stb12
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Posts: 8,384
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Slough
Mar 14, 2024 0:23:29 GMT
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 0:23:29 GMT
Slough
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Ports
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Slough
Jun 7, 2024 17:04:01 GMT
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Post by Ports on Jun 7, 2024 17:04:01 GMT
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Slough
Jun 15, 2024 19:09:31 GMT
Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jun 15, 2024 19:09:31 GMT
From the Telegraph
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Post by heslingtonian on Jun 16, 2024 9:36:52 GMT
Possibly this is a candidate for lowest Conservative to Labour swing alongside Leicester East. Together they could be the Bethnal Green & Bow and Bradford West of this election.
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Post by batman on Jun 16, 2024 9:43:12 GMT
There are a lot of Sikh voters here too though. And not devoid of White British either
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Slough
Jun 16, 2024 10:44:56 GMT
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Post by londonseal80 on Jun 16, 2024 10:44:56 GMT
Possibly this is a candidate for lowest Conservative to Labour swing alongside Leicester East. Together they could be the Bethnal Green & Bow and Bradford West of this election. Can’t disagree with that!
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steve
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Slough
Jun 16, 2024 17:15:56 GMT
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Post by steve on Jun 16, 2024 17:15:56 GMT
Possibly this is a candidate for lowest Conservative to Labour swing alongside Leicester East. Together they could be the Bethnal Green & Bow and Bradford West of this election. How so, this seat is obviously mish mashed with everyone, the Muslim block won’t have much of an impact I don't know what the ethnic and religious makeup of the constituency is but for the town the population is 30% Muslim so it may have more impact than you think. The Muslim community also appears to be highly politically involved with half of the town's cllrs being of that religion.
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Slough
Jun 16, 2024 19:19:37 GMT
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Post by heslingtonian on Jun 16, 2024 19:19:37 GMT
I wasn't just thinking about Gaza but also the travails of the former Labour Council and recent local election results.
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Post by batman on Jun 16, 2024 19:56:44 GMT
I don't think that the travails of Slough council will have all that much impact in a general election especially now that Labour has been voted out.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 16, 2024 20:04:26 GMT
Sibboleth is fond of saying that general elections are not applied local elections and I tend to agree with that view. heslingtonian clearly takes the opposite view
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Deleted
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Slough
Jun 17, 2024 12:03:47 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jun 17, 2024 12:03:47 GMT
LAB 35% CON 29% WPB 23% INDS 4% LD 3% REF 3% OTH 3%
This was a tough call, but Labour don't run the council now and the protest vote will likely be split. Tories will hold up a bit better here because of the large South Asian vote - specifically Hindus and (maybe) some Sikhs will switch over.
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Post by batman on Jun 17, 2024 12:16:44 GMT
The Workers' Party won't get that many. Not in Slough. It isn't like Birmingham Ladywood or Bradford West in terms of its demography. A lot of the Tory vote in the most recent local elections won't stick with the Tories in a general one. I really don't think Tan Dhesi is going to be run all that close at all although it's very unlikely to be one of Labour's strongest results either.
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Ports
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Slough
Jun 17, 2024 12:26:17 GMT
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batman likes this
Post by Ports on Jun 17, 2024 12:26:17 GMT
The Workers' Party won't get that many. Not in Slough. To that end I think we should add that the fact that a candidate is running under the Workers Party of Britain banner is far likely to be less of a draw than many of the other hallmarks of a deposit-retaining independent campaign. It's the sort of thing that would be very much overstated by some election watchers. I do not know about the other independent candidates but they might be better connected or more well-known within their community. In any case I agree with batman that it might be one of Labour's least remarkable results but I am quite positive of a comfortable hold with a majority of the vote. To the extent it matters, I think the erstwhile unpopularity of a local council is far more likely to be a factor where it becomes another attribute of the already unpopular Tories - like in Woking for example - than here.
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Post by batman on Jun 17, 2024 15:24:44 GMT
It can accentuate a swing when things are not going well for the party in question - for example the Tory gain of Walthamstow in the 1987 general election was clearly helped by the unpopularity of the rates-raising Labour council at that time, as I think was the swing to the Tories in Ealing North (the largest pro-Tory swing in the country in that election). But if the party is doing pretty well it's much harder for local factors of this kind to intrude all that much.
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Post by Johncrane on Aug 9, 2024 14:57:53 GMT
The Workers' Party won't get that many. Not in Slough. It isn't like Birmingham Ladywood or Bradford West in terms of its demography. A lot of the Tory vote in the most recent local elections won't stick with the Tories in a general one. I really don't think Tan Dhesi is going to be run all that close at all although it's very unlikely to be one of Labour's strongest results either. While the workers party flopped here getting 2.6%, the Indy got a very respectable 25.5% of the vote. I wonder how things will play out at the next local elections given that a number of councillors left labour a while back
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