|
Post by Andrew_S on Dec 13, 2019 14:39:11 GMT
The Tory vote share fell in Brighton Pavilion for the 10th time since 1979. Retired colonels with bristling moustaches have been on the decline since 1979.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2019 16:24:54 GMT
In 1979 and 2019 Labour gained one seat won by the Tories at the previous election.
Glasgow Cathcart in 1979 Putney in 2019
|
|
|
Post by hullenedge on Dec 13, 2019 17:56:53 GMT
|
|
|
Post by minionofmidas on Dec 13, 2019 18:10:31 GMT
So a tied result and a uniform swing (lmao) leaves the Tories 24 seats ahead of Labour.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2019 22:33:48 GMT
The Conservatives have the same number of MPs in Scotland as the SNP had in 2010.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 14, 2019 10:05:43 GMT
Boris Johnson is the first Conservative to win a majority without winning seats in Brighton, Bristol and Cardiff.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 14, 2019 11:45:52 GMT
As well as having voted in 14 elections/referendums this decade the voters of Inverurie in Aberdeenshire have elected 4 different MPs in 4 elections.
Malcom Bruce (LD), Alex Salmond (SNP), Colin Clark (CON), and Richard Thomson (SNP).
|
|
|
Post by manchesterman on Dec 14, 2019 13:18:31 GMT
I was looking for a thread on Electoral Reform but couldnt find one (!) so I thought this might be the best place to post this:
|
|
|
Post by froome on Dec 14, 2019 22:12:23 GMT
I was looking for a thread on Electoral Reform but couldnt find one (!) so I thought this might be the best place to post this: With the usual caveat that people would vote very differently if there actually was PR.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2019 12:44:09 GMT
The East Midlands is the only region where in 2019 the Tories won all the seats they won in 1992.
|
|
|
Post by π΄ββ οΈ Neath West π΄ββ οΈ on Dec 15, 2019 13:15:48 GMT
In 1979 and 2019 Labour gained one seat won by the Tories at the previous election. Glasgow Cathcart in 1979 Putney in 2019 At least 2019 didn't involve a Labour council demolishing its voters' homes to rehouse them in the Conservative constituency.
|
|
|
Post by greenhert on Dec 15, 2019 13:31:37 GMT
Of the 10 seats the Conservatives lost to Labour in 2015, eight are still in Labour hands (the Conservatives only gained Dewsbury and Wolverhampton South West, which are inherently marginal seats).
Of the 25 seats the Conservatives lost to Labour in 2017, eleven were held by Labour this year (including Gower, won by the Conservatives in 2015 by 27 votes).
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2019 13:38:30 GMT
Seats the the Tories won in 1992 but didn't this time (current boundaries)
London - Battersea; Brent North; Brentford; Croydon Central; Croydon North; Edmonton; Ealing Central; Ealing North; Eltham; Enfield North; Harrow West; Hayes; Ilford North; Ilford South; Kingston; Mitcham; Putney; Richmond; Southgate; Twickenham; Westminster North
Unsure - Lewisham East
West Midlands - Coventry South; Edgbaston; Warwick
Yorkshire - Hallam; Leeds North East; Leeds North West
Wales - Cardiff North
East - Bedford; Cambridge; Luton South; St Albans
South East - Canterbury; Hove; Kemptown; Oxford West; Pavilion; Portsmouth South; Reading East
Unsure - Slough; Southampton Test
South West - Bristol North West; Bristol West; Exeter
North West - Chester; Chorley; Lancaster; Sefton Central; Westmorland; Wirral South; Wirral West
North East - Tynemouth
Scotland - Aberdeen South; East Renfrewshire; Edinburgh South West; Edinburgh West; Ochil; Perth; Stirling.
|
|
|
Post by BossMan on Dec 15, 2019 13:47:22 GMT
Of the 10 seats the Conservatives lost to Labour in 2015, eight are still in Labour hands (the Conservatives only gained Dewsbury and Wolverhampton South West, which are inherently marginal seats). Of the 25 seats the Conservatives lost to Labour in 2017, eleven were held by Labour this year (including Gower, won by the Conservatives in 2015 by 27 votes). The double incumbency effect can be very powerful - an MP loses his seat and then the new MP builds up an incumbency vote of their own. I think that went a long way to explain how most Conservative MPs who gained their seats in 2010 increased their majorities in 2015, despite polls predicting a hung parliament.
|
|
|
Post by LDCaerdydd on Dec 15, 2019 20:02:25 GMT
Last night The Yorkshire Party won 29,201 votes, UKIP won 22,817 Further to this Lindsay Hoyle won 26,831, to UKIP's 44 candidates who between them won 29,201,
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2019 22:28:42 GMT
Boris Johnson is the second Prime Minister to be born outside the British Isles.
Andrew Bonar Law was born in New Brunswick.
|
|
|
Post by arnieg on Dec 16, 2019 9:07:54 GMT
Psephological parallels between Bolton and Wolverhampton: In both towns: the west division is the best seat for the Conservatives; the north east division is favourable to Labour A common feature. Prevailing south west winds mean many towns developed in the 19th century with the more affluent suburbs in the west to avoid getting the town's pollution dumped on their doorstep.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 16, 2019 9:11:59 GMT
Psephological parallels between Bolton and Wolverhampton: In both towns: the west division is the best seat for the Conservatives; the north east division is favourable to LabourΒ A common feature. Prevailing south west winds mean many towns developed in the 19th century with the more affluent suburbs in the west to avoid getting the town's pollution dumped on their doorstep. The same is true for Edinburgh and Sheffield. It's a north-south split in Leeds and Newcastle.
|
|
|
Post by π΄ββ οΈ Neath West π΄ββ οΈ on Dec 16, 2019 9:23:40 GMT
Psephological parallels between Bolton and Wolverhampton: In both towns: the west division is the best seat for the Conservatives; the north east division is favourable to Labour A common feature. Prevailing south west winds mean many towns developed in the 19th century with the more affluent suburbs in the west to avoid getting the town's pollution dumped on their doorstep. There are exceptions β here's Neath, for instance, which is the opposite way round from the normal pattern.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 16, 2019 9:26:59 GMT
Liverpool is also an exception.
The South and East are historically the wealthy areas.
|
|