stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,379 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 0:26:35 GMT
Winchester
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,011
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Post by Khunanup on Jun 4, 2024 14:22:03 GMT
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605
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Post by Ports on Jun 4, 2024 16:31:09 GMT
Strange to write that Keegan 'gave up part of her busy day' to visit. It's an election campaign and she's campaigning in an election? Unless they mean to suggest holding on to Winchester would be a luxury.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,731
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jun 4, 2024 16:40:21 GMT
Strange to write that Keegan 'gave up part of her busy day' to visit. It's an election campaign and she's campaigning in an election? Unless they mean to suggest holding on to Winchester would be a luxury. She turned up a day early, as I read it 😄 |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,432
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Post by iain on Jun 8, 2024 13:42:06 GMT
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Post by John Chanin on Jun 8, 2024 14:12:26 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Jul 13, 2024 10:53:47 GMT
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jul 13, 2024 12:21:06 GMT
Surely it's over now. She'll be 67 come the next election. And the collapse in the vote was so large that it can't just be attributed to the Lib Dem and Reform performances- those combined come to about 7k votes, another 5k Tory voters simply did not bother. |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,731
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 13, 2024 13:27:27 GMT
Surely it's over now. She'll be 67 come the next election. And the collapse in the vote was so large that it can't just be attributed to the Lib Dem and Reform performances- those combined come to about 7k votes, another 5k Tory voters simply did not bother. Labour and Reform, the Lib Dems won by a mile. |
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Post by heslingtonian on Jul 13, 2024 13:30:32 GMT
Hard to blame Drummond too much. Winchester is just full of upper middle class Remain-voting professionals in their 30s,40s and 50s who will have voted Conservative with increasingly reluctance in recent years and have broken decisively with the Party since 2019 over Partygate, Truss, hard Brexit, no Corbyn etc. Very comparable with the likes of Chichester, Lewes and Henley in this regard which all swung strongly to the Lib Dems.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jul 13, 2024 13:40:58 GMT
Surely it's over now. She'll be 67 come the next election. And the collapse in the vote was so large that it can't just be attributed to the Lib Dem and Reform performances- those combined come to about 7k votes, another 5k Tory voters simply did not bother. Labour and Reform, the Lib Dems won by a mile. I meant the numbers shifting to the Lib Dems from the Tories - the LDs won by a mile but the numbers would suggest not much of a direct move from the Tories, being only about 2,500 more than in 2019. Add that figure to the Reform figure and it's clear that a good half of the Tory vote didn't go anywhere, it just evaporated. |
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steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
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Post by steve on Jul 20, 2024 11:27:43 GMT
Labour and Reform, the Lib Dems won by a mile. I meant the numbers shifting to the Lib Dems from the Tories - the LDs won by a mile but the numbers would suggest not much of a direct move from the Tories, being only about 2,500 more than in 2019. Add that figure to the Reform figure and it's clear that a good half of the Tory vote didn't go anywhere, it just evaporated. The constituency was a little smaller than in 2019 following the boundary changes. The changes between 2019 and 2025 bearing in mind the above: Cons - down 12.5k Lib Dems - up 2.5k Reform - up 4.7k Greens - up 2.7k Reduced turnout - up 2.6k The Greens didn't have a candidate in 2019 so that will likely have impacted on the Lib Dem vote plus Reform, while taking a fair proportion of their votes the Conservatives, also take significant numbers from others as the YouGov polling since the election has shown. |
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steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
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Post by steve on Jul 20, 2024 11:28:36 GMT
2024 not 2025!
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