Post by xenon on Jul 18, 2024 18:57:32 GMT
I have just realised I haven't done a proper debrief on my seat. I concur with batman that this is a very significant result (even more so than Dundee Central, and probably only tied with Stirling and Strathallan as to Labour's best Scottish turnaround).
Broughty Ferry will have almost certainly voted Labour, and likely by a greater margin over the SNP than the more working class Dundee areas to the west of it. Monifieth will have done similarly, as it has very similar demographics although it is slightly less affluent. Carnoustie and Arbroath are hard to judge seeing as local elections in the former have been dominated by independents recently, and Labour have barely registered at all in either of them (whereas they currently have a councillor in both Monifieth and Broughty Ferry). I would imagine the SNP probably led these two towns, as well as the surrounding landward areas.
The two Dundee proper wards are too close to call (if I had to guess then East End would be Labour and North East would be SNP, although both going Labour isn't impossible if the rural SNP vote held up to a similar degree as neighbouring constituencies).
My "ideal result" basically came true, and if the SNP continue to slide then there is a real chance this could go Labour's way in 2029. I will monitor Gethins' parliamentary contributions with interest. Hopefully they will be more constructive than the ones I've seen recently from Flynn and Wishart who if anything seem to have become even more confrontational despite their heavy losses.
Broughty Ferry will have almost certainly voted Labour, and likely by a greater margin over the SNP than the more working class Dundee areas to the west of it. Monifieth will have done similarly, as it has very similar demographics although it is slightly less affluent. Carnoustie and Arbroath are hard to judge seeing as local elections in the former have been dominated by independents recently, and Labour have barely registered at all in either of them (whereas they currently have a councillor in both Monifieth and Broughty Ferry). I would imagine the SNP probably led these two towns, as well as the surrounding landward areas.
The two Dundee proper wards are too close to call (if I had to guess then East End would be Labour and North East would be SNP, although both going Labour isn't impossible if the rural SNP vote held up to a similar degree as neighbouring constituencies).
My "ideal result" basically came true, and if the SNP continue to slide then there is a real chance this could go Labour's way in 2029. I will monitor Gethins' parliamentary contributions with interest. Hopefully they will be more constructive than the ones I've seen recently from Flynn and Wishart who if anything seem to have become even more confrontational despite their heavy losses.
