Shropshire

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Shropshire

[olympian95]

Could be an absolute bloodbath for the Tories. Lib Dems have no seats in their North Shropshire stronghold, so plenty of gains for them here.

[carolus]

Nov 8, 2024 13:32:31 GMT olympian95 said:

Could be an absolute bloodbath for the Tories. Lib Dems have no seats in their North Shropshire stronghold, so plenty of gains for them here.

None elected, though there was a defection from Ind to LD in Market Drayton West over the summer.

[WJ]

Wem used to be reliable for them until the last election. They came within a whisker of taking several of the other North Shropshire wards. Coupled with their byelection successes in some eastern, heavily blue, wards recently, I think they'll do very well. Greens, Lib Dems and Labour mostly don't overlap in their areas of strength (bar a few areas of Shrewsbury). I suspect between them they'll force the country into NOC territory. Reform will be interesting. Shropshire was never reliable territory for UKIP (I don't think they managed to come close to winning a ward in the past), but times have changed and Reform is a different beast to UKIP. A few well picked candidates could do well enough to win.

[iang]

I said on a different thread a few days back, this will I'm sure be one of our key targets next year, with the aim of NOC at least

[carolus]

Council elected in 2021: 43 Con, 14 LD, 9 Lab, 4 Green, 4 Ind
Current council: 39 Con, 18 LD, 10 Lab, 4 Green, 3 Ind

The LD in Market Drayton West was elected as Ind.
The Ind in Brown Clee was elected as Con.

Byelections:
2022, Jun. Highley: LD gain from Ind by 30.3% over Con
2022, Oct. Bridgnorth West & Tasley: Lab gain from Con by 25.7%
2023, Sep. Worfield: LD gain from Con by 1%
2023, Oct. Alveley & Claverley: LD gain from Con by 22.4%

Uncontested:
Albrighton - Con*

Close wards:
Abbey - LD hold by 9.5% over Con.
Bagley - Con hold by 1.2% over LD, 3.2% over Lab, 10.8% over Ind.
Bayston Hill, Column & Sutton - Lab 2160*/1724*/1712*, Con 1439/1269/1246, Green 613/409/329, LD 415/187/164
Church Stretton & Craven Arms - Con 1363*/1175*, LD 983/909, Green 541/482
Clee - LD hold by 7.1% over Con.
Harlescott - Con gain from Lab by 2.8%
Llanymynech - Con hold by 9.9% over LD
Meole - LD gain from Con by 4.5% over Con, 10.1% over Lab
Monkmoor - Lab hold by 9.2% over LD
Oswestry East - Con 889*/667*, Green 501/446, Lab 324, LD 76/70
Ruyton & Baschurch - Con hod by 6.6% over LD.
The Meres - Con hold by 1.3% over LD.
Whitchurch North - Con 1129*/847*, LD 795/413, UKIP 157
Whittington - Con hold by 2.7% over LD

Split wards:
Market Drayton West - Con 751*/659, Ind 701*/619, Lab 393
Wem - Ind 1141*, Con 933*/853, LD 894

2021 Candidate totals: 74 Con, 58 LD, 41 Lab, 41 Green, 2 Reform UK, 2 UKIP, 14 Ind

[iang]

Though none of those by-elections were within North Shrops, there does seem to have been a "North Shropshire" effect rippling out from the LD success in the by-election

[Tony Otim]

New boundaries will apply here:

www.lgbce.org.uk/all-reviews/shropshire

[Khunanup]

Nov 8, 2024 15:16:12 GMT iang said:

Though none of those by-elections were within North Shrops, there does seem to have been a "North Shropshire" effect rippling out from the LD success in the by-election

Not really. Before the vaccine bounce, Shropshire Lib Dems had been gunning for NOC and they have huge amounts of campaigning experience within the county (especially in the southern part of the county and the Shrewsbury area). By-election campaigning comes very easily for them and when given the opportunity to concentrate the other parties panic. Even without North Shropshire, with the Conservatives troubles the gains made would have more or less happened anyway.

[carlton43]

Nov 8, 2024 20:24:22 GMT Khunanup said:

Nov 8, 2024 15:16:12 GMT iang said:

Though none of those by-elections were within North Shrops, there does seem to have been a "North Shropshire" effect rippling out from the LD success in the by-election

Not really. Before the vaccine bounce, Shropshire Lib Dems had been gunning for NOC and they have huge amounts of campaigning experience within the county (especially in the southern part of the county and the Shrewsbury area). By-election campaigning comes very easily for them and when given the opportunity to concentrate the other parties panic. Even without North Shropshire, with the Conservatives troubles the gains made would have more or less happened anyway.

Enjoy this short-term wonder.  You will soon lose the bloody lot.

[Khunanup]

Nov 8, 2024 21:30:48 GMT carlton43 said:

Nov 8, 2024 20:24:22 GMT Khunanup said:

Not really. Before the vaccine bounce, Shropshire Lib Dems had been gunning for NOC and they have huge amounts of campaigning experience within the county (especially in the southern part of the county and the Shrewsbury area). By-election campaigning comes very easily for them and when given the opportunity to concentrate the other parties panic. Even without North Shropshire, with the Conservatives troubles the gains made would have more or less happened anyway.

