Andrew_S
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Post by Andrew_S on Jul 15, 2013 16:23:18 GMT
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Post by marksenior on Jul 15, 2013 17:24:24 GMT
The non prompting for UKIP has no effect on the low UKIP score in this poll . What has effected it is the severe weighting for Party ID . The initial 256 voters who said they were going to vote UKIP was reduced to just 143 . This was because the poll had 169 UKIP Iders but should have had just 20 .
This could be caused by UKIP supporters stacking online polling panels or extra keenness in UKIP supporters to respond to poll requests .
A poster on another site has pointed to me a reference to polling research in the US that the latter is a well known phenomenon in US polling .
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 15, 2013 19:47:23 GMT
Anyway, good to see Populus returning to regular polling (hopefully)
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Pimpernal
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A left-wing agenda within a right-wing framework...
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Post by Pimpernal on Jul 17, 2013 6:41:19 GMT
Odd methodology saw raw data of 205 UKIP responses to 113 Lib Dems change to Headline figures of Lib Dems 13% and UKIP 10%...
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Post by marksenior on Jul 17, 2013 7:01:36 GMT
Odd methodology saw raw data of 205 UKIP responses to 113 Lib Dems change to Headline figures of Lib Dems 13% and UKIP 10%... Those figures are NOT the raw data - see my post above and the reason why the raw figure was reduced from 256 to 143 for UKIP . |
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Andrew_S
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Post by Andrew_S on Jul 19, 2013 14:31:54 GMT
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Andrew_S
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Post by Andrew_S on Jul 22, 2013 15:37:43 GMT
Number three in this new series:
Lab 39% (nc)
Con 32% (+1)
LD 12% (nc)
UKIP 9% (-1)
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 26, 2013 15:17:16 GMT
And another:
Lab 39
Con 32
LibDem 11
UKIP 10
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Andrew_S
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Post by Andrew_S on Jul 29, 2013 13:26:39 GMT
Populus has obviously got fed up with YouGov hogging the polling limelight every day:
New poll:
Lab 39 (↔)
Cons 34 (↑2)
LD 11 (↔)
UKIP 8 (↓2)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 30, 2013 20:15:28 GMT
who is paying for these polls ?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 2, 2013 11:17:25 GMT
Populus @populuspolls
New Populus VI figures: Lab 40 (↑1); Cons 29 (↓5); LD 11 (↔); UKIP 12 (↑4); Oth 7 (↓1). Tables popu.lu/s_vi020813
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johnr
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Post by johnr on Aug 2, 2013 11:22:10 GMT
who is paying for these polls ? Good question - Lord Ashcroft has used populus in the past, hasnt he? |
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Post by tonygreaves on Aug 2, 2013 16:34:00 GMT
Have they started prompting for UKIP?
Tony
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 6, 2013 13:45:07 GMT
In case anyone wondered if Populus had stopped doing surveys in August - as when they polled for the Times - yesterday's poll was Lab 38 Con 33 LibDem 12 UKIP 9.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 9, 2013 12:50:18 GMT
Latest survey shows little change - Lab 38 Con 32 LibDem 12 UKIP 9.
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Post by marksenior on Aug 12, 2013 14:25:04 GMT
Today's Populus 39/33/12/10
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Post by marksenior on Aug 19, 2013 11:40:08 GMT
Todays Populus 38/32/12/11 previous poll Friday 39/36/10/8
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 19, 2013 13:15:09 GMT
cue comments about a Tory crisis as our lead doubles (nah course not) ha ha ha
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Post by marksenior on Aug 23, 2013 10:11:08 GMT
Today's Populus 38/30/12/12
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 23, 2013 10:26:23 GMT
so any chance of a Tory leadership crisis then as Cameron is away (4 holiday's in one year ??) so why no restlessness from Tories ?
or why is it hidden away in summer madness ?
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