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Post by peterski on Aug 11, 2024 19:44:00 GMT
This was a very strange result indeed. There must have been an extremely fortuitous confluence of Tory favouring factors here : popular incumbent, unpopular Labour candidate, Gaza related fracturing of the Muslim vote and differential turnout. Ilkley isn't even the Tory stronghold it once was .
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Post by batman on Aug 12, 2024 8:54:22 GMT
I'm not convinced that John Grogan was all that personally (as opposed to politically) unpopular, after all he won quite well in 2017. But otherwise, yes, it was a perfect storm for Labour. It's the first time since 1923 that Labour has formed a government without winning here.
It has only just come to my attention that the seat was won for the Tories in 1931 by George Harvie-Watt, who was MP for my constituency until just before I was born.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,067
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 12, 2024 9:07:01 GMT
Moore must have done better than most Tories as far as Muslim voters were concerned, and indeed recent local results suggest this is not implausible.
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