Enjoy this short-term wonder.  You will soon lose the bloody lot.

We're going to lose all our seats on Shropshire Council?

That's a bold statement young man.

[listener]

Who is retiring?

SHROPSHIRE

Elected in 2021 (74): Con 43, Lib Dem 14, Lab 9, Green Party 4, Independent 4

Retiring Councillors (as at 09.11.2024) (74): Con 39, Lib Dem 18, Lab 10, Green Party 4, Independent 3

*Mary Davies (Lib Dem) (Abbey)
Nigel Lumby (Con) (Albrighton)
Colin Taylor (Lib Dem) (Alveley and Claverley) – elected in by-election (19.10.2023)
Garry Burchett (Con) (Bagley)
Dean Carroll (Con) (Battlefield)
Ted Clarke (Lab) (Bayston Hill, Column and Sutton)
*Rosemary Dartnall (Lab) (Bayston Hill, Column and Sutton)
Tony Parsons (Lab) (Bayston Hill, Column and Sutton)
*Kate Halliday (Lab) (Belle Vue)
*Ruth Houghton (Lib Dem) (Bishop’s Castle)
Alex Wagner (Lib Dem) (Bowbrook)
*Kirstie Hurst-Knight (Con) (Bridgnorth East and Astley Abbotts)
Christian Lea (Con) (Bridgnorth East and Astley Abbotts)
*Julia Buckley, MP (Lab) (Bridgnorth West and Tasley)
*Rachel Connolly (Lab) (Bridgnorth West and Tasley) – elected in by-election (06.10.2022)
*Caroline Bagnall (Lab) (Broseley)
Robert Tindall (Independent, elected as Con) (Brown Clee)
Dan Morris (Con) (Burnell)
Alan Mosley (Lab) (Castlefields and Ditherington)
Rob Gittins (Con) (Cheswardine)
*Heather Kidd (Lib Dem) (Chirbury and Worthen)
David Evans (Con) (Church Stretton and Craven Arms)
*Hilary Luff (Con) (Church Stretton and Craven Arms)
Richard Huffer (Lib Dem) (Clee)
Gwilym Butler (Con) (Cleobury Mortimer)
Simon Harris (Con) (Cleobury Mortimer)
Nigel Hartin (Lib Dem) (Clun)
Rob Wilson (Lib Dem) (Copthorne)
*Cecilia Motley (Con) (Corvedale)
Geoff Elner (Con) (Ellesmere Urban)
Mark Jones (Con) (Gobowen, Selattyn and Weston Rhyn)
Robert Macey (Con) (Gobowen, Selattyn and Weston Rhyn)
Jeff Anderson (Con) (Harlescott)
Mark Williams (Lib Dem) (Highley) – elected in by-election (23.06.2022)
Paul Gill (Con) (Hodnet)
Vince Hunt (Con) (Llanymynech)
Roger Evans (Lib Dem) (Longden)
Ed Potter (Con) (Loton)
*Tracey Huffer (Lib Dem) (Ludlow East)
Andy Boddington (Lib Dem) (Ludlow North)
*Vivienne Parry (Lib Dem) (Ludlow South)
Roy Aldcroft (Con) (Market Drayton East)
David Minnery (Lib Dem, elected as Independent) (Market Drayton West)
Ian Nellins (Con) (Market Drayton West)
Bernie Bentick (Lib Dem) (Meole)
*Pamela Moseley (Lab) (Monkmoor)
Dan Thomas (Con) (Much Wenlock)
John Price (Con) (Oswestry East)
Chris Schofield (Con) (Oswestry East)
Duncan Kerr (Green Party) (Oswestry South)
Mike Isherwood (Green Party) (Oswestry West)
Julian Dean (Green Party) (Porthill)
Paul Wynn (Con) (Prees)
Nat Green (Lib Dem) (Quarry and Coton Hill)
*Julia Evans (Green Party) (Radbrook)
Nick Hignett (Con) (Rea Valley)
Nicholas Bardsley (Con) (Ruyton and Baschurch)
Steve Davenport (Con) (St. Martin’s)
*Joyce Barrow (Con) (St. Oswald)
*Claire Wild (Con) (Severn Valley)
Simon Jones (Con) (Shawbury)
Kevin Turley (No Description) (Shifnal North)
Ed Bird (Con) (Shifnal South and Cosford)
Kevin Pardy (Lab) (Sundorne)
*Lezley Picton (Con) (Tern)
Brian Williams (Con) (The Meres)
David Vasmer (Lib Dem) (Underdale)
Peter Broomhall (Con) (Wem)
Edward Towers (Independent) (Wem)
Thomas Biggins (Con) (Whitchurch North)
*Peggy Mullock (Con) (Whitchurch North)
Gerald Dakin (Con) (Whitchurch South)
Steve Charmley (Con) (Whittington)
Andrew Sherrington (Lib Dem) (Worfield) – elected in by-election (07.09.2023)