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Post by Deleted on Mar 28, 2014 14:16:22 GMT
Do you have a link for the data?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 28, 2014 14:52:14 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Mar 28, 2014 15:17:14 GMT
Thanks bishop
Still awaiting more from pimp
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Post by Deleted on Mar 28, 2014 15:17:52 GMT
David b even . Sorry sent from mobi
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Pimpernal
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Post by Pimpernal on Mar 28, 2014 15:48:49 GMT
well table 12 on the link from DBIV suggests the Lib Dems are weighted from 169 to 207 and UKIP from 207 to 83?
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Post by iainbhx on Mar 28, 2014 16:03:55 GMT
well table 12 on the link from DBIV suggests the Lib Dems are weighted from 169 to 207 and UKIP from 207 to 83? Which is nothing to do with the actual voting intention.
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Pimpernal
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Post by Pimpernal on Mar 28, 2014 16:23:55 GMT
what is it to do with then?
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Post by Deleted on Mar 28, 2014 17:46:53 GMT
That's nothing pimp they used to drop UKIP down to 20
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Post by Deleted on Mar 29, 2014 14:23:27 GMT
I dislike the fiddles "weighting" used by Opinion Polls and I take them as an indication only not a prediction but I think it is there attempt to compensate for likeliness to vote. Labour's vote is a lot softer than that of the Tories and many Labour Voters can't be arsed to turn out to vote or even apply for a Postal Vote and use that. Tories and Kippers tend to come out to vote come hell or high water.
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Post by marksenior on Mar 29, 2014 16:45:05 GMT
I dislike the fiddles "weighting" used by Opinion Polls and I take them as an indication only not a prediction but I think it is there attempt to compensate for likeliness to vote. Labour's vote is a lot softer than that of the Tories and many Labour Voters can't be arsed to turn out to vote or even apply for a Postal Vote and use that. Tories and Kippers tend to come out to vote come hell or high water. Yep let's go back to the 1980/1990's days before weighting when the pollsters were completely wrong .
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 4, 2014 15:22:47 GMT
Today's survey - Lab 37 Con 33 UKIP 13 LibDem 10.
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Post by marksenior on Apr 7, 2014 9:40:16 GMT
Today 37/34/14/9
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Pimpernal
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Post by Pimpernal on Apr 7, 2014 10:01:16 GMT
That's quite a Lib Dem bounce...
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Post by Deleted on Apr 7, 2014 10:20:20 GMT
That's quite a Lib Dem bounce... Only if the dead cat landed on a trampoline as it was thrown out of the window of a third floor flat.
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Pimpernal
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Post by Pimpernal on Apr 7, 2014 11:06:23 GMT
That's quite a Lib Dem bounce... It's actually your lot who are on 14% So bloody Senior has changed the way he reports polling figures after lecturing us previously why the LDs must be reported third?
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Post by Deleted on Apr 7, 2014 13:31:39 GMT
It's actually your lot who are on 14% So bloody Senior has changed the way he reports polling figures after lecturing us previously why the LDs must be reported third? I assumed you were being sarky.
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Post by marksenior on Apr 7, 2014 15:10:29 GMT
LOL , I posted the results quickly and simply followed the order of the previous post by The Bishop
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Post by marksenior on Apr 11, 2014 8:41:04 GMT
today's Populus Lab 35 Con 34 LD 11 UKIP 12
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 11, 2014 12:53:11 GMT
Labour raw score MASSIVELY weighted down in this latest poll, it seems. Yes, I fully know and understand why poll weighting is necessary - but to this extent?
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Post by marksenior on Apr 11, 2014 13:34:58 GMT
I have said it before and will say it again . Weighting is there to correct for smallish errors in sampling . It should not be used for an inability to sample the population roughly correctly . The other factor is that when Populus changed their Party ID weightings in January they reduced the Labour % ( and LDs ) by 2% and left the Conservatives unchanged increasing UKIP by 4% . In my own opinion this was erroneous as UKIP have taken more voters from Conservative than Labour .
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