Post by middleenglander on Mar 31, 2012 16:45:02 GMT
Since we were so rudely interrupted.
Looks like 9 contests during April:
1 on 11th April
3 on 12th April
4 on 19th April
1 on 26th April
5 of the by-elections are in District Council wards contested only last May, 3 are in London Boroughs last contested in 2010 and 1 in a County Council where the elections were in 2009.
Labour are defending 4 seats, with 2 resignations and 2 disqualifications where the former councillors were latterly sitting as Independents. The Conservatives are defending 3 seats, 2 arising from deaths and also a resignation, whilst the Lib Dems defend 2 seats, a resignation and disqualification for non-attendance.
Labour last had majorities of almost 20% over the Conservatives in 2 of the seats they are defending whilst the other 2 are likely to see the main contest between the BNP in Barking & Dagenham and an Independent in Tower Hamlets.
The Conservatives last had majorities of 33% and 53% over the Lib Dems along with one seat that had been returned unopposed since at least the turn of the century, although it will be interesting to see whether there will be reaction to a 4th by-election in a little over 3 years in one of the seats.
The Lib Dems are defending a seat in a "split" ward and another where the second winning Lib Dem was less than 4% ahead of the highest placed losing candidate, both with the Conservatives being the main opponent.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on the day of the election.
Looks like 9 contests during April:
1 on 11th April
3 on 12th April
4 on 19th April
1 on 26th April
5 of the by-elections are in District Council wards contested only last May, 3 are in London Boroughs last contested in 2010 and 1 in a County Council where the elections were in 2009.
Labour are defending 4 seats, with 2 resignations and 2 disqualifications where the former councillors were latterly sitting as Independents. The Conservatives are defending 3 seats, 2 arising from deaths and also a resignation, whilst the Lib Dems defend 2 seats, a resignation and disqualification for non-attendance.
Labour last had majorities of almost 20% over the Conservatives in 2 of the seats they are defending whilst the other 2 are likely to see the main contest between the BNP in Barking & Dagenham and an Independent in Tower Hamlets.
The Conservatives last had majorities of 33% and 53% over the Lib Dems along with one seat that had been returned unopposed since at least the turn of the century, although it will be interesting to see whether there will be reaction to a 4th by-election in a little over 3 years in one of the seats.
The Lib Dems are defending a seat in a "split" ward and another where the second winning Lib Dem was less than 4% ahead of the highest placed losing candidate, both with the Conservatives being the main opponent.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on the day of the election.
