Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 27, 2024 17:02:35 GMT
Any way for the CDP to assemble a coalition or the numbers not adding up? CDP would have to cobble together a coalition with DPP, Ishin and LDP-ally KomeiTo, which would need de facto RS & JCP for support. So basically everyone except LDP and the right fringe. Not impossible, but hard to imagine. EDIT: Sorry, saw now - so too late -, that J.G.Harston had answered this already sufficiently.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Oct 27, 2024 19:09:57 GMT
Ishii Keiichi, leader of Kōmeitō, has lost his seat.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 27, 2024 19:20:04 GMT
Ishii Keiichi, leader of Kōmeitō, has lost his seat. Quite someThing as KomeiTo is eager to not lose its face (= not lose races).
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Post by finsobruce on Oct 27, 2024 19:23:36 GMT
So, as a punt I'll go with Indepenent/Constitutional Democrat 45%, Liberal Democrat 35%, others 20%, Constitutional Democrat sort-of gain/hold. Yey hey! Close enough: Jin Mitsuwara, ConDem: 45% Ueki Imaoka, LDP: 29% (won on PR list) Masako Wada, Communist: 12% Fumi Fujita, Sangsei: 7% Masafumi Tabuchi, Intestinal Doctor: 6% linkWere the policies of the intestinal doctor subject to proper examination?
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J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 14,771
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Post by J.G.Harston on Oct 27, 2024 22:15:53 GMT
Yey hey! Close enough: Jin Mitsuwara, ConDem: 45% Ueki Imaoka, LDP: 29% (won on PR list) Masako Wada, Communist: 12% Fumi Fujita, Sangsei: 7% Masafumi Tabuchi, Intestinal Doctor: 6% linkWere the policies of the intestinal doctor subject to proper examination? He's published quite a few research papers, and has been cited in over a hundred others, so I think so. "Water Immersion Painless: Discomfort Mitigation by Syringe Instillation Before Anal Intubation" anybody? He lives locally, is approaching retirement, and with a newly-drawn seat probably thought to give it a go.
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J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 14,771
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Post by J.G.Harston on Oct 27, 2024 22:26:22 GMT
Ishii Keiichi, leader of Kōmeitō, has lost his seat. He was previously a list candidate in a PR block, but moved to a constituency seat. Not such a smart move. He only became Komeito leader last month.
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Post by matureleft on Oct 28, 2024 7:27:07 GMT
Assembling a government is going to be interesting. While the LDP has certainly lost and the main opposition party has made large gains there isn’t an obvious way ahead that would exclude the LDP.
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Crimson King
Lib Dem
Be nice to each other and sing in tune
Posts: 9,843
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Post by Crimson King on Oct 28, 2024 8:04:37 GMT
Were the policies of the intestinal doctor subject to proper examination? He's published quite a few research papers, and has been cited in over a hundred others, so I think so. "Water Immersion Painless: Discomfort Mitigation by Syringe Instillation Before Anal Intubation" anybody? He lives locally, is approaching retirement, and with a newly-drawn seat probably thought to give it a go. thanks for getting to the bottom of that
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Post by edgbaston on Oct 28, 2024 8:10:26 GMT
Ishii Keiichi, leader of Kōmeitō, has lost his seat. He was previously a list candidate in a PR block, but moved to a constituency seat. Not such a smart move. He only became Komeito leader last month. Why not stand in both?
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306
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Post by maxque on Oct 28, 2024 13:45:24 GMT
He was previously a list candidate in a PR block, but moved to a constituency seat. Not such a smart move. He only became Komeito leader last month. Why not stand in both? Komeito doesn't do that, they only stand in one or another (which is fine usually, it's the first time since the deal with the LDP in 2000 that they lose a FPTP seat they stand in, they lost 5 of their 9 this time). Also, wierdly, you cannot place FPTP in a position on the list per se, all the candidates that stand in both are placed at the same spot on the list (which can vary) and are ranked after the election thanks to their "loss ratio" (how many votes they got in their district compared to the winner of said district; it's what led to that 25 year old winning for the LDP in Tokyo, he was standing in a bad seat, but there was division in the opposition and lost CDP 27, Ind 26, LDP 25, which is a great loss ratio (25/27)).
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