stb12
Top Poster
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 0:53:36 GMT
Birmingham Erdington
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Post by Yaffles on Mar 14, 2024 9:58:54 GMT
Seen it reported on facebook that Cllr Alden is NOT standing this time round for the Tories. So either he has finally got bored of losing or has his eye on other things.
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Post by lackeroftalent on Mar 14, 2024 10:02:57 GMT
Understand the tory candidate is Duffield, Derbyshire Parish councillor Steve Knee.
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Post by Yaffles on Mar 14, 2024 10:33:40 GMT
Understand the tory candidate is Duffield, Derbyshire Parish councillor Steve Knee. Interesting - not exactly a high profile choice then. I would say that is a pretty clear indication that they don't rate their chances, although it would be very funny if they did somehow win after Cllr Alden's five losses. |
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Post by batman on Mar 14, 2024 10:46:27 GMT
Why would they rate their chances in a seat they have not won since WWII at a time when they are way behind Labour nationally?
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Post by Yaffles on Mar 14, 2024 10:50:41 GMT
Why would they rate their chances in a seat they have not won since WWII at a time when they are way behind Labour nationally? Of course they have no chance, its just a bit dull that they have worked this out. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Mar 14, 2024 11:09:45 GMT
Why would they rate their chances in a seat they have not won since WWII at a time when they are way behind Labour nationally? It’s probably a reasonable assumption that Robert Alden would do a bit better than any other Tory candidate would here in any circumstances, but he wouldn’t win even in a good year. He consistently gets one of the Tories best ward results in Birmingham in a swingy ward which Labour may well hold at the moment if he wasn’t around. I wonder if he’s in the mix for Solihull. |
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Merseymike
Independent
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Post by Merseymike on Mar 14, 2024 11:23:11 GMT
Why would they rate their chances in a seat they have not won since WWII at a time when they are way behind Labour nationally? It’s probably a reasonable assumption that Robert Alden would do a bit better than any other Tory candidate would here in any circumstances, but he wouldn’t win even in a good year. He consistently gets one of the Tories best ward results in Birmingham in a swingy ward which Labour may well hold at the moment if he wasn’t around. I wonder if he’s in the mix for Solihull. I thought Nicola Richards was likely to get Solihull and Shirley? |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Mar 14, 2024 11:54:27 GMT
It’s probably a reasonable assumption that Robert Alden would do a bit better than any other Tory candidate would here in any circumstances, but he wouldn’t win even in a good year. He consistently gets one of the Tories best ward results in Birmingham in a swingy ward which Labour may well hold at the moment if he wasn’t around. I wonder if he’s in the mix for Solihull. I thought Nicola Richards was likely to get Solihull and Shirley? Yes, that does keep getting rumoured. |
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Post by John Chanin on Mar 15, 2024 12:04:16 GMT
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Post by John Chanin on Jun 7, 2024 16:41:47 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 10, 2024 15:42:35 GMT
Big 5 parties plus TUSC and an Independent. |
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right
Conservative
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Post by right on Jun 19, 2024 6:31:40 GMT
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,761
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Post by right on Jul 6, 2024 6:23:18 GMT
A different style TUSC leaflet with Dave Nellist. It's like coming on to a classical rick station on the car radio and realising, I always hated that tune. electionleaflets.org/leaflets/20553/ |
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Post by london(ex)tory on Jul 17, 2024 7:18:10 GMT
Results page on BCC website says Corinthia Ward (TUSC) got 376 votes but both BBC and Sky say she only got 37 votes - which is the correct figure?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 17, 2024 7:23:35 GMT
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Post by london(ex)tory on Jul 17, 2024 8:22:15 GMT
Where there is any discrepancy I tend to go with the figure that the council says on their own website. I've found a similar example for North Cornwall - both BBC and Sky say the Lib Dem got 24904 votes but the figure on Cornwall Council website says 24094 so that's the figure I'm going to trust. Is there ever an official, 100% definitive set of results published somewhere? |
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 17, 2024 9:43:38 GMT
Where there is any discrepancy I tend to go with the figure that the council says on their own website. I've found a similar example for North Cornwall - both BBC and Sky say the Lib Dem got 24904 votes but the figure on Cornwall Council website says 24094 so that's the figure I'm going to trust. Is there ever an official, 100% definitive set of results published somewhere? HoC Library later this week. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 17, 2024 9:45:05 GMT
Where there is any discrepancy I tend to go with the figure that the council says on their own website. I've found a similar example for North Cornwall - both BBC and Sky say the Lib Dem got 24904 votes but the figure on Cornwall Council website says 24094 so that's the figure I'm going to trust. Is there ever an official, 100% definitive set of results published somewhere? The Electoral Commission did publish an official set of results in 2001 and 2010 but not at any other election. |
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 17, 2024 19:08:51 GMT
Where there is any discrepancy I tend to go with the figure that the council says on their own website. I've found a similar example for North Cornwall - both BBC and Sky say the Lib Dem got 24904 votes but the figure on Cornwall Council website says 24094 so that's the figure I'm going to trust. Perhaps they were awaiting the Wandsworth full details? Just noticed on Twitter:- He's also awaiting 2024 but a good collection of stats. Is there ever an official, 100% definitive set of results published somewhere? HoC Library later this week. |
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