Prediction Competition for June 2013

[Clarko]

Jun 20, 2013 23:16:29 GMT linders said:

Every single one of you underestimated the Conservative vote in Weaste & Seedley. Thanks for your confidence :-p

That's Iain's way of saying he worked us 'til we dropped Quite pleased with the Weaste result.

[marksenior]

Re Allerdale , I have no idea why but the name of the Green candidate on the SOPN is missing from the official Notice of Poll .

[Tony Otim]

dibs will have the best score on Allerdale by some distance I would have thought - very good call there.

[Pete Whitehead]

Another awful week where several of us have predicted more wrong winners than right ones

[Deleted]

Jun 21, 2013 10:50:52 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

Another awful week where several of us have predicted more wrong winners than right ones

My sort of week

[middleenglander]

Allerdale, Boltons

Dibs 8.0 faults, Just Looking 35.1, Mark Senior 34.0+10, Lancastrian 36.0+10, hempie 38.0+10, tonyotim 38.4+10, Phildav 46.4+10, Peter Whitehead 53.2+10, greatkingrat 54.0+10, Robert Waller 58.0+10

Fife, Glenrothes, Leslie & Markinch

Mark Senior 6.8 faults, Robert Waller 8.8+10, Pete Whitehead 10.1+10, Lancastrian 10.8+10, greatkingrat & tonyotim 12.8+10, hempie 14.3+10, Just Looking 15.7+10, PhilDav 15.8+10, Dibs 28.1+10

Milton Keynes, Bletchley & Fenny Stratford

Lancastrian 14.6faults, Just Looking 20.3, tonyotim 20.5, hempie 24.3, Dibs 28.6, greakingrat 21.7+10, Pete Whitehead 25.7+10, Mark Senior 26.6+10, Robert Waller 27.5+10, Phildav 28.5+10

Salford, Weaste & Seedley

Tonyotim 20.8 faults, Robert Waller 20.9, greakingrat 22.1, Pete Whitehead 23.9, Mark Senior 24.4, hempie 28.1, Lancastrian 32.4, Just Looking 36.7, PhilDav 39.0, Dibs 58.8

and with the Edinburgh result to come, for the week

Mark Senior 111.8 faults, tonyotim 112.4, Lancastrian 113.7, Just Looking 117.6, hempie 124.6, Dibs 133.5, greatkingrat 140.6, Pete Whitehead 142.8, Robert Waller 145.1, PhilDav 159.6

[Tony Otim]

Jun 21, 2013 10:50:52 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

Another awful week where several of us have predicted more wrong winners than right ones

The Edinburgh predictions were on the whole very good - lancastrian is closest with 5.6.

[Tony Otim]

Indeed, I make it lancastrian has the best score for the week this week - congratulations!

Overall, Mark is in the lead, 4 ahead of me, with hempie third.

[marksenior]

Lots of difficult contests next week , all to play for .

[middleenglander]

Allerdale, Boltons

Dibs 8.0 faults, Just Looking 35.1, Mark Senior 34.0+10, Lancastrian 36.0+10, hempie 38.0+10, tonyotim 38.4+10, Phildav 46.4+10, Peter Whitehead 53.2+10, greatkingrat 54.0+10, Robert Waller 58.0+10

Fife, Glenrothes, Leslie & Markinch

Mark Senior 6.8 faults, Robert Waller 8.8+10, Pete Whitehead 10.1+10, Lancastrian 10.8+10, greatkingrat & tonyotim 12.8+10, hempie 14.3+10, Just Looking 15.7+10, PhilDav 15.8+10, Dibs 28.1+10

Milton Keynes, Bletchley & Fenny Stratford

Lancastrian 14.6faults, Just Looking 20.3, tonyotim 20.5, hempie 24.3, Dibs 28.6, greakingrat 21.7+10, Pete Whitehead 25.7+10, Mark Senior 26.6+10, Robert Waller 27.5+10, Phildav 28.5+10

Salford, Weaste & Seedley

Tonyotim 20.8 faults, Robert Waller 20.9, greakingrat 22.1, Pete Whitehead 23.9, Mark Senior 24.4, hempie 28.1, Lancastrian 32.4, Just Looking 36.7, PhilDav 39.0, Dibs 58.8

and with the Edinburgh result to come, for the week

Mark Senior 111.8 faults, tonyotim 112.4, Lancastrian 113.7, Just Looking 117.6, hempie 124.6, Dibs 133.5, greatkingrat 140.6, Pete Whitehead 142.8, Robert Waller 145.1, PhilDav 159.6

