerphilly CC - Blackwood
Lab 42.6%
Ind  32.6%
PC   18.0%
Con  6.8%

[marksenior]

My forecast

East Cambs Con 32 LD 27 UKIP 25 Lab 16
East Lindsey Con 38 Ind 32 UKIP 30
North Kesteven Ind 38 Con 35 Lab 16 LD 11
Caerphilly Ind 40 Lab 35 Plaid 17 Con 8

[Tony Otim]

Apr 22, 2014 19:37:41 GMT Tony Otim said:

Wales, Rural Cambs and 2 in Lincs. I officially hate this week:

Caerphilly:
Lab 43.7
Ind 37.5
PC 11.2
Con 7.6


East Cambs:
Con 38.7
UKIP 22.6
LD 19.6
Lab 19.1


East Lindsey:
Ind 45.2
Con 29.5
UKIP 25.3


North Kesteven
Lincs Inds 44.2
Con 39.1
Lab 8.9
LD 7.8