stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366 
|
Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 1:11:28 GMT
West Worcestershire
|
|
|
|
Post by John Chanin on Mar 15, 2024 12:06:07 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by carolus on Jun 7, 2024 15:31:43 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by No Offence Alan on Jun 18, 2024 19:11:06 GMT
Well, you take your MRP and you take your pick.
Survation MRP has this as a Lab Lead with the Greens on 25%.
IPSOS MORI MRP has the Greens on 5% and the seat leaning Con which, having grown up in the area, seems more plausible.
|
|
|
|
Post by batman on Jun 18, 2024 23:11:04 GMT
Oh come on. Surely Labour can't win here. We could theoretically win all sorts of seats, but I don't believe this is one of them.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 18, 2024 23:15:14 GMT
This might be a plausible Green Party target seat. They are the largest non-Conservative political party (ie not a group of Independent councillors) on Malvern Hills, have a local base in Great Malvern and have been able to win some rural wards.
|
|
Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
|
Post by Foggy on Jun 18, 2024 23:57:16 GMT
Caroline Lucas was born and raised in this seat. If she thought it was winnable she'd never have felt the need to take advantage of Keith Taylor's groundwork in Brighton Pavilion.
|
|
|
|
Post by greenchristian on Jun 20, 2024 22:21:57 GMT
Caroline Lucas was born and raised in this seat. If she thought it was winnable she'd never have felt the need to take advantage of Keith Taylor's groundwork in Brighton Pavilion. Not really relevant to David's point. Today it is one of several places in the West Midlands region where there is a substantial enough councillor base to make it a plausible Green Party target seat. But back in 2010 we had a grand total of one councillor here (one of just three across the West Midlands region, though this was the only one of those seats where we had won more than once). |
|
steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
|
Post by steve on Jun 21, 2024 0:07:10 GMT
There is scope for one of the non-Con parties to challenge here although whether it is this time or who I don't know. The Lib Dems got within 2.5K votes in 2005 when the Con share was under 45% so it isn't monolithically Con and of course this was pre-Reform.
|
|
|
|
Post by aargauer on Jul 2, 2024 20:03:26 GMT
Fun fact.
There is a recorded shark attack which took place in this landlocked seat.
|
|
steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
|
Post by steve on Jul 2, 2024 20:58:55 GMT
Fun fact. There is a recorded shark attack which took place in this landlocked seat. A loan shark? |
|
|
|
Post by iainbhx on Jul 3, 2024 9:19:33 GMT
Fun fact. There is a recorded shark attack which took place in this landlocked seat. A loan shark? No, a real one. The Fountain in Tenbury Wells had three small sharks in a tank and one bit the guy who was feeding them. It‘s a very Tenbury story. |
|
|
|
Post by carolus on Jul 7, 2024 7:07:53 GMT
A surprisingly good LD result here, though as far as I'm aware it wasn't targeted:
Con 36.2
LD 24.2
Lab 15.2
Reform 14.4
Green 9.3
Ind 0.7
|
|
Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,729
Member is Online
|
Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 7, 2024 7:40:04 GMT
A surprisingly good LD result here, though as far as I'm aware it wasn't targeted: Con 36.2 LD 24.2 Lab 15.2 Reform 14.4 Green 9.3 Ind 0.7 It will be now. |
|
steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
|
Post by steve on Jul 7, 2024 8:14:48 GMT
It was a target twenty years ago when Michael Spicer was the MP. At one point they cut his majority to under 2.5k.
|
|
Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,729
Member is Online
|
Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 7, 2024 8:16:59 GMT
It was a target twenty years ago when Michael Spicer was the MP. At one point they cut his majority to under 2.5k. Ah, how history repeats itself |
|
Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
|
Post by Foggy on Jul 8, 2024 3:31:32 GMT
It was a target twenty years ago when Michael Spicer was the MP. And now he has his own Radio 4 show. Hold on, wrong Michael Spicer... |
|
