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Post by callum on Apr 24, 2012 12:00:18 GMT
B efore the boundary changed in 2003 this was 2 wards. Labour held both from 1995 - 99 and one from 99-03. Since then the vote has gone to the Lib Dems, but it is starting to come back. Labour increased its vote a lot last year, without this being a target seat. Now it is having a lot of attention, so, who knows what may happen. Which 2 wards covered the area? Hickling ward and Catfield ward.
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Post by marksenior on Apr 24, 2012 13:10:24 GMT
I am prepared to have a small friendly wager of just £ 5 that the Labour vote % on Thursday will be lower than the 14.4% they achieved last May .
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Post by callum on Apr 24, 2012 13:14:50 GMT
I'm not a betting man, but I suspect Labour will increase, probably closer to 25%. *fingerscrossed*
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Apr 24, 2012 13:33:45 GMT
I am prepared to have a small friendly wager of just £ 5 that the Labour vote % on Thursday will be lower than the 14.4% they achieved last May . I'll take it. Winnings to a charity of the winner's choice?
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Post by marksenior on Apr 24, 2012 15:08:01 GMT
That is fine
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Apr 24, 2012 15:17:35 GMT
Winnings to a charity of the winner's choice? ... Viva Palestine... ? ? ;D (it's still regstered with the CC even though accounts are late!)
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dibs
Non-Aligned
Posts: 63
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Post by dibs on Apr 26, 2012 0:08:53 GMT
NORTH NORFOLK - Waterside
CON 29 LD 28 INDEP 21 LAB 13 UKIP 5 GREEN 4
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Post by greatkingrat on Apr 26, 2012 7:16:07 GMT
NORTH NORFOLK - Con 31, LD 29, Lab 15, Ind 12, UKIP 8, Grn 5
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Post by marksenior on Apr 26, 2012 22:47:17 GMT
Waterside is LD hold
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Post by kvasir on Apr 26, 2012 22:49:10 GMT
Mark lost but only by 2%, not the 25% some on here hoped.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 26, 2012 22:49:38 GMT
Result - #LibDems HOLD Waterside, North Norfolk DC: LD 494, Con 420, Lab 246, UKIP 233, Grn 73, Ind 69. Swing #Tories>LD since '11: 2.9%
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Post by marksenior on Apr 26, 2012 22:49:52 GMT
LD 494 Con 420 Lab 246 UKIP 233 Green 73 Ind 79
Labour % is 15.8% so I narrowly owe a charity £ 5
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 26, 2012 22:51:28 GMT
interesting result for all parties that one.
good win for LD's in these times, good for Labour, small progress but UKIP would be disappointed and tories happy to hold position
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Post by kvasir on Apr 26, 2012 22:55:52 GMT
LD 494 Con 420 Lab 246 UKIP 233 Green 73 Ind 79 Labour % is 15.8% so I narrowly owe a charity £ 5 Actually it is 69 votes for the Indie so Labour win 16.03%
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Post by independentukip on Apr 26, 2012 23:55:58 GMT
interesting result for all parties that one. good win for LD's in these times, good for Labour, small progress but UKIP would be disappointed and tories happy to hold position I don't have a great deal of local knowledge but I'll speculate that the tories are spitting that UKIP cost them the seat and UKIP will be happy to have stood still in what was clearly a tight race. The old message that you have to vote tory to keep the other lot out failed to resonate with the 233 UKIP voters. I don't know the full extent of the Labour campaign but the candidate (or a proxy) did have a letter in the EDP just before polling day so I surmise they were taking the campaign very seriously & would have expected to perform better.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Apr 27, 2012 11:48:55 GMT
LD 494 Con 420 Lab 246 UKIP 233 Green 73 Ind 79 Labour % is 15.8% so I narrowly owe a charity £ 5 Diabetes UK, please. That was rather closer than I'd expected - I was guessing a Labour share of around 19%. If Callum or anybody else was involved on the day of poll, do they think it was done to superior Lib Dem organisation, an effective squeeze or just insufficient promises?
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 27, 2012 12:16:36 GMT
It shouldn't be forgotten that Labour were basically utterly vaporised in this constituency in recent years (very much shades of Westmorland, there)
They are trying to rebuild support *and* recreate a party machinery from virtually nothing. Despite the currently favourable national picture, that will take time.....
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Apr 27, 2012 13:04:03 GMT
Indeed, but they got 14.4% last time. The opportunity to concentrate on one ward would normally allow a greater increase than that. Especially as North Norfolk CLP is apparently quite active these days.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 27, 2012 13:09:04 GMT
Well yes, but the LibDem machine built up so formidably in recent years there is still in better working order than most other places, surely. As I said, something very similar to N Norfolk has happened in my neck of the woods - so I have a good idea of what the local CLP there will be up against.......
Mark's confidence that we would actually poll a *lower* share than last year wasn't totally removed from reality, evidently - even if it didn't actually happen.
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Post by marksenior on Apr 27, 2012 13:43:10 GMT
LD 494 Con 420 Lab 246 UKIP 233 Green 73 Ind 79 Labour % is 15.8% so I narrowly owe a charity £ 5 Diabetes UK, please. That was rather closer than I'd expected - I was guessing a Labour share of around 19%. If Callum or anybody else was involved on the day of poll, do they think it was done to superior Lib Dem organisation, an effective squeeze or just insufficient promises? OK , I am sure I can find the link to your charity on the website . Your local MEP was posting last night before the result that Labour had done well and the LD's had lost .
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