Georgia

[stb12]

16 electoral college votes

[markgoodair]

he Georgia Supreme Court will hear the ballot access case involving presidential candidates Claudia De la Cruz and Cornel West on Tuesday, September 24, at 10 a.m. They both petitioned, but then a lower state court judge ruled their petitions should not have been on behalf of the candidates, but on behalf of each candidate’s presidential elector candidates. In other words, the candidates should have prepared petitions for each of their presidential elector candidates and circulated those petitions.

The two candidates’ names are already on the ballot, but the lower court ruled that votes for them should not be counted. If the State Supreme Court reverses the lower court, then their votes will be counted. The Secretary of State is on the same side as the two candidates; the Democratic Party is on the other side.

[sanders]

Harris should be fine in Georgia. The trends around Atanta don't lie. Fayette and Forsyth counties may flip.

[sanders]

Back to Fayette County in Georgia. It's rapidly swung left from 2012-2022. I think Harris flips it actually.

Republicans losing Fayette complicates Trump's path. He really needs some suburban reversion. 

[sanders]

The 2012 to 2020 swing here. Trump gained some ground in Atlanta. Still, the suburbs have drastically shifted.

[sanders]

Another interesting Georgia area - Newton County. Hillary barely won it in 2016. It's bolted left since that election. The suburban trends here are rapid.

I am bullish about Harris's chances. The trends are excellent for Democrats. Still, 2020 was a narrow result.

[sanders]

South Atlanta doing South Atlanta here.Solid trends for Democrats longer term.

Black voters are still moving in. Fayette probably votes Democrat in 2028. This area will matter in 2026.