|
|
Post by middleenglander on Apr 4, 2014 11:43:00 GMT
Berkhsmsted TC West ward Con hold Con 455 LD 370 UKIP 161 Lab 94 Green 68 Previous result 2011 Con 5 seats 1023 to 1177 votes LD 5 candidates 664 to 824 votes no other candidates Lydney West: Con 67, Ind 41, TUSAC 30 - turnout 9.6%. UKIP elected unopposed in December 2013 but did not take up the seat |
|
|
|
Post by tonygreaves on Apr 4, 2014 23:31:48 GMT
Blacko is solidly Tory - old cottages and well-to-do estates. Higherford is part of Barrowford and the more Conservative part of the old Higherford Ward of Barrowford UDC and latterly Barrowford Parish Council. Not so Tory really but nobody else has worked the single-seat B & H ward since it was created in 2001.
The Tories worked hard at this by-election (worried about UKIP I think). UKIP put out at least two leaflets, not sure what else they did. Labour and LD went through the motions.
The UKIP vote was very odd. I think there were about 200 postal votes returned of which UKIP got a third. On votes in the ballot boxes yesterday they were competing with us for fourth place. Work that one out.
There were very few new postal votes applied for before this by-election. Most of the postal votes in the ward have been procured by the Tories in the past few years.
Tony
|
|
|
|
Post by AdminSTB on Apr 5, 2014 11:14:54 GMT
The UKIP vote was very odd. I think there were about 200 postal votes returned of which UKIP got a third. On votes in the ballot boxes yesterday they were competing with us for fourth place. Work that one out. UKIP polls best amongst older voters; older voters are more likely to have postal votes? |
|
Adam
Non-Aligned
Posts: 84
|
Post by Adam on Apr 6, 2014 10:31:44 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by thirdchill on Apr 6, 2014 10:53:48 GMT
Nope, a by-election in the Everton ward in Liverpool got a 5% turnout. Can't remember what year it was
|
|
|
|
Post by linders on Apr 7, 2014 21:23:26 GMT
Interesting comment from Lord Greaves on the Labour and Liberal Democrat campaigns. Surely a by-election is a great opportunity to pick up some non-traditional support, particularly for Labour who aspire still to regain the Parliamentary seat? Yet they "went through the motions" - or did they run a decent campaign and don't want to admit it in view of the result?
|
|
|
|
Post by thirdchill on Apr 8, 2014 10:41:16 GMT
Interesting comment from Lord Greaves on the Labour and Liberal Democrat campaigns. Surely a by-election is a great opportunity to pick up some non-traditional support, particularly for Labour who aspire still to regain the Parliamentary seat? Yet they "went through the motions" - or did they run a decent campaign and don't want to admit it in view of the result? There are quite a few target seats where we don't really need to move into non-traditional areas, but just turn out our own vote better (as well as picking up some people who are basically Labour but voted LibDem in 2005 and / or 2010). Pendle may be one of those places. That's pretty close to the mark. Looking at polls and result from the past, people may overestimate how many people actually switch between parties. Granted, there are plenty who do switch. However in 2010 the drop in the labour vote was due to a lot of people staying at home as well as those switchers to the conservatives, lib dems and other parties. 1992 was a classic case of 'get-the-vote-out'. And labour, although they did well in the 2012 local elections, didn't gain some seats that were expected due to the large drop in turnout at local level compared with 2011. |
|
|
|
Post by tonygreaves on Apr 11, 2014 14:56:31 GMT
Labour went through the motions. They may have put out a leaflet though I have not seen it. Slightly odd because Higherford has in fairly recent years been tghe home of a group of middle-class Labour activists some of whom have been prominent on the parish council.
Tony
|
|
