Texas

[sanders]

Texas at 60% of 2020 turnout. The pattern becomes clearer still, here. Trump's better areas have lower turnout. The Democratic-trending suburbs are doing better. This could be close despite polls. It's unlikely, but this is interesting. The Rio Grande Valley's trended right. It's not that highly populated, however. This map is objectively aesthetically satisfying. Urban counties not doing so well. Travis turnout is key for Democrats. So too is their margin there.  

[sanders]

The margin here will be interesting. Harris County is certainly Harris country. Still, Democrats need to do better. Travis County has shifted further left. Biden got 70% there in 2020. Still below 60% in Harris, however. It also has somewhat low turnout. Certainly below Travis County (Austin) turnout.

[iain]

Excellent early numbers for Trump here.

[rcronald]

Nov 6, 2024 1:13:56 GMT iain said:

Excellent early numbers for Trump here.

Very clear suburban swing toward Trump.

[rcronald]

Wild swing to the right in Houston’s impoverished and heavily Hispanic East Side.

[markgoodair]

Both qualified minor parties in Texas met the 2% vote test for continuing status. The Green Party polled 2.75% for Railroad Commissioner, and several statewide Libertarians also polled over 2% for various statewide offices.

[rcronald]

Massive swings to the right in heavily Indian upper-middle class precincts in suburban Texas.
ibfc

[sanders]

Double digit Trump District right here. If this guy ever gets ousted, Republicans would have a strong chance of taking San Antonio South & Freer (TX-28).