stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,384 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 0:23:46 GMT
Southampton Itchen
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605
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Post by Ports on Jun 7, 2024 16:40:42 GMT
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,791
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Post by right on Jun 28, 2024 11:17:04 GMT
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,016
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Post by Khunanup on Jun 28, 2024 12:38:44 GMT
It's not a battleground seat. |
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Sharon
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 2,564 
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Post by Sharon on Jun 28, 2024 13:09:01 GMT
It's not a battleground seat. Which is why former MP Royston Smith decided to stand down. The last 2 sets of local elections were a bit of a bloodbath for the Itchen Tories. |
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Post by heslingtonian on Jul 31, 2024 8:04:41 GMT
A bit surprised this wasn't a more emphatic Labour win. It was a decent Labour majority (6k) but it's still in the vaguely marginal class of seats, plus the combined Conservative plus Reform vote (43.4%) was larger than the Labour vote which only rose by 0.5%.
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Post by kitesurfer on Jul 31, 2024 8:30:46 GMT
I am not surprised by the result.
There is no great love for Labour nationally. Their vote share was on par with 2019. The election brought along a large number of marginals in which Labour won including this one. This is probably a bellwether seat.
I think Satvir Kaur in Test is a winner in many senses. She will go far within the Labour Party, but once she steps down as a councillor and focuses on Westminster, I think Labour will decline considerably in Southampton particularly when the government runs into problems.
Without Kaur, I think people will be surprised by how quickly Shirley reverts back to electing Tory councillors.
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Post by jakegb on Jul 31, 2024 8:50:43 GMT
Itchen could swing back to the blues next election: it has experienced large swings before even with a relatively popular incumbent in place e.g. Denham in the 05 and 10 elections.
It is a fairly typical bellwether seat, although the presence of the city centre will shield Labour to some degree.
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