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Post by hullenedge on Jun 16, 2021 16:08:58 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on Jun 16, 2021 17:54:53 GMT
39% ? (for the symmetery)
Great stat btw
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 16, 2021 18:23:26 GMT
39% ? (for the symmetery) Great stat btw |
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Post by manchesterman on Jun 16, 2021 18:27:14 GMT
more than I thought tbf!
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Post by islington on Jun 16, 2021 18:34:11 GMT
Me too.
But look at it the other way.
Of 2010 Tory voters still in the electorate, 22% voted for other parties in 2019 (or did not vote at all).
For Labour the equivalent figure is 43%.
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 17, 2021 20:25:54 GMT
More Paula stats:-
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johnloony
Conservative
Posts: 24,635
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Post by johnloony on Jun 18, 2021 9:38:06 GMT
The swing of 25.2% from Conservative to Lib Dem in Chesham & Amersham is the biggest swing in a parliamentary by-election in a constituency not beginning with B since Dudley West (29.1%) in 1994.
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johnloony
Conservative
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Post by johnloony on Jun 18, 2021 9:39:30 GMT
Swings in parliamentary by-elections:
25.2% Chesham & Amersham 2021
36.6% Bradford West 2012
26.7% Birmingham Hodge Hill 2004
28.9% Brent East 2003
29.1% Dudley West 1994
35.3% Christchurch 1993
28.4% Newbury 1993
33.1% Glasgow Govan 1988
44.2% Bermondsey 1983
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Post by greatkingrat on Jun 18, 2021 9:58:47 GMT
A certain poster will be along in a minute to say the swing was actually 4%.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jun 19, 2021 9:32:28 GMT
Raw votes separating the loser from winning the electoral college.
1984 Mondale: 5.9M
1988 Dukakis: 1.2M
1992 HW Bush: 628K
1996 Dole: 1.4M
2000 Gore: 537
2004 Kerry: 119K
2008 McCain: 1.1M
2012 Romney: 528K
2016 Clinton: 78K
2020 Trump: 43K
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,009
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 19, 2021 10:24:31 GMT
Not that high a figure for Dukakis given that Bush Snr won 40 states.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 19, 2021 13:36:46 GMT
Not that high a figure for Dukakis given that Bush Snr won 40 states. Dukakis was close to making it a lot narrower in the Electoral College - he lost three big states (Illinois, Pennsylvania, and California) by margins up to 3.5%, with all of them looking competitive. |
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 23, 2021 10:31:56 GMT
More good stuff from Paula Surridge:-
Given previous comments the 'DNVs' lean economically left but culturally right. Those that did vote five years ago voted Leave.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 23, 2021 17:32:44 GMT
More good stuff from Paula Surridge:- Given previous comments the 'DNVs' lean economically left but culturally right. Those that did vote five years ago voted Leave. Even on Your BirthDay it's You, who distributes parcels generously! |
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 25, 2021 12:37:27 GMT
Unclear where these figures are sourced but the order is correct given previous surveys:-
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nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,456
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on Jun 25, 2021 13:16:02 GMT
Unclear where these figures are sourced but the order is correct given previous surveys:- wonder if more will be said on this in the Nuffield study(current release date now showing as early Oct-was sept few days back) |
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 25, 2021 13:20:37 GMT
Stronger support for Labour amongst the over 85s (born 1934 or earlier). Something to do with the 1945-51 Labour governments?
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nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,456
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on Jun 25, 2021 13:39:02 GMT
Stronger support for Labour amongst the over 85s (born 1934 or earlier). Something to do with the 1945-51 Labour governments? Could be-surprising finding though(to me anyway) |
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 25, 2021 13:43:42 GMT
Stronger support for Labour amongst the over 85s (born 1934 or earlier). Something to do with the 1945-51 Labour governments? Could be-surprising finding though(to me anyway) There's mention of the soon to be published Nuffield. Perhaps more meat will be put on the bone. It is an odd stat. |
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Post by mrhell on Jul 2, 2021 1:52:28 GMT
For three years I held the record for the lowest number of votes gained by any Conservative, Labour or Liberal (Democrat) candidate going back to the formation of the current Newcastle City council in 1973. I still the hold the record for being involved in the election (bar by-elections) with the lowest turnout in that same period.
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