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Post by overthehill on Jul 7, 2024 10:53:38 GMT
Has any clever person compiled such a list yet? I expect there will be some record breaking low turnouts in individual seats. I expect the failure to deliver postal votes on time may have a small role is this but much more significant factors at play!
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Post by stodge on Jul 7, 2024 10:54:59 GMT
48% in East Ham to start off.
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Post by owainsutton on Jul 7, 2024 11:02:51 GMT
Interesting that all four Green wins saw much higher turnouts than average.
Waveney Valley 76.1%
North Herefordshire 71.7%
Brighton Pavilion 70.0%
Bristol Central 69.4%
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 7, 2024 13:50:01 GMT
The constituency polls in three of those seats being at the better end of predictions may not be a coincidence there.
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Post by johnloony on Jul 7, 2024 18:40:55 GMT
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Post by owainsutton on Jul 8, 2024 5:19:46 GMT
The data is incomplete on that sheet. |
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Post by jm on Jul 8, 2024 20:21:24 GMT
From my spreadsheet. There may be a few errors as news outlets are reporting different figures. I have used turnout figures reported by the Returning Officer where possible. | Turnout | No. seats | | 40-45% | 13 | | 45-50% | 46 | | 50-55% | 101 | | 55-60% | 160 | | 60-65% | 154 | | 65-70% | 143 | | 70%+ | 33 |
| Manchester Rusholme | 40.0% | | Leeds South | 41.7% | | Kingston upon Hull East | 42.2% | | Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney | 42.7% | | Tipton and Wednesbury | 42.9% | | Blackley and Middleton South | 43.5% | | Birmingham Erdington | 43.6% | | Birmingham Ladywood | 43.7% | | Wolverhampton South East | 43.7% | | Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | 43.9% |
| Richmond Park | 75.7% | | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | 75.2% | | Godalming and Ash | 73.8% | | Rushcliffe | 73.0% | | Winchester | 72.9% | | Esher and Walton | 72.8% | | Wokingham | 72.8% | | Chesham and Amersham | 72.7% | | North East Hampshire | 72.2% | | Henley and Thame | 72.1% |
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Post by manchesterman on Jul 8, 2024 20:35:38 GMT
I think the highest turnout was 76.3 in Somerset North?
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Post by jm on Jul 8, 2024 20:43:04 GMT
I think the highest turnout was 76.3 in Somerset North? The BBC and the official declaration report it as 72%. The Guardian reported it as 76.3% but many of their turnout figures seem to be inaccurate and do not tally with the official declarations. |
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Post by johnloony on Jul 8, 2024 21:41:04 GMT
From my spreadsheet. There may be a few errors as news outlets are reporting different figures. I have used turnout figures reported by the Returning Officer where possible. | Turnout | No. seats | | 40-45% | 13 | | 45-50% | 46 | | 50-55% | 101 | | 55-60% | 160 | | 60-65% | 154 | | 65-70% | 143 | | 70%+ | 33 |
| Manchester Rusholme | 40.0% | | Leeds South | 41.7% | | Kingston upon Hull East | 42.2% | | Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney | 42.7% | | Tipton and Wednesbury | 42.9% | | Blackley and Middleton South | 43.5% | | Birmingham Erdington | 43.6% | | Birmingham Ladywood | 43.7% | | Wolverhampton South East | 43.7% | | Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | 43.9% |
| Richmond Park | 75.7% | | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | 75.2% | | Godalming and Ash | 73.8% | | Rushcliffe | 73.0% | | Winchester | 72.9% | | Esher and Walton | 72.8% | | Wokingham | 72.8% | | Chesham and Amersham | 72.7% | | North East Hampshire | 72.2% | | Henley and Thame | 72.1% |
According to the numbers given in the Times newspaper results pullout section, the turnout and electorate in Manchester Rusholme were 29,033 and 72,604. That makes a turnout percentage of 39.988%, i.e. not in the 40-45% bracket. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Jul 8, 2024 21:46:46 GMT
From my spreadsheet. There may be a few errors as news outlets are reporting different figures. I have used turnout figures reported by the Returning Officer where possible. | Turnout | No. seats | | 40-45% | 13 | | 45-50% | 46 | | 50-55% | 101 | | 55-60% | 160 | | 60-65% | 154 | | 65-70% | 143 | | 70%+ | 33 |
| Manchester Rusholme | 40.0% | | Leeds South | 41.7% | | Kingston upon Hull East | 42.2% | | Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney | 42.7% | | Tipton and Wednesbury | 42.9% | | Blackley and Middleton South | 43.5% | | Birmingham Erdington | 43.6% | | Birmingham Ladywood | 43.7% | | Wolverhampton South East | 43.7% | | Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | 43.9% |
| Richmond Park | 75.7% | | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | 75.2% | | Godalming and Ash | 73.8% | | Rushcliffe | 73.0% | | Winchester | 72.9% | | Esher and Walton | 72.8% | | Wokingham | 72.8% | | Chesham and Amersham | 72.7% | | North East Hampshire | 72.2% | | Henley and Thame | 72.1% |
According to the numbers given in the Times newspaper results pullout section, the turnout and electorate in Manchester Rusholme were 29,033 and 72,604. That makes a turnout percentage of 39.988%, i.e. not in the 40-45% bracket. It's the old problem of whether or not to include spoilt papers in the turnout totals. www.manchester.gov.uk/directory_record/468347/parliamentary_general_election_2024/category/1394/parliamentary_elections |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 8, 2024 21:51:12 GMT
I know it was around 71% (to the nearest whole number) in Stroud
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Post by johnloony on Jul 8, 2024 22:46:00 GMT
That is a problem, but it is not the problem. Turnout is almost always defined in terms of the total valid votes for the candidates, not including the spolit votes. The problem in this instance is that percentages are usually quoted a curate to the nearest multiple of 0.1%, and are rounded up or down to the closest (instead of being always rounded down), so that anything which is more than 39.95000% is rounded up to 40.0%, so (at first glance, without checking) it looks as if it’s in the 40-45% bracket rather than the 35-40% bracket. I remember at the time of the Scottish devolution referendum one report said that 6 areas had had a Yes vote of more than 80%; I wrote to the journalist concerned to point out that only 4 had done so, because the other two were 79.98% and 79.96%. |
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