Local Council by-elections 16th and 18th April 2024

[Tony Otim]

16th April:

PEMBROKESHIRE UA; St Ishmaels (Ind died)
Candidates:
GEORGE, Claire Victoria (Conservative)
HARWOOD, Janie (Independent)
JENKINS, Richard Leighton (No Decscription)
SIMISTER, Bob (Independent)
WORSLEY, Terry (No Description)

2022: Ind 326; No Desc 256, 227; Grn 116

This one will be fun for the prediction competition. To confuse matters more, Claire George (Con) was the second No Description candidate in 2022 and Janie Harwood (Ind) was the Green candidate.

Current Council: Not Affilated 18; Ind Grp 17; Con 10; Lab 10; PC 2; LD 2; 1 vacancy



18th April:

EAST CAMBRIDGESHIRE DC; Ely West (Lib Dem resigned)
Candidates:
AMBROSE SMITH; David Ian (Conservative)
TRENT, Ross David (Liberal Democrat)
WILSON, Adam Joshua (Labour)

2023: LD 1405, 1324, 1272; Lab 848, 718, 599; Con 831, 809, 747; Grn 401; No Desc 282
2019: LD 1380, 1330, 1308; Con 890, 868, 692; Grn 511; Lab 386, 299, 297; Ind 354

David Ambrose Smith was the top Conservative candidate last year and Adam Wilson was the third Labour candidate.

Current Council: Con 15; LD 12; 1 vacancy



WAVERLEY DC; Farnham Castle (Farnham Res resigned)
Candidates:
EARWAKER, Alan (Farnham Residents)
FITCH, Aly (Conservative)
GASKELL, John Michael Barrington (Labour)
MEREDITH-HARDY, Theresa (Liberal Democrat)

2023: Farnham Res 621, 575; Lab 429; Con 188, 172

John Gaskell was the Labour candidate here last year. Aly Fitch stood for the Conservatives in Farnham Bourne. Both of them also contested the Farnham Central county division which contains this ward in 2021.

Current Council: LD 21; Farnham Res 12; Con 10; Ind 2; Lab 2; Grn 1; 2 vacancies

[Terry Weldon]

In Farnham Castle, local LibDems are working hard, with both active canvassing and leaflets. Before the rise of Farnham Residents, this was their strongest wards (on different boundaries). The only reason there was no LD candidate in last year's locals, is that LD and F Residents have been in shared control of Waverley BC since taking control in 2019.

Local activists report frequent sitings of Labour and F Residents out delivering leaflets. I've not heard of any activity by Tories.

Could be a close result.

[phil156]

Pembrokeshire counts tonight the other two are Thursday

[ricmk]

If it counts tonight, that must mean there's a limited edition preview lurking out there in the wild somewhere.

[Chris from Brum]

Apr 16, 2024 14:29:16 GMT ricmk said:

If it counts tonight, that must mean there's a limited edition preview lurking out there in the wild somewhere.

Yup.

medium.com/britainelects/previewing-the-st-ishmaels-pembrokeshire-by-election-of-tuesday-16th-april-2024-f1616d1fee50

[Pete Whitehead]

The link was already in the post you're quoting

[carolus]

Con gain

[batman]

oh wow I actually guessed that right for once

[carolus]

Con 297 (43.4%)
Jenkins 242 (35.3%)
Harwood 69 (10.1%)
Simister 52 (7.6%)
Worsley 25 (3.6%)

[Chris from Brum]

Andrew's view of today's events:

medium.com/britainelects/previewing-the-east-cambridgeshire-and-waverley-by-elections-of-18th-april-2024-0f238bcaff96

[Terry Weldon]

F Castle goes to F Residents.

Unconfirmed result FR 307, LD 279

[Terry Weldon]

Now confirmed

FR 307
LD 279
Lab 217
Con 141

[iain]

Apr 18, 2024 22:26:49 GMT Terry Weldon said:

Now confirmed

FR 307
LD 279
Lab 217
Con 141

Residents - 32.5%
Lib Dem - 29.6%
Labour - 23.0%
Conservative - 14.9%

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Ely West turnout 33.28%

[olympian95]

[Chris from Brum]

Apr 18, 2024 22:26:49 GMT Terry Weldon said:

Now confirmed

FR 307
LD 279
Lab 217
Con 141

Darnit that was close 😭

[andrewp]

Percentages and Changes

East Cambridgeshire

LD 47.9% (+10.6)
Con 32.3% (+10.2)
Lab 19.8% (-2.7)

No Green or ND from before

Waverley

Res 32.5% (-17.7)
LD 29.6% (new)
Lab 23% (-11.7)
Con 14.9% (-0.3)

[MeirionGwril]

26 spoilt votes seems quite a lot?

[andrewp]

An update on local by election statistics this municipal year, following the three contests on 16 &18/04/24

Excluding countermanded elections, up to 18 April 2024 there have now been 171 ordinary by elections for 173 seats since May 4th 2023 . In 2022/23 year there were 183 by elections, in 2023/24, there will be 175, so a slight decrease

The Conservatives have defended 47- Held 19 and lost 28: 5 to the Greens, 16 to the Lib Dems, 6 to Labour and 1 to an Independent. ( retention rate 40%) and have gained 11

Labour have defended 52- Held 37 and lost 15- 5 to the Conservatives, 5 to Independents, 3 to the Lib Dems and 2 to the Greens( retention rate 71%) and have gained 12

Lib Dems have defended 34- Held 30 and lost 4, 1 each to the Conservatives and Greens and 2 to Independents ( retention rate 88%) and have gained 23

Greens have defended 10- Held 6 and lost 4: 1 each to the Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and to an Independent( retention rate 60%) and have gained 10

There have been elections for 15 seats previously won by Independents: 8 have been won by an another Independent , 2 each have been lost to the Greens and the Conservatives and 1 each to Labour, the Lib Dems and Plaid Cymru.And Independents have gained 10
Residents/ local groups have defended 7, held 5 and lost 2 to the Lib Dems.
SNP have defended 5, lost 5, 2 to the Conservatives and 3 to Labour ( retention rate 0%)
PC have defended 3, held 1 , lost 2, 1 to Labour and 1 to an Independent (retention rate 33%) and have gained 1

Overall net changes

Con -17
Lab -3
LD +19
Green +6
Ind + 3
SNP -5
PC -1
Res/ local groups -2

[Crimson King]

Apr 19, 2024 7:38:01 GMT MeirionGwril said:

26 spoilt votes seems quite a lot?

disgruntled greens?