stb12
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Post by stb12 on Sept 5, 2024 23:10:44 GMT
1 electoral college vote
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Sept 26, 2024 19:06:05 GMT
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Post by sanders on Sept 28, 2024 8:11:33 GMT
Dems are almost certainly winning NE-02. Partisan polarisation catches up with Bacon. Warren Buffett lives in that seat. I wonder if he votes nowadays.
Kara Eastman was a weak opponent. Otherwise he'd have lost in 2018. She also stood again in 2020. A poor fit, Justice Democrat endorsee.
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batman
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Post by batman on Sept 28, 2024 8:43:02 GMT
I'm quite sure Warren Buffett votes. I can't imagine him not doing so while he is still alive.
Is there a particular reason why the district is more Democratic in Presidential than in Congressional elections? Are the boundaries any different?
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Post by sanders on Sept 28, 2024 8:49:36 GMT
I'm quite sure Warren Buffett votes. I can't imagine him not doing so while he is still alive. Is there a particular reason why the district is more Democratic in Presidential than in Congressional elections? Are the boundaries any different? Because Democrats have nominated poorly there. Kara Eastman was a far left candidate. She ran in 2018 and 2022. Bacon is also an incumbent Congressman... |
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Sept 28, 2024 11:30:42 GMT
Bacon is also quite moderate, albeit not on all issues. He's strongly anti-abortion for one
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Post by sanders on Sept 28, 2024 15:36:16 GMT
Bacon is also quite moderate, albeit not on all issues. He's strongly anti-abortion for one He will be moderately cooked too. |
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batman
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Post by batman on Sept 28, 2024 15:39:44 GMT
Moderately cooked bacon is not a great thing. It needs to be thoroughly cooked, although it doesn't take long. (Lord please forgive me for knowing this.)
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Post by sanders on Sept 28, 2024 15:55:28 GMT
Moderately cooked bacon is not a great thing. It needs to be thoroughly cooked, although it doesn't take long. (Lord please forgive me for knowing this.) Bacon will probably lose by 5%+. Being anti-abortion won’t help him here. Douglas County is zooming left, essentially. Osborn has a lead here too. A bit bigger than Harris’s, FWIW. NE-01 will determine if he wins. I doubt he will triumph, sadly. It’s still Nebraska and fairly red. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 28, 2024 16:04:43 GMT
Moderately cooked bacon is not a great thing. It needs to be thoroughly cooked, although it doesn't take long. (Lord please forgive me for knowing this.) I used to eat bacon raw and it didn't do me a lot of harm |
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Post by sanders on Sept 28, 2024 16:14:41 GMT
Bacon needs more pork for NE-02.
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Post by irish observer on Nov 2, 2024 20:04:38 GMT
If won by Harris as expected will it likely lead to calls for Nebraska to abandon the district voting system for Presidential voting as the state has a unicameral but basically Republican legislature in any case?
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Nov 2, 2024 23:31:00 GMT
If won by Harris as expected will it likely lead to calls for Nebraska to abandon the district voting system for Presidential voting as the state has a unicameral but basically Republican legislature in any case? A distinct possibility. However, I believe Democrats in Maine (state trifecta) have said that they would match any movement by Nebraska. So it would cancel out the arithmetic. |
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Post by sanders on Nov 3, 2024 5:04:06 GMT
Axing the District system might help Democrats since they'll almost certainly represent both seats in Congress after Tuesday. I've always been suspicious of the District system because it's open to partisan gerrymandering. Ranked Choice Voting, as used in Alaska and Maine, is a far superior system. Of course Maine has both the District system and RCV. Nebraska's 2nd District is on the same path as Kansas's 3rd (becoming a Democratic vote sink) and may well drive Nebraska to being somewhat competitive one day. However, Democrats would need to do better in the 1st to actually compete in the state. The figures for the Senate race between incumbent Republican Deb Fischer and independent candidate Dan Osborn will be fascinating here.
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Nov 6, 2024 0:14:45 GMT
Yes, gerrymandering is an issue in many states, but even with court-ordered or independently drawn boundaries, I find the district system an inelegant alternative to winner-take-all. The d'Hondt method is right there waiting to be used but America has spent over a century refusing to acknowledge its existence.
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Nov 7, 2024 20:09:56 GMT
Seems that Don Bacon may surprisingly hold on here?
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Post by sanders on Nov 7, 2024 20:12:24 GMT
Seems that Don Bacon may surprisingly hold on here? Maybe Bacon got enough pork for the district. He's got a knack for winning in tight races like 2018 and 2020 (although he had a weaker opponent then). It seems so. I was wrong about Bacon and didn't thin the suburban shifts would revert somewhat at the national level and that he had enough crossover support to win. |
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