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Post by marksenior on Dec 16, 2013 17:37:46 GMT
Today 40/33/13/8
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Post by marksenior on Dec 20, 2013 10:41:26 GMT
Last Populus of this year ? 40/32/12/8
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,015
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 20, 2013 11:32:38 GMT
Apparently so - and this weekend's poll will be the last of 2013 for YouGov as well.
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Post by marksenior on Jan 4, 2014 20:48:56 GMT
An unpublished till now Populus poll from Dec 22nd Lab 37 Con 35 LD 12 UKIP 9
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Post by marksenior on Jan 10, 2014 10:23:12 GMT
First Populus of the year Lab 40 Con 33 LD 11 UKIP 8
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Post by marksenior on Jan 13, 2014 11:43:21 GMT
Today's Populus 38/33/12/9
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 17, 2014 11:45:41 GMT
@msmithsonpb: LAB move up 2 in latest Populus online poll
LAB 40 (+2)
CON 33 (=)
LD 13 (+1)
UKIP 9 (=)
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Post by marksenior on Jan 20, 2014 12:11:46 GMT
Today 39/32/12/9
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 24, 2014 9:32:12 GMT
Populus @populuspolls
New Populus VI figures: Lab 40 (+1); Cons 32 (=); LD 11 (-1); UKIP 9 (=); Oth 8 (=)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 24, 2014 11:25:27 GMT
Populus @populuspolls New Populus VI figures: Lab 40 (+1); Cons 32 (=); LD 11 (-1); UKIP 9 (=); Oth 8 (=) There seems to be a lot of head-scratching going on in the Tory Party at the moment about why this supposedly record-breaking economic 'recovery' is not boosting their poll numbers. Matthew Hancock was on the Today programme this morning touting some dodgy statistics which purported to show that average incomes after tax were rising. Nice try, but Joe Public just has to look at his pay slip, his bank statement, gas bill or supermarket receipt to see that ain't true...... When they talk about 'average' they need to define median, mode & mean. The poll figures seem to reflect that any economic 'gains' aren't being shared. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jan 24, 2014 12:04:16 GMT
Populus @populuspolls New Populus VI figures: Lab 40 (+1); Cons 32 (=); LD 11 (-1); UKIP 9 (=); Oth 8 (=) There seems to be a lot of head-scratching going on in the Tory Party at the moment about why this supposedly record-breaking economic 'recovery' is not boosting their poll numbers. Matthew Hancock was on the Today programme this morning touting some dodgy statistics which purported to show that average incomes after tax were rising. Nice try, but Joe Public just has to look at his pay slip, his bank statement, gas bill or supermarket receipt to see that ain't true...... I'm really surprised they're pushing that strategy. The worst thing they could do is to come across as complacent and out of touch. Declaring people are better off when most people don't believe they are seems like a surefire route to alienating their target audience. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,015
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 24, 2014 12:12:12 GMT
I'm really surprised they're pushing that strategy I'm not - there seems to be a persistent belief in Tory HQ (and its tame media mouthpieces like Finkelstein and Brogan) that there is some "magic bullet" out there which will make everybody love the government, if only it could be uncovered. It fundamentally misunderstands why many people are unhappy with them. |
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Post by woollyliberal on Jan 24, 2014 13:08:47 GMT
There's a lag between a recovery starting and people feeling it in their pockets. Once the economy is starting to grow, companies start to get more orders. Once the orders are coming in, companies then start to feel confident about hiring more staff and considering pay rises, when that time of the year comes round again. People have to have had a pay rise for a few months before they start to feel flush again.
The economy is moving again so pay will start to move before long. Inflation is down a bit too, which will help.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 24, 2014 13:30:41 GMT
you are taking a big presumption there that this so called recovery is actually even across the country and is hitting those the Tories need to vote. the irony of this if people start to see this in their pockets the LD's will not pick up any votes over it. do you as a LD really think this recovery is actually solid and not just a debt and savings driven one ?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 25, 2014 17:23:54 GMT
Yes, the key point is that real wages started stagnating around 2003. This was an underrated contributor to Labour's defeat in 2010, as many voters hit by the recession felt they hadn't shared in (the latter part of) the good times.
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Post by marksenior on Jan 27, 2014 10:08:16 GMT
Today's Populus 40/33/11/8 Con up 1 UKIP down 1
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 27, 2014 10:23:49 GMT
Populus seems to be much more stable day-to-day than does YouGov - changes are only very rarely more than one percentage point. Whereas YouGov shows frequent sampling variation.
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Post by erlend on Jan 27, 2014 17:55:27 GMT
Be interested if the Inter quartile range shows it. The middle half would be where I thought swing Con/Lab voters were concentrated.
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Post by marksenior on Jan 31, 2014 10:54:21 GMT
Today 39/32/11/10
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Post by marksenior on Feb 3, 2014 12:14:50 GMT
Today 41/32/11/9 but data looks more than a bit weird , Labour ahead of Con in every region of England including SE but Conservatives ahead of Labour in Scotland .
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