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Post by marksenior on Sept 30, 2013 10:54:50 GMT
Today's Populus 39/36/11/7
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Post by marksenior on Sept 30, 2013 10:59:29 GMT
Lab 41 (+4); Cons 34 (=); LD 10 (-3); UKIP 7 (-2); Oth 8 (+1) UKIP score there is far too low at the moment IMHO Maybe someone here could answer me as to why Populus downgrade UKIP so much TABLE 12 asks who you identify yourself with on the last two polls it has weighted down the figure from 219 and 171 to 20 How much would this effect the poll? Populus polls are very strange . An equally valid question is why do their panels contain 10 times as many UKIP supporters than they should do ? |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 30, 2013 11:51:40 GMT
You said it - who really thinks UKIP are at just 7% at present?? Methinks their methodology needs tweaking.....
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
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Post by YL on Sept 30, 2013 20:14:48 GMT
According to their website, they "have done this by asking respondents which political party – if any – they generally identify with and comparing these answers to those on party identification given to the British Social Attitudes Survey in the year of the last General Election." www.populus.co.uk/Our-Methodology/Polling/Now, it seems very likely to me that there are more UKIP identifiers around now than there were in 2010, so this sounds like a recipe for underestimation of UKIP. I know my party ID has changed since 2010 (not in the direction of UKIP!); I can believe it changes more slowly than voting intention, but I don't think it's stable enough to use it the way they appear to be using it. |
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Post by marksenior on Oct 4, 2013 12:50:50 GMT
Today's Populus 38/33/11/10
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 7, 2013 10:57:12 GMT
Mike Smithson @msmithsonpb
Today's Populus online poll sees LAB up 2 Lab 40+2 Cons 33 (=) LD 10 (-1) UKIP 10 (=); Oth 7 (-1)
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Post by marksenior on Oct 11, 2013 10:19:27 GMT
Today's Populus 39/34/12/8
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Post by marksenior on Oct 14, 2013 16:56:55 GMT
Today's Populus identical to Friday's 39/34/12/8
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Post by marksenior on Oct 18, 2013 10:02:51 GMT
Today 39/33/12/9
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Post by marksenior on Oct 21, 2013 11:36:59 GMT
Today's Populus 37/34/14/8
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Post by marksenior on Oct 25, 2013 9:53:17 GMT
Today's Populus 39/34/11/10
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Post by marksenior on Oct 28, 2013 12:40:34 GMT
Today's 38/33/12/9
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Post by marksenior on Nov 1, 2013 12:45:39 GMT
Today 40/33/11/9
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Post by marksenior on Nov 4, 2013 12:56:41 GMT
Today 39/34/10/10
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Post by marksenior on Nov 8, 2013 10:08:00 GMT
Today 39/32/12/9
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Post by marksenior on Nov 11, 2013 13:52:11 GMT
Today 39/31/11/10
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Nov 11, 2013 20:37:38 GMT
feel sorry for this pollster, totally ignored !! but seems like the polls after some diverance are coming together again
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Post by marksenior on Nov 15, 2013 13:05:53 GMT
Today 40/31/11/10
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 17, 2013 21:49:39 GMT
I was digging through the Populus archives looking for historical data over the last parliament, and there is a poll for the Times (listed on UKPR) for November 9th 2008 which isn't in the archive. I don't suppose anyone has a copy of the PDF of this poll they could let me have, or point me to a source for?
Similarly, there's an Ipsos-MORI poll for Jan 18th 2009, and a ComRes one for the Independent for April 26th 2009, which don't seem to be on the respective company sites.
I've tried substituting dates in the filename formats for other polls from their archives without luck.
Cheers
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Post by marksenior on Nov 18, 2013 10:45:14 GMT
Today's Populus 41/32/10/9
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