stb12
Top Poster
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 0:03:04 GMT
Maidenhead
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bsjmcr
Non-Aligned
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Post by bsjmcr on Mar 31, 2024 22:55:33 GMT
Theresa May is known to be an effective and visible constituency MP (at least since 2001) even when she was PM, I do wonder if her recent decision to stand down could have been based on experiencing an increasing tide turning to the LDs in Maidenhead. I can imagine people saying 'thanks, but no thanks' to the conservatives this time.
Maidenhead now has the potential to be the equivalent of Angela Merkel's old constituency in terms of symbolism, which was lost after her stepping down (the only difference here being the LDs being the beneficiary rather than Labour, whereas in Germany it went straight to the SPD). Huntingdon could even be another one, Uxbridge less surprisingly so.
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Ports
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Post by Ports on Apr 19, 2024 16:26:40 GMT
Talk of an unofficial pact between the LDs and Labour has certainly not reached here - parents received a leaflet which used a screenshot of Electoral Calculus to say the LDs had no chance and you should vote Labour.
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Post by nobodyimportant on Apr 26, 2024 17:51:52 GMT
So exactly the same thing as they argued in 2019 then. And 2017. And 2015.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Apr 29, 2024 10:09:11 GMT
To be fair the Lib Dems did have no chance in any of those elections - they couldn't even beat Labour in 2015 and 2017.
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Post by nobodyimportant on Apr 29, 2024 11:37:47 GMT
True enough, but nor did Labour.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 1, 2024 13:32:14 GMT
Vote Labour, we also have no chance but in our defence it is Maidenhead.
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on May 26, 2024 12:54:39 GMT
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mrtoad
Labour
He is a toad. Who knows what a toad thinks?
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Post by mrtoad on May 26, 2024 13:51:34 GMT
I imagine some of the more ideological Conservatives will be spitting blood - Tania Mathias is very much on the left of the party as you might deduce from her CV. Might not be a bad choice in a pro-Remain Thames Valley constituency although she'll face strong headwinds. At the margins, she's someone I probably couldn't be bothered to vote tactically against, but how unusual that reasoning is I can't tell.
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Post by arnieg on May 26, 2024 14:14:08 GMT
I imagine some of the more ideological Conservatives will be spitting blood - Tania Mathias is very much on the left of the party as you might deduce from her CV. Might not be a bad choice in a pro-Remain Thames Valley constituency although she'll face strong headwinds. At the margins, she's someone I probably couldn't be bothered to vote tactically against, but how unusual that reasoning is I can't tell. Having sat opposite her in the council chamber, the best I can say is she didn't leave much of an impression. |
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Post by gwynthegriff on May 26, 2024 16:51:10 GMT
I imagine some of the more ideological Conservatives will be spitting blood - Tania Mathias is very much on the left of the party as you might deduce from her CV. Might not be a bad choice in a pro-Remain Thames Valley constituency although she'll face strong headwinds. At the margins, she's someone I probably couldn't be bothered to vote tactically against, but how unusual that reasoning is I can't tell. Presumably no relation to Kemsley Mathias the rugby player? |
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Post by finsobruce on May 26, 2024 17:21:56 GMT
I imagine some of the more ideological Conservatives will be spitting blood - Tania Mathias is very much on the left of the party as you might deduce from her CV. Might not be a bad choice in a pro-Remain Thames Valley constituency although she'll face strong headwinds. At the margins, she's someone I probably couldn't be bothered to vote tactically against, but how unusual that reasoning is I can't tell. Presumably no relation to Kemsley Mathias the rugby player? Her grandfather Fred played a single international for Wales in 1926, and cricket for Glamorgan. |
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Ports
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Post by Ports on Jun 7, 2024 21:22:15 GMT
www.rbwm.gov.uk/media/3432/download/No Reform candidate here, but: Con: Tania Mathias LD: Joshua Reynolds Lab: Jo Smith Green: Andrew Cooney SDP: Tim Burt Ind: Qazi Yasir Irshad Ind: George Wright
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Jun 11, 2024 4:30:28 GMT
www.rbwm.gov.uk/media/3432/download/No Reform candidate here, but: Con: Tania Mathias LD: Joshua Reynolds Lab: Jo Smith Green: Andrew Cooney SDP: Tim Burt Ind: Qazi Yasir Irshad Ind: George Wright Strong chance of a LD gain here. Born and bred Maidenhead man as the Lib Dem candidate, the Tory candidate is suitable, but name recognition is important in some more rural parts of the seat. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 11, 2024 4:37:35 GMT
www.rbwm.gov.uk/media/3432/download/No Reform candidate here, but: Con: Tania Mathias LD: Joshua Reynolds Lab: Jo Smith Green: Andrew Cooney SDP: Tim Burt Ind: Qazi Yasir Irshad Ind: George Wright Strong chance of a LD gain here. Born and bred Maidenhead man as the Lib Dem candidate, the Tory candidate is suitable, but name recognition is important in some more rural parts of the seat. No Reform candidate here. I'm not sure it's a "strong chance" of a LD gain. This isn't Wokingham. Theresa's retirement helps them though. |
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Jun 11, 2024 4:42:18 GMT
