stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,384 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 0:25:14 GMT
Sussex Weald
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,436
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Post by iain on Jun 8, 2024 18:30:15 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,142
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Post by cogload on Jul 1, 2024 7:58:20 GMT
*whistles to self*...
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Post by bigfatron on Jul 1, 2024 8:02:19 GMT
Do you know something about this seat that we don’t? |
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Post by matureleft on Jul 1, 2024 8:11:48 GMT
One might whistle at the very long ballot paper and the range of right-of-centre options available - spoiled for choice is an understatement!
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steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
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Post by steve on Jul 1, 2024 9:16:57 GMT
Do you get a lot of tumbleweed on The Weald?
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Post by jamesdoyle on Jul 1, 2024 9:21:29 GMT
Do you get a lot of tumbleweed on The Weald? They don't call it the tumbleweald for nothing. Well, they don't call it the tumbleweald at all. But they should. |
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Post by batman on Jul 23, 2024 8:27:50 GMT
there wasn't much to whistle about here in the end. |
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Post by johnloony on Jul 23, 2024 8:35:56 GMT
It’s a three-way marginal in the competition for 2nd place
and a 2-way marginal in the competition for 8th place
Con 16,758
LD 9,916
Ref 8,920
Lab 8,239
Grn 3,762
Ind 953
SDP 319
Her 156
UKIP 152
but I don’t know what the significance or meaning of any whistling is
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605
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Post by Ports on Jul 25, 2024 15:01:53 GMT
Though there may have been little to whistle about, it surprised me to discover this seat is higher up the Lib Dem target list than East Grinstead and Uckfield next door, when I probably would've predicted the opposite. The Lib Dem vote share was a point or so lower here, but the Conservative vote share was also lower, by four points.
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Post by heslingtonian on Jul 25, 2024 18:39:43 GMT
Though there may have been little to whistle about, it surprised me to discover this seat is higher up the Lib Dem target list than East Grinstead and Uckfield next door, when I probably would've predicted the opposite. The Lib Dem vote share was a point or so lower here, but the Conservative vote share was also lower, by four points. There was no Reform candidate in East Grinstead to be fair. |
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Post by No Offence Alan on Jul 25, 2024 19:36:29 GMT
Though there may have been little to whistle about, it surprised me to discover this seat is higher up the Lib Dem target list than East Grinstead and Uckfield next door, when I probably would've predicted the opposite. The Lib Dem vote share was a point or so lower here, but the Conservative vote share was also lower, by four points. I am sure I saw East Grinstead going Labour on one of the wilder MRP projections. |
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Post by heslingtonian on Jul 25, 2024 21:02:21 GMT
Though there may have been little to whistle about, it surprised me to discover this seat is higher up the Lib Dem target list than East Grinstead and Uckfield next door, when I probably would've predicted the opposite. The Lib Dem vote share was a point or so lower here, but the Conservative vote share was also lower, by four points. I am sure I saw East Grinstead going Labour on one of the wilder MRP projections. Some of those MRP projections got a little carried away. A couple even had Mid Buckinghamshire and I think even the Weald of Kent going Labour which was never going to happen. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jul 26, 2024 9:08:16 GMT
Those MRPs were also based on a much larger Labour lead than we got in reality - if we had seen that, then they'd probably have been accurate given that the same MRPs mostly underestimated how strong anti-Tory tactical voting was going to be.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,940
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 26, 2024 10:57:05 GMT
Well yes - if MRPs predicting well under 100 Tory and over 450 Labour MPs had come to pass, we would have had several even more "unlikely" results than actually happened.
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nyx
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,037
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Post by nyx on Aug 1, 2024 17:38:59 GMT
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