stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,365 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 2:27:09 GMT
Rhondda and Ogmore
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,849
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Post by johng on Jun 7, 2024 16:53:40 GMT
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Post by Penddu on Jun 14, 2024 4:35:30 GMT
Labour will comfortably win.
Plaid and Reform will battle for 2nd & 3rd - should be Plaid ahead.
LD, Green & Con will fight for 4th, 5th & 6th.
I think Tories might come in 6th place here.....
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Post by Penddu on Jun 14, 2024 8:40:38 GMT
Labour will comfortably win. Plaid and Reform will battle for 2nd & 3rd - should be Plaid ahead. LD, Green & Con will fight for 4th, 5th & 6th. I think Tories might come in 6th place here..... Just for a bit of fun - can we have a vote for who finishes here in 6th place?? |
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Post by johnloony on Jun 14, 2024 16:07:39 GMT
The excitement and anticipation is palpable but I’m going to stick my neck out, throw a spanner in the ointment, nail my jelly to the flagpole, and predict Green in 6th place
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nyx
Non-Aligned
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Post by nyx on Jun 14, 2024 22:06:01 GMT
I'd say something like Lab 60%, PC 18%, Rfm 13%, Con 5%, LD 2%, Grn 2%
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Jun 15, 2024 6:48:07 GMT
I'd say something like Lab 60%, PC 18%, Rfm 13%, Con 5%, LD 2%, Grn 2% A equally plausible prediction could see almost identical vote shares but with Plaid and Brexit switching positions. |
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Post by Penddu on Jun 15, 2024 15:28:15 GMT
FWIW - I predict Lab 55 PC 20 Ref 15 Con 5 LD 3 Gr 2 - but the bottom 3 could easily shuffle around
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johng
Labour
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Post by johng on Jun 15, 2024 15:44:07 GMT
FWIW - I predict Lab 55 PC 20 Ref 15 Con 5 LD 3 Gr 2 - but the bottom 3 could easily shuffle around
Labour will be comfortably above 60%. Though won't breach 70% as what would have happened on these boundaries in 1997. If I had to guess, about 63%.
Plaid and Reform will fight it out for second with both on around 11/12/13%. Conservatives will be on the higher end of single digits. Let's say about 7%. Lib Dems and Greens will lose their deposit. Though the Lib Dems will beat the Greens - let's say LDs at about 4% and Green about 2/3%.
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Post by 🏴☠️ Neath West 🏴☠️ on Jun 15, 2024 19:04:24 GMT
The excitement and anticipation is palpable but I’m going to stick my neck out, throw a spanner in the ointment, nail my jelly to the flagpole, and predict Green in 6th place I reckon she'll come 5th. |
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nyx
Non-Aligned
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Post by nyx on Jun 15, 2024 21:58:37 GMT
FWIW - I predict Lab 55 PC 20 Ref 15 Con 5 LD 3 Gr 2 - but the bottom 3 could easily shuffle around Tories are probably pretty solid in fourth place. I'd be surprised if they lose their deposit (though they could come close), and I can't see either the Lib Dems or Greens getting much over 2%. |
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Post by Penddu on Jul 2, 2024 15:13:03 GMT
According to latest ITV Wales poll, Tories are predicted to win -4.7%... Yes - negative 4.7%. Even I don't think they will do that badly...
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