Strong chance of a LD gain here. Born and bred Maidenhead man as the Lib Dem candidate, the Tory candidate is suitable, but name recognition is important in some more rural parts of the seat. No Reform candidate here. I'm not sure it's a "strong chance" of a LD gain. This isn't Wokingham. Have you ever been to the area? Reform will be an irrelevance for the most part. Maybe score a few votes in the Walthams. Theresa May very much represented traditional small C Home Counties conservatism here, and that's what kept Maidenhead so solidly Tory. Now that she's gone, it's not a case of Reform needing to split the vote for the LDs to win, they should be more concerned about making sure Labour voters tactically go for the LDs. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 11, 2024 4:44:24 GMT
No Reform candidate here. I'm not sure it's a "strong chance" of a LD gain. This isn't Wokingham. Reform will be an irrelevance for the most part. Maybe score a few votes in the Walthams. Theresa May very much represented traditional small C Home Counties conservatism here, and that's what kept Maidenhead so solidly Tory. Now that she's gone, it's not a case of Reform needing to split the vote for the LDs to win, they should be more concerned about making sure Labour voters tactically go for the LDs. Yes. It seems like the sort of uber wealthy area that would vote Tory even in end of days territory. Taplow, Bray etc still have huge Tory votes, and that will be a lot to overcome. UKIP got 8% here in 2015, so not entirely an irrelevance. Anyone know what Qazi Irshad's platform is here? Something Gaza related? |
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Jun 11, 2024 4:52:42 GMT
Have you ever been to the area? Reform will be an irrelevance for the most part. Maybe score a few votes in the Walthams. Theresa May very much represented traditional small C Home Counties conservatism here, and that's what kept Maidenhead so solidly Tory. Now that she's gone, it's not a case of Reform needing to split the vote for the LDs to win, they should be more concerned about making sure Labour voters tactically go for the LDs. Yes. It seems like the sort of uber wealthy area that would vote Tory even in end of days territory. Taplow, Bray, Twyford etc still have huge Tory votes, and that will be a lot to overcome. UKIP got 8% here in 2015, so not entirely an irrelevance. The countryside is uber wealthy in parts, but as someone from Berkshire, I can tell you that Maidenhead is very much a mixed town with sizeable working class parts (Boyn Hill/Cox Green, for one) and will decide the seat, because it overwhelmingly provides most of the electorate. Taplow and Bray are too small to make a difference, and Twyford isn't even in the seat (it's had a strong LD vote for years anyway - it's a commuter town with a different character to most of the surrounding area). Ascot is the only part of the new Maidenhead that will reliably vote Tory in droves, and that's only the smaller Bracknell Forest part. Cookham has a decent Liberal vote. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 11, 2024 5:06:16 GMT
Yes. It seems like the sort of uber wealthy area that would vote Tory even in end of days territory. Taplow, Bray, Twyford etc still have huge Tory votes, and that will be a lot to overcome. UKIP got 8% here in 2015, so not entirely an irrelevance. The countryside is uber wealthy in parts, but as someone from Berkshire, I can tell you that Maidenhead is very much a mixed town with sizeable working class parts (Boyn Hill/Cox Green, for one) and will decide the seat, because it overwhelmingly provides most of the electorate. Taplow and Bray are too small to make a difference, and Twyford isn't even in the seat (it's had a strong LD vote for years anyway - it's a commuter town with a different character to most of the surrounding area). Ascot is the only part of the new Maidenhead that will reliably vote Tory in droves, and that's only the smaller Bracknell Forest part. Cookham has a decent Liberal vote. I bow down to your superior knowledge. One last thing I would say about that area is it seems to have a few Slough folk who have done well, some of whom are British Indians. The Tories could well do a bit better this time with Hindu and Sikh voters (who aren't negligible in the constituency). If any Vote UK forum people visit Maidenhead, do pop by Cliveden House (site of the Profumo affair back in 1963), National Trust and a decidedly delightful spot with commanding views and a beautiful Thameside walk - or you could go there by boat! |
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Jun 11, 2024 5:18:09 GMT
The countryside is uber wealthy in parts, but as someone from Berkshire, I can tell you that Maidenhead is very much a mixed town with sizeable working class parts (Boyn Hill/Cox Green, for one) and will decide the seat, because it overwhelmingly provides most of the electorate. Taplow and Bray are too small to make a difference, and Twyford isn't even in the seat (it's had a strong LD vote for years anyway - it's a commuter town with a different character to most of the surrounding area). Ascot is the only part of the new Maidenhead that will reliably vote Tory in droves, and that's only the smaller Bracknell Forest part. Cookham has a decent Liberal vote. I bow down to your superior knowledge. One last thing I would say about that area is it seems to have a few Slough folk who have done well, some of whom are British Indians. The Tories could well do a bit better this time with Hindu and Sikh voters (who aren't negligible in the constituency). If any Vote UK forum people visit Maidenhead, do pop by Cliveden House (site of the Profumo affair back in 1963), National Trust and a decidedly delightful spot with commanding views and a beautiful Thameside walk - or you could go there by boat! It has got a few Slough folk who have done well, that's a fair observation - although their preferred destination is usually Farnham Royal/the nicer parts of High Wycombe. I would observe though that Slough folk moving this way will also include a sizeable proportion of well-to-do small businessmen South Asian Muslims, of which a few hundred could well vote for the Gaza independent. I've just realised I made a sizeable mistake in my last point - due to Bucks' weird salient along the Thames down to Dorney from the Marlow direction (created during the 1974 incomplete move of the Slough area to Berks), Taplow is in Bucks and therefore Beaconsfield constituency (and so is Cliveden!) Cliveden is definitely worth a visit, along with the Stanley Spencer Gallery in Cookham and a good pub in Marlow. The walk from Bourne End to Marlow is pretty beautiful as the sun sets too. |
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