stb12
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 2:38:19 GMT
Belfast North
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Post by markgoodair on May 23, 2024 19:59:40 GMT
Nuala McAllister MLA has been selected as the Alliance candidate.
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on May 28, 2024 13:52:20 GMT
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on May 31, 2024 16:05:30 GMT
With Sinn Fein pulling out of four constituencies including Belfast South I imagine they were hoping to pressure the SDLP to do similar, in particular here when they didn’t stand last time to help unseat Nigel Dodds in what was described as an anti-Brexit move rather than a nationalist pact However Colum Eastwood is saying that they will be standing in all 18 seats: www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cv22vwqvyy8o.amp |
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Post by markgoodair on May 31, 2024 16:42:26 GMT
David Clarke is the TUV candidate.
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Jun 4, 2024 12:27:53 GMT
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Post by boondock on Jun 7, 2024 6:06:09 GMT
UUP confirmed they will not run a candidate here. Looks awfully like a rtn favour to the DUP for FST despite What Doug tried to say on the view last night
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Post by ntyuk1707 on Jun 7, 2024 9:36:11 GMT
TUV are running so this will more than likely be a SF hold.
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YL
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Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
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Post by YL on Jun 7, 2024 22:10:11 GMT
Phillip Brett (DUP)
David Clarke (TUV)
Fiona Ferguson (People Before Profit)
John Finucane (SF)
Nuala McAllister (Alliance)
Mal O'Hara (Green)
Carl Whyte (SDLP)
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Post by irish observer on Jun 18, 2024 13:40:33 GMT
Finucane is impressive and will retain. Will also cannibalise SDLP vote. How will McAllister poll as a sitting MLA?
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Jun 18, 2024 14:09:31 GMT
Finucane is impressive and will retain. Will also cannibalise SDLP vote. How will McAllister poll as a sitting MLA? The DUP candidate is also a newly elected 2022 MLA, but the TUV standing may kill his chances |
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obsie
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Post by obsie on Jun 21, 2024 18:57:13 GMT
Finucane is impressive and will retain. Will also cannibalise SDLP vote. How will McAllister poll as a sitting MLA? The DUP candidate is also a newly elected 2022 MLA, but the TUV standing may kill his chances Brett might actually be seen as overly pally with T**gs for the likes of the UVF/UDA hard-core. |
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CatholicLeft
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2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jun 27, 2024 23:36:45 GMT
The SDLP's ridiculously short-term political decision to not stand a candidate in 2019, led to much of the SDLP vote going to Nuala McAllister, and subsequently lost Nicola Mallon, one of the most impressive politicians in Stormont and the deputy leader, her seat at the 2022 Stormont elections and her to NI politics.
I expect John Finucane to win here fairly easily due to the TUV standing a candidate.
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Post by irish observer on Jun 28, 2024 23:57:01 GMT
The SDLP's ridiculously short-term political decision to not stand a candidate in 2019, led to much of the SDLP vote going to Nuala McAllister, and subsequently lost Nicola Mallon, one of the most impressive politicians in Stormont and the deputy leader, her seat at the 2022 Stormont elections and her to NI politics. I expect John Finucane to win here fairly easily due to the TUV standing a candidate. Agree with you that Nichola Mallon was very impressive, however, in recent years SDLP have had major strife in Belfast area losing a number of former Mayors even from the party, possibly over social issues like abortion. This has fractured their vote support in the Belfast area where they have always been residually weak even from the time of their foundation. Since SF started contesting they have been always weaker in Belfast than them, an uncomfortable fact as there has been more working-class territory to fight over and they were out-organised. Various political and history books back up that analysis also. What really hurt Mallon in the end was the fact that her local Councillor, McCusker in Oldpark got elected as an Independent with the highest vote in all of NI. Another fall-out with the SDLP leadership there in a key DEA. |
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Jun 29, 2024 0:04:36 GMT
The SDLP's ridiculously short-term political decision to not stand a candidate in 2019, led to much of the SDLP vote going to Nuala McAllister, and subsequently lost Nicola Mallon, one of the most impressive politicians in Stormont and the deputy leader, her seat at the 2022 Stormont elections and her to NI politics. I expect John Finucane to win here fairly easily due to the TUV standing a candidate. I’m a bit surprised Jim Allister ended up standing a candidate here considering it’s a Sinn Fein seat, with the UUP not standing and the SDLP contesting this time the DUP would have had a decent shot at winning as the single unionist candidate (even if still not the favourites) |
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