Edinburgh, Liberton & Gilmerton

Lancastrian 5.6 faults, Pete Whitehead 6.6, PhilDav 6.7, greatkingrat 8.6, tonyotim 9.8, Robert Waller 13.2, Mark Senior 16.8, Dibs 21.6, Just Looking 27.9, hempie 28.3

and for the week with all results in:

Lancastrian 119.4 faults, tonyotim 122.2, Mark Senior 128.6, Just Looking 145.6, greatkingrat 149.2, Pete Whitehead 149.4, hempie 152.9, Dibs 155.1, Robert Waller 158.3, PhilDav 166.3

and the first 3 weeks of June:

271.8 Mark Senior
275.8 tonyotim
279.0 hempie
281.6 Lancastrian
289.6 Just Looking

305.5 greatkingrat
307.5 Pete Whitehead
325.4 PhilDav
332.8 Robert Waller
339.4 Dibs

Objections please by 10.00 am Sunday.

There are 8 contests next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on Thursday.

[lancastrian]

Jun 21, 2013 13:15:58 GMT Tony Otim said:

Indeed, I make it lancastrian has the best score for the week this week - congratulations!

Overall, Mark is in the lead, 4 ahead of me, with hempie third.

Thanks 

[lancastrian]

Basildon, Billericay East : Con 48 UKIP 28 Lab 15 LD 6 NF 3
Dartford, Newtown : Lab 41 Con 36 UKIP 23
Newark and Sherwood, Farnsfield and Bilsthorpe : Con 54 Lab 46
Plymouth, Southway : Lab 39 UKIP 33 Con 20 LD 4 TUSC 2 Ind 2
Rutland, Ketton : Con 55 UKIP 23 McGilvray 11 Brookes 11
South Tyneside, Cleadon and East Boldon : Lab 42 Con 36 UKIP 22
South Tyneside, Primrose : Lab 62 UKIP 25 Con 8 BNP 5
Worcestershire, Stourport-on-Severn : ICHC 29 UKIP 26 Lab 20 Con 17 LD 4 Green 3 BNP 1

Posting very early this week because I don't know if I'll have a connection on Wednesday.

[Robert Waller]

Basildon, Billericay East : Con 48 UKIP 32 Lab 12 LD 6 NF 2
Dartford, Newtown : Lab 41 Con 37 UKIP 22
Newark and Sherwood, Farnsfield and Bilsthorpe : Con 57 Lab 43
Plymouth, Southway : Lab 37 UKIP 35 Con 17 LD 4 TUSC 2 Ind 5
Rutland, Ketton : Con 44 UKIP 31 McGilvray 21 Brookes 4
South Tyneside, Cleadon and East Boldon : Lab 41 Con 39 UKIP 20
South Tyneside, Primrose : Lab 54 UKIP 36 Con 5 BNP 5
Worcestershire, Stourport-on-Severn : ICHC 27 UKIP 25 Lab 22 Con 18 LD 4 Green 2 BNP 2

[Deleted]

Basildon, Billericay East : UKIP 48 CON 32 Lab 12 LD 6 NF 2
Dartford, Newtown : UKIP 41 LAB 37 CON 22
Newark and Sherwood, Farnsfield and Bilsthorpe : LAB 57 CON 43
Plymouth, Southway : UKIP 37 LAB 35 Con 17 LD 4 TUSC 2 Ind 5
Rutland, Ketton : UKIP 44 MCGILVRAY 31 CON 21 Brookes 4
South Tyneside, Cleadon and East Boldon : Lab 41 UKIP 39 CON 20
South Tyneside, Primrose : Lab 54 UKIP 36 BNP 6 CON 4
Worcestershire, Stourport-on-Severn : UKIP 27 IKHH 25 Lab 22 Con 18 LD 4 Green 3 BNP 1

[Deleted]

This is certainly a hero or zero prediction

[marksenior]

Basildon Con 49 UKIP 25 Lab 14 LD 10 NF 2
Dartford Lab 38 Con 34 UKIP 28
Newark Con 53 Lab 47
Plymouth Lab 39 UKIP 29 Con 21 LD 7 TUSC 3 Ind 1
Rutland UKIP 38 Con 34 Ind M 18 Ind B 10
S Tyneside Cleadon Lab 43 Con 32 UKIP 25
S Tyneside Primrose Lab 59 UKIP 30 BNP 6 Con 5
Worcs ICHC 29 Lab 24 UKIP 20 Con 19 LD 4 Green 3 BNP 1

[greatkingrat]

BASILDON - Con 42, UKIP 29, Lab 16, LD 9, NF 4
DARTFORD - Lab 40, Con 34, UKIP 26
NEWARK AND SHERWOOD - Con 55, Lab 45
PLYMOUTH - Lab 42, UKIP 23, Con 20, LD 7, Ind 6, TUSC 2
RUTLAND - Con 41, McGilvray 34, UKIP 21, Brookes 4
SOUTH TYNESIDE (Cleadon) - Lab 41, Con 34, UKIP 25
SOUTH TYNESIDE (Primrose) - Lab 68, UKIP 18, Con 8, BNP 6
WORCESTERSHIRE - KHHC 26, UKIP 24, Lab 22, Con 18, LD 4, Grn 3, BNP 2

[hempie]

Basildon, Billericay East : Con 49, UKIP 25, Lab 16, LD 8, NF 2
Dartford, Newtown : Lab 38, Con 35, UKIP 27
Newark and Sherwood, Farnsfield and Bilsthorpe : Con 52, Lab 48
Plymouth, Southway : Lab 35, UKIP 29, Con 22, LD 8, Ind 4, TUSC 2
Rutland, Ketton : Con 52,McGilvray 22, UKIP 18, Brookes 8
South Tyneside, Cleadon and East Boldon : Lab 46, Con 42, UKIP 18
South Tyneside, Primrose : Lab 64, UKIP 15, Con 12, BNP 9
Worcestershire, Stourport-on-Severn : ICHC 28, Lab 22, UKIP 19,Con 18, LD 5, Green 5, BNP 3

[Pete Whitehead]

Jun 26, 2013 20:41:36 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

South Tyneside MB - Cleadon & East Boldon

Lab    39.9%
Con   37.2%
UKIP  22.9%


South Tyneside MB - Primrose

Lab   60.6%
UKIP 23.5%
Con    8.4%
BNP   7.5%


Plymouth UA - Southway

Lab   38.8%
UKIP 26.3%
Con  21.6%
Ind     5.3%
LD     4.8%
TUSC 3.2%


Rutland UA - Ketton

Con    36.6%
Ind M 29.5%
UKIP   25.7%
Ind B    8.2%


Basildon BC - Billericay East

Con  47.8%
UKIP 28.2%
Lab   11.8%
LD      9.3%
NF      2.9%


Dartford BC - Newtown

Lab   41.7%
Con  37.6%
UKIP 20.7%


Newark & Sherwood DC - Farnsfield & Bilsthorpe

Con 57.7%
Lab 42.3%


Worcestershire CC - Stourport on Severn

KHHC 26.9%
Lab    23.6%
UKIP  20.8%
Con   19.4%
LD       3.6%
Grn     3.3%
BNP    2.4%

[Tony Otim]

Jun 26, 2013 14:05:50 GMT Tony Otim said:

Basildon:
Con 48.3
UKIP 25.7
Lab 14.1
LD 8.8
NF 3.1

Dartford:
Lab 41.1
Con 37.2
UKIP 21.7

Newark & Sherwood:
Con 52.5
Lab 47.5

Plymouth:
Lab 46.4
UKIP 26.9
Con 17.8
LD 4.7
TUSC 2.3
Ind 1.9

Rutland:
Con 42
UKIP 35
Ind Mc 20
Ind B 3


South Tyneside, Cleadon & East Boldon:
Lab 41.2
UKIP 30.1
Con 28.7

South Tyneside, Primrose:
Lab 68.2
UKIP 17.6
BNP 7.7
Con 6.5

Worcestershire:
ICHC 28.2
UKIP 23.8
Lab 20.9
Con 18.2
Grn 3.6
LD 3.2
BNP 2.1