stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,379 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 23:52:18 GMT
Hamble Valley
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Mar 14, 2024 0:01:19 GMT
A new seat and one to watch in my opinion. Paul Holmes (Con) moves from Eastleigh where he didn't fancy taking on Liz Jarvis to what should be the more comfortable surroundings of this increasingly urban slice of Hampshire. Prad Bain is standing for the LD's.
The Tory vote will be concentrated in the ex Fareham wards such as Locks Heath whilst the LD vote comes from the Eastleigh wards (Hedge End etc).
It should be a safe Conservative win. Should be...
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carolus
Lib Dem
Posts: 5,741
Member is Online
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Post by carolus on Jun 7, 2024 15:10:28 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Jun 14, 2024 12:03:23 GMT
Keith House's twitter feed seems to be increasingly bullish on this. Not sure if that is a bit of mind games though..
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 15, 2024 7:40:32 GMT
Going into this campaign all the talk from the Lib Dems was about a very focussed target strategy and having learnt the lessons.
Now admittedly the Tory campaign has been an almost unrelenting disaster, but seats like this being talked up really doesn't fit with that focussed campaign, so is it that the Tories are really heading for that bad a night or are the Lib Dems spreading themselves too thin again?
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Jun 15, 2024 8:42:04 GMT
Going into this campaign all the talk from the Lib Dems was about a very focussed target strategy and having learnt the lessons. Now admittedly the Tory campaign has been an almost unrelenting disaster, but seats like this being talked up really doesn't fit with that focussed campaign, so is it that the Tories are really heading for that bad a night or are the Lib Dems spreading themselves too thin again? Next door to Eastleigh so a bit of mind games being played I think. And it is Keith House after all...😬 |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,907
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Post by YL on Jun 15, 2024 8:51:00 GMT
Going into this campaign all the talk from the Lib Dems was about a very focussed target strategy and having learnt the lessons. Now admittedly the Tory campaign has been an almost unrelenting disaster, but seats like this being talked up really doesn't fit with that focussed campaign, so is it that the Tories are really heading for that bad a night or are the Lib Dems spreading themselves too thin again? I could of course be wrong, but I've got the impression that the Lib Dem target list may have expanded a little in the last few days. Hopefully they're not being overconfident about the ones higher up the list. |
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605
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Post by Ports on Jun 15, 2024 10:12:08 GMT
Yeah being nearby I don't get the impression that the Lib Dem campaign is anything more than a spirited local campaign aided by having a slightly better base in the Eastleigh District half of the seat. So still more than the average seat but not comparable to the usual Lib Dem targets in Hampshire.
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Post by jakegb on Jun 15, 2024 11:22:48 GMT
If the Lib Dems already had some of their golden triangle seats (from the Ashdown/Kennedy era), then I could see them having a serious go at this one.
Whilst Winchester should fall firmly in their column, there are too many unknowns in Eastleigh and SN&R, before adding Hamble Valley to the mix.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Jun 30, 2024 13:46:52 GMT
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 30, 2024 14:54:48 GMT
Labour were being ramped in Eastleigh a week ago! |
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Post by batman on Jun 30, 2024 14:55:47 GMT
Not by me!
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 30, 2024 16:47:59 GMT
Indeed, and it seemed an odd assertion. But you can imagine they can't be both on the verge of winning it and also abandoning it! |
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Jul 4, 2024 9:07:18 GMT
Sunak visited here yesterday on his tour of the South.
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