stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,379 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 0:45:27 GMT
South West Devon
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Post by connor on May 22, 2024 20:07:40 GMT
Conservative Hold
Rebecca Smith (Conservative) . New candidate.
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Post by WestCountryRadical on Jun 7, 2024 16:35:39 GMT
SOPNSarah Allen (Lab) Julian Brazil (LD) Ben Davy (TUSC) Steve Horner (Ref) Darryl Ingram (Heritage) Lauren McLay (Grn) Rebecca Smith (Con) Alan Spencer (Ind)
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Jul 12, 2024 18:17:54 GMT
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Post by heslingtonian on Jul 14, 2024 13:32:39 GMT
This appears to be consistently the safest Conservative seat in Devon. Any idea why? |
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Jul 14, 2024 13:37:01 GMT
Bits of it are very wealthy, rolling hills and hunting country. It's the South Hams with a couple of Plymouth suburbs thrown in.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 15, 2024 7:40:51 GMT
Bits of it are very wealthy, rolling hills and hunting country. It's the South Hams with a couple of Plymouth suburbs thrown in. I think the hunting vote is grossly overestimated in the South West. Only a tiny fraction of constituents will be involved with it and the number of non-hunters who will be voting based on it will have been similarly tiny. The whole wild camping debate has made landowners rather unpopular in the Dartmoor-ish bits of the constituency. I would guess the coastal South Hams bits are the most Tory parts of the constituency, although historically I don't think any part of the constituency has been a problem for the party.
Housebuilding and general demographic trends in the Plymouth parts of this constituency + Ivybridge are making it less Conservative, although still a long way off Labour winning here outside of a future landslide result.
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
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Post by Foggy on Jul 16, 2024 4:14:53 GMT
This appears to be consistently the safest Conservative seat in Devon. Any idea why? One of my uncles lives in this seat and his views are typical of the area, then I'm not surprised it stuck with the Tories far more comfortably than Central Devon and Exmouth & Exeter East did. |
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nyx
Non-Aligned
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Post by nyx on Jul 16, 2024 5:55:46 GMT
It's the South Hams with a couple of Plymouth suburbs thrown in. In terms of population, it's more like "Plymouth suburbs with part of South Hams thrown in". The Plymouth suburbs are about 65% of the seat's population. |
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
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Post by Foggy on Jul 16, 2024 14:40:54 GMT
It's the South Hams with a couple of Plymouth suburbs thrown in. In terms of population, it's more like "Plymouth suburbs with part of South Hams thrown in". The Plymouth suburbs are about 65% of the seat's population. If anything, the old Totnes seat was closer to a South Hams constituency until it started gravitating further east and taking in more of Torbay, which culminated in the eventual recent renaming. |
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