stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,384 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 0:37:23 GMT
Gloucester
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,473
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Post by peterl on Jun 7, 2024 21:40:25 GMT
Akhlaque Ahmed Socialist Labour Party
Christopher Farmer Reform UK
Steve Gower Workers Party
Richard Graham The Conservative Party Candidate
Alex McIntyre Labour Party
Adam Shearing Green Party Candidate
Rebecca Jane Timnell Liberal Democrats
Fred Wing Commander (Rtd) Ramsey Independent
Labour candidate lives in Stroud, all others have addresses in Gloucester.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jun 11, 2024 11:09:57 GMT
stb12 this one is probably worthy of a poll as well - Con v Lab again
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jun 11, 2024 11:10:53 GMT
Young Labour had a big and well-attended campaign day in Gloucester (I didn't go). Labour have had some decent GE results here despite the appalling local results of recent years, this will definitely be an interesting one to watch on election night
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,940
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 11, 2024 13:30:00 GMT
Well the Labour local election results were significantly less bad this year, even if still sub-optimal.
If quite a lot of the local LibDem vote here breaks Labour at a GE, then this is definitely in play.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,436
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Post by iain on Jun 11, 2024 14:29:04 GMT
Well the Labour local election results were significantly less bad this year, even if still sub-optimal. If quite a lot of the local LibDem vote here breaks Labour at a GE, then this is definitely in play. When you consider the national picture Labour's local results this year were as abysmal as ever. There is, however, little doubt that this will be a Labour gain, probably with a large majority, at this GE. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jun 11, 2024 14:46:16 GMT
I'm not so confident to be honest. I suspect the Tory vote will prove quite sticky
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Post by batman on Jun 11, 2024 15:25:13 GMT
It is true that Labour has occasionally won a general election without Gloucester, but postwar only in the two 1974 elections. Boundaries have sometimes been important to the destiny in this seat. The constituency has shown a remarkably consistent tendency for Labour to do much worse in municipal than parliamentary elections (even in 1995 IIRC Labour didn't do particularly amazingly here) and I'm going with a Lab gain without a lot of hesitation in the circumstances.
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steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
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Post by steve on Jun 17, 2024 8:19:29 GMT
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,735
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jun 17, 2024 8:32:27 GMT
Cooper's Hill is not in this constituency. |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jun 17, 2024 8:34:02 GMT
Cooper's Hill is not in this constituency. What about the cheese? |
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steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
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Post by steve on Jun 17, 2024 12:54:09 GMT
Cooper's Hill is not in this constituency. Kingsholm is though! |
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Post by froome on Jul 5, 2024 3:08:46 GMT
Labour gain, though in true Glos tradition not by much. Even they could hardly fail to win this time.
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Post by andrewp on Jul 5, 2024 17:52:18 GMT
Labour gain, though in true Glos tradition not by much. Even they could hardly fail to win this time. They sort of fell over the line but probably still got about the least good result that they could. |
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Post by batman on Jul 5, 2024 19:01:49 GMT
Nevertheless, they failed to pick up some (though not many) more winnable seats than Gloucester. Even with a large opinion poll lead this was never going to be totally straightforward, so this wasn't a terrible result by any means, even though it wasn't brilliant either. Since WWII only in the 2 1974 elections have Labour won nationally & lost here.
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Post by heslingtonian on Jul 6, 2024 19:42:37 GMT
Has this seat stayed a marginal for about the longest of all time? It's never had a majority of over 12k.
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Post by nobodyimportant on Jul 6, 2024 20:56:52 GMT
Has this seat stayed a marginal for about the longest of all time? It's never had a majority of over 12k. The majority was 19.1% in 2019. Not what I'd usually consider a marginal. Ynys Mon/Anglesey last had a majority that size in 1966, and Gloucester has had even bigger ones in that time. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Jul 7, 2024 2:22:57 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,142
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Post by cogload on Jul 7, 2024 6:36:26 GMT
That was very classy.
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Post by matureleft on Jul 7, 2024 7:21:54 GMT
Certainly demonstrates what can be done, hard though losing certainly is. |
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