Falkirk

[stb12]

Falkirk

[yellowfox]

John McNally, SNP incumbent here since 2015, is standing down and the nationalists have selected Toni Giugliano to contest the general election. Giugliano is a party HQ employee who has twice failed (at Edinburgh Western in 2016 and at Dumbarton in 2021) to be elected to the Scottish Parliament.

The SNP's 12,578 (26%) vote notional majority means that at first glance Giugliano might have better luck here, even more so when you realise that its the conservatives who are in 2nd place. These numbers aren't entirely representative of what will happen though: in 2019 the labour candidate was disowned who to alleged antisemitism, and they'll certainly do better than the tories this time.

The tories haven't publicly announced a candidate yet, Labour are standing Euan Stainback, a councillor for Falkirk South since 2022.

Even with the mountain Labour have to climb being artificially high, Giugliano is probably slight favourite here.

[carolus]

www.falkirk.gov.uk/services/council-democracy/elections-voting/general-election/

8 - Con, Green, Lab, LD, Reform UK, SNP, Alba, Ind

[ntyuk1707]

Too close to call - will update my call closer to the election.

EDIT: Going for a Labour gain 

[irish observer]

SNP could hold here just from Labour. A close run thing like Waterloo!

[Lord Twaddleford]

Labour take this seat.

LAB: 18,343
SNP: 13,347
CON: 3,576
REF: 3,375
SGP: 1,711
LDM: 1,092
IND: 600
ALB: 581

[CatholicLeft]

A stunning swing to Labour here.

[spqr]

Jul 5, 2024 2:43:35 GMT CatholicLeft said:

A stunning swing to Labour here.

Faiza Shaheen and Toni Guigliano should meet up to share campaign tactics.

[stb12]

Toni Guigliano didn't take his latest election defeat very well at all

www.falkirkherald.co.uk/news/politics/general-election/defeated-falkirk-snp-candidate-hits-back-after-loss-of-partys-safest-seat-